Dividends and Dynamic Solvency Insurance in Two-Dimensional Risk Models ()
1. Introduction
The classical model of collective risk theory has been modified and extended over the years in several ways. Some authors [1] [2] [3] [4] have introduced a two-dimensional risk process where the insurer has two classes of business and in each of the two classes he has a surplus process similar to the one of the classical model. The two-dimensional risk process is defined by a two-dimensional vector having as components the above surplus processes. In this two-dimensional case, different interpretations of the concept of ruin have been proposed, and different definitions of time of ruin have been introduced. As it is well known, classical models of collective risk theory can forecast the dividends payment (for instance, see [5] ) and, as proposed in [6] , they can also have a dynamic solvency insurance. Under these assumptions we have models with two barriers. The two-dimensional models and some definitions of time of ruin encouraged us to investigate about dividends and the net single premium of a dynamic insurance contract in the two-dimensional models.
The paper is organized as follows: Section 2 is devoted to the presentation of the two-dimensional models under different claim arrival processes; Section 3 considers barriers referring to two definitions of time of ruin. Under these two different assumptions of time of ruin, Sections 4 and 5 contain the detailed computations to get the integro-differential equations, both of the net single premium of the dynamic solvency insurance and of the present value of dividends. In Sections 6 and 7 some boundary conditions for the above equations with some explicit solutions are given.
2. The Model
We assume that an insurer has two classes of business or insurance risks. Let
the surplus process, at time
, of the i-th class given by:
where:
•
is the initial surplus;
•
is the constant premiun rate;
•
is the aggregate claim amount.
These assumptions define a two-dimensional risk model that can be formally stated as:
We assume that the claim number processes are
which are defined as follows:
(1)
where
,
and
are Poisson random variables with positive parameters
,
and
, respectively.
Let j be a strictly positive integer number and let
,
, be the claim size random variables which we assume to have the same distribution function
of class
, with:
•
, and such that
for
.
Furthermore, we assume that:
•
;
• the moment generating functions
exist.
As usually stated, the random variables
are mutually independent for each
, and are independent of
.
Let
; the aggregate claim amount of each class of insurance risk is:
.
Our two-dimensional risk model can be written as:
(2)
We observe that, since we have assumed
,
, and
to be positive, the two counting processes
and
, both appearing in (2), are correlated; a similar assumption has been made, for example, in [3] .
If instead we assume
and
, from (1) we have:
(3)
and the model (2) becomes:
(4)
where the counting process
is the same for both the classes of insurance risk (this assumption has been made, for instance, in [1] and in [2] ).
Finally, if we assume
and
,
, from (1) we get:
(5)
and the model (2) becomes:
(6)
with different but independent counting processes for each class of insurance risk (this assumption has been made, for instance, in [4] ).
3. The Ruin and the Barriers
It is well known that, in two-dimensional risk models, the time of ruin can be defined in different ways (see for instance [1] [2] and [3] ):
(7)
(8)
and
In this paper we consider the time of ruin (7) or (8). Indeed, we observe that under the definition of
the ruin would not occur also in the case that one of the two surplus is deeply negative, provided that the other one is even only slightly positive: this scenario seems to be too risky for the insurance company.
Under the definition of
(7) the ruin does not occur when the surplus
is greater than or equal to zero; under the assumption (8) the survival occurs when both
and
are greater than or equal to zero. Therefore, the dynamic solvency insurance (see [6] ) under the assumption (7) refers to the sum process and its payments are made immediately as soon as the surplus
falls below zero; instead, under the assumption (8), the dynamic solvency insurance refers separately to
and
and its payments are made immediately as soon as the surplus
or
falls below zero.
This means that, in the first scenario, we have a reflecting inferior barrier at zero for the sum process, whereas in the second scenario we have reflecting inferior barriers for each process with surplus
.
Even for the dividends payment it is necessary to introduce barriers. In particular, we assume to have the constant upper barrier
, with
,
, for the the
-th class of the two-dimensional risk process, and we consider to have the constant upper barrier
for the sum process. We recall that dividends are paid whenever the corresponding surplus reaches its upper barrier.
Because of all the above assumptions, models in (2), (4) and (6) need to be consequently and coherently modified. This will be achieved in the following sections, where we address the problems of the net single premiums and the discounted dividend payments in the case of two barriers.
4. The Net Single Premium of Dynamic Solvency Insurance
This section is devoted to determine the equations fulfilled by the net single premium of the dynamic solvency insurance under the assumptions made in Sections 2 and 3. We use a procedure similar to the one presented in [7] and in [8] to determine the ruin probability. Hence, we introduce the force of interest
.
We first consider the case in which the time of ruin is
defined in (7). We therefore consider the sum process having a surplus with initial value (in
)
and constant premium rate
. The upper barrier is
. Referring to the sum process, we recall that
is the surplus at time t, whose value is obviously dependent both on the dividends payment and on the assumption of the dynamic solvency insurance. We denote by
the net single premium of the dynamic solvency insurance. Let T be the length of the interval time passing before the occurrence of some first claim for the sum process and let X be the amount of the claim occurred at time T. If no claim occurs, we have that
and
crosses the barrier b at time
defined by:
(9)
Following the approach of [7] and [8] , we compute
as the mean value of the random variable
. Because of the dividends payment, if
and
,
is given by:
(10)
Since we have assumed that the arrival claims processes have the bivariate Poisson distribution defined in (1), the event
happens when no claim occurs during the time interval going from 0 to t and the first arrival of (any kind of) claim arrives at the end of this period of time.
Using the results of [9] , the above events depend on the following probabilities (neglecting contributions of order higher than dt):
Recalling that
is the moment when some first claims occur, if we assume that at time t it is
and/or
we have:
(11)
We denote by F the distribution function of the random variable
. Because of the assumptions on the distribution functions
,
, it follows that (see [10] )
further, letting
we have:
Now, we are able to write the following integral equation for the net single premium of dynamic solvency insurance:
Hence, by substituting
with z, and subsequently
with y, we obtain:
(12)
By deriving (12) with respect to u, we obtain the following integro-differential equation:
(13)
Obviously, if
, expression (13) leads to the equation of the net single premium of the solvency insurance for the model given in (4). Similarly, if
, from (13) we find the equation of the net single premium of the solvency insurance contract for the model given in (6).
We now consider the case in which the time of ruin is
defined by (8). We recall that, using this definition, the ruin occurs when at least one of the surplus
,
, becomes negative. Thus, the dynamic solvency insurance has to intervene separately in the two classes, and it has to avoid that both surplus become negative. Let
and let
be the net single premium of the dynamic solvency insurance contract of the i-th insurance class. The two-dimensional risk process holder will have to bear the total single premium
. In the following, using a procedure similar to the one adopted in the previous discussion, we deduce the equations fulfilled by
, with
. To this end, we let
be the length of the interval time passing before the occurrence of some first claim for the
-th process and
be the amount of the first claim. If no claim occurs, we have that
and
crosses the barrier
at time
defined by:
(14)
We compute
as the mean value of the random variable
. Because of the payment of the dividends, in the case
and
, arguing as in the case of the sum process,
can be simply obtained by evaluating (10) at
,
,
,
,
defined in (14). We recall that the arrival claims process has the bivariate Poisson distribution defined in (1). Since the two processes are considered separately, for any
it results (neglecting contributions of order higher than dt):
Hence, recalling that
is the moment when some first claims occur and that the amount of the claim is
with
, it results:
(15)
We are now able to write the following integral equation for the net single premium of dynamic solvency insurance for the i-th claim,
:
Hence, by substituting
with z, and subsequently
with y, we obtain:
(16)
By deriving (16) with respect to
, we obtain the following integro-differential equation:
(17)
Obviously, if we restrict ourselves to the case of model given in (4), that is if we let
, expressions (16) and (17) lead to the same kind of equation for the net single premium of the two classes of insurance business. In the same vein, if we consider the model given in (6), that is if we let
, Equations (12)-(13) and (16)-(17) are comparable.
5. Discounted Value of the Dividend Payments
In this section we determine the equations fulfilled by the discounted value of the dividend payments under the different assumptions made in Section 4. To get our results, we follow a similar approach to the one used for the net single premium of dynamic solvency insurance.
We first consider the case where the time of ruin is
defined in (7). Hence, we consider the sum process having a surplus
with initial value (in
)
and constant premium rate
. The upper barrier is
. We let T be the length of the interval time passing before the occurrence of some first claim for the sum process and X be the amount of the claim occurred in T. If no claims occur, then
crosses the barrier b at time
defined in (9). We denote by
the discounted value of the dividend payments, using the force of interest
.
We find
as the mean value of the random variable
. Because of the dynamic solvency insurance, in the case
and
,
is given by:
(18)
where
is the value of the dividends paid in the interval time
, evaluated at
:
(19)
As in Section 4, we assume that
is the instant when claims occur. If at time t we have
and/or
, then formula (11) still holds. Therefore, we are able to write the following integral equation for the discounted value of the dividend payments:
(20)
where, by using (19) and with some computations, the last integral can be rewritten as follows:
(21)
Hence, by substituting in (20) the expression (21) and the new variables
and
, we obtain:
(22)
From the previous expression, deriving with respect to u, we obtain the following integro-differential equation:
(23)
Obviously, letting
in (23), we find the equation of the discounted value of the dividend payments of the solvency insurance for the model given in (23). Similarly, if
, from (23) we find the equation of the discounted value of the dividend payments for the model given in (6).
We now consider the case in which the time of ruin is
defined by (8). We note that the observations pointed out in Section 4 still hold and we determine the equations fulfilled by the present value of the dividend payments. We let
; we denote by
the present value of the dividend payments of the i-th insurance class. The total dividends of the two-dimensional risk process holder will be equal to
. Even in this case, we find
as the mean value of the random variable
that, because of the payment of the dividends, if
and
, can be simply obtained by evaluating (18) and (19) at
,
,
,
, and
defined in (14). Following Section 4, we note that formula (15) still holds. Therefore, we are able to write the following integral equation for the discounted value of the dividend payments:
(24)
where, by using (19) and with some computations, the last integral can be rewritten as follows:
(25)
Hence, by substituting in (24) the expression (25) and the new variables
and
, we get:
(26)
From the previous expression, deriving with respect to
, we obtain the following integro-differential equation:
(27)
Obviously, if we restrict ourselves to the case of model given in (4), that is if we let
, expressions (26) and (27) lead to the same kind of equation for the dividends payment of the two classes of insurance business. In the same vein, if we consider the model given in (6), that is if we let
, Equations (22)-(23) and (26)-(27) are comparable.
6. Boundary Conditions
In this section we compute some boundary conditions satisfied by the net single premium
and
(see (12), (13) and (16), (17)) and by the discounted value of dividend payments
and
(see (22), (23) and (26), (27)), which will be used in Section 7 to provide some explicit solutions.
By simply substituting
in Equation (13) we get:
(28)
whereas, by substituting
in Equations (12) and (13), and combining them we obtain:
(29)
In the same way we get the boundary conditions for
,
:
(30)
Analogously, by simply substituting
in Equation (23) we get:
(31)
whereas, by substituting
in Equations (22) and (23), and combining them we obtain:
(32)
In the same way we get the boundary conditions for
,
:
(33)
7. Explicit Solutions for Some Special Cases
In this section we provide explicit solutions for the net single premium and the discounted value of dividend payments in some special cases.
We first consider the net single premium
and the discounted value of dividend payments
. In the special case
and
, with
,
, the integro-differential Equation (13) becomes:
By deriving the previous equation with respect to u and with some computations, we get the following second order linear homogeneous differential equation with constant coefficients:
whose characteristic equation is given by:
(34)
with distinct real solutions
. Using the boundary condition (28) and (29), we get the explicit solution of the net single premium
:
(35)
In the same way, using our hypotheses, the integro-differential Equation (23) can be rewritten as follows:
Therefore, using the boundary conditions (31) and (32), the explicit solution of the the discounted value of dividend payments
is given by:
(36)
where
are the two real distinct solutions of (34).
Now, we consider the net single premium
and the discounted value of dividend payments
, with
. In the special case
, with
,
, the integro-differential Equation (17) becomes:
By deriving the previous equation with respect to
and with some computations, we get the following second order linear homogeneous differential equation with constant coefficients:
whose characteristic equation is given by:
(37)
with distinct real solutions
. Using the boundary conditions (30), we get the explicit solution of the net single premium
:
(38)
In the same way, using our hypotheses, the integro-differential Equation (27) can be rewritten as follows:
Therefore, using the boundary conditions (33), the explicit solution of the the discounted value of dividend payments
is given by:
(39)
where
are the two real distinct solutions of (37).
8. Final Conclusions
In this paper we presented a two-dimensional risk model which is rather general with respect to the claim number processes, and we derived three different kinds of models which we studied in details. We assumed that the insurer applies a strategy of dividends payments and that he avoids the ruin through a dynamic solvency insurance. We considered two classical definitions of time of ruin, well-known in the literature. We obtained the integral and integro-differential equations for the net single premium of dynamic solvency insurance and for the discounted value of dividends payments. Further, we determined some boundary conditions, which allowed us to get explicit solutions for some special cases. The two-dimensional risk models have a lot of potential applications and have been, until now, intensively studied mainly in the ruin probability framework. The main contribution of our paper is the introduction of the dividends payments and the dynamic solvency insurance in the two-dimensional models; we also investigated the consequences of the proposed model under different assumptions. The two-dimensional models open the doors to various future developments, among which we consider of special interest the introduction of various kinds of reinsurance and the research of optimal reinsurance strategies under different objective functions, such as the minimization of the ruin probability or the maximization of the expected utility of terminal wealth. As some authors have already pointed out, the two-dimensional model can be extended to more than two classes of insurance business; therefore, a natural development of our study could be the use of the dividends, the dynamic solvency insurance and the reinsurance in these extended models.
Acknowledgements
We thank the Editor and the Referees for their comments.