Watershed Characterization for the Construction of Khar Yalla Neighborhood Protection Infrastructure in Saint-Louis ()
1. Introduction
The city of Saint-Louis, located at the mouth of the Senegal River, is among the areas most vulnerable to the combined effects of climate change, rising sea levels, and increasing urban pressure. Each year, during the rainy season, several neighborhoods are affected by recurring flooding, affecting the safety, health, and living conditions of the population. These floods, caused by runoff water, rising water tables, and sometimes river overflows, cause significant damage: deterioration of housing, loss of property, health insecurity, disruption of economic activities.
The Khar Yalla district, in particular, is extremely vulnerable due to its low-lying topographical position, saturated clay soils, dense and informal urbanization, and inadequate sanitation infrastructure. The population is exposed to rainwater and groundwater flooding caused by runoff, rising water tables, and even occasional river overflows. This combination increases the complexity of flood management and control mechanisms.
Faced with these challenges, it has become imperative to design sustainable, integrated responses adapted to the realities on the ground. This article is part of an urban resilience approach through a hydrological study, and propose technical and social solutions to significantly reduce flood risks in Khar Yalla.
2. Materials and Methods
2.1. Data Collection
The data used in this study come from various sources:
a) Rainfall data: collected from the nearest weather station to Khar Yalla, covering a representative time series from 1980 to 2018.
b) Topographic data: obtained from a Digital Terrain Model (DTM), at 2 m resolution, to characterize the morphology of the watershed and from GPS field surveys.
c) Soil data: from field observations to identify the nature of the soil, its permeability and its retention capacity as well as data collected at the Regional Soil Institute of Saint Louis (IPR).
2.2. Data Processing
The collected data were analyzed and then processed to ensure their quality and relevance for the analysis. The processing covered:
a) Reconstruction of rainfall series and statistical analysis of rainfall heights;
b) Khar Yalla Watershed Delineation Using ArcMap;
c) Calculation of morphometric, hypsometric and hydrometric parameters;
d) Integration of data into calculation models for the sizing of structures.
2.3. Topographical and Pedological Studies
Topographic studies carried out in planimetry with a high-precision survey using Lidar technology, recognized for its reliability and finesse in terrain modeling.
For soil studies, we used the ring method, an effective approach for soil characterization. This technique consisted of creating models or test sections to a depth of one meter, allowing detailed observation of soil stratification and texture.
2.4. Hydrological Studies
2.4.1. Analysis of Rainfall Data
Two statistical laws were used to study precipitation:
The normal (or Gaussian) law, for the analysis of average values.
Gumbel’s law, for extreme values such as ten-year or hundred-year rainfall.
These treatments allowed us to identify characteristic rainfall heights for different return periods (10, 20, 50 and 100 years), which will be used in flood flow calculations.
2.4.2. Description of the Watershed
The approach adopted in this study is inspired in particular by the methodologies recommended in FAO Bulletin 54 [1] for ungauged basins in Sahelian Africa, but also by work carried out in similar areas such as those of Faye Ibrahima [2], Degoutte & Fry [3], and BAMBARA Télado Luc [4].
The perimeter and area of the watershed
These two parameters were determined automatically using the ArcGIS tool, from the Digital Terrain Model (DTM) data. They are essential for classifying the basin according to the typology proposed by Rodier [1].
The equivalent rectangle: length and width
It facilitates the comparison between several watersheds, by highlighting the effect of their characteristics on water flow [5]. Its dimensions are calculated from the following formulas.
(1)
(2)
where:
is the equivalent length in Km;
is the equivalent width in km; P is the perimeter (in km) and S is the area (in km2).
Gravelus compactness index
Also called the shape coefficient, it is used to assess the shape of the pelvis. It is calculated using the following formula:
(3)
An index close to 1 indicates an almost circular basin, therefore potentially more reactive to intense rain [2].
Characteristic altitudes
The maximum and minimum altitudes (generally located at the outlet of the basin) were extracted from the DTM on ArcGIS.
The average slope
It gives a general indication of the basin’s slope. It is calculated using characteristic altitudes using the following formula:
(4)
The longitudinal slope
This slope represents the gradient along the main axis of the basin. It is obtained using the simplified GRESILION formula. According to its value, six classes of watersheds are distinguished according to the ORSTOM classification [1], current IRD. Thus it is obtained from the expression below.
(5)
Cross slope: This is determined from 4 to 6 cross sections of the basin. The slope values are recorded by plotting the profiles, then the average of these slopes is calculated.
The hypsometric curve: It allows the distribution of altitudes across the entire basin to be visualized. The curve is established from the DTM and gives the altitudes corresponding to 5% and 95% of the cumulative surface [5].
The overall slope index: The overall slope index characterizes the relief of the watershed. It influences flood flows by modifying the flow rate depending on whether the slope is steep or gentle. It is calculated using the following formula:
(6)
where ∆H is the difference in altitude between the 5% and 95% levels of the surface.
The corrected slope index, when the transverse slope exceeds the longitudinal slope by 20%, the corrected slope index is calculated by applying the following formula:
(7)
where n depends on the length of the equivalent rectangle.
The specific elevation: This parameter expresses the different relief forms of the basin. It is given by:
(8)
The reliefs can be classified according to the value of the Ds as follows
3. Determination of the Project Flood Flow
The design flood corresponds to a rare and high flow, characterized by a rapid rise in water levels in the watercourse. It has a low return frequency but a potentially significant impact. To ensure safety, the structures will be designed to evacuate the 100-year flood, i.e. an event with an annual probability of occurrence of 1% (or an average occurrence every 100 years).
The determination of ten-year flows is based on the ORSTOM deterministic method and the Puech and Chabi or CIEH linear regression. The hundred-year flood, the design flood, is then calculated using the GRADEX method, which applies a multiplier coefficient to the ten-year flows obtained.
3.1. ORSTOM Method of AUVREY and RODIER
It allows the estimation of the ten-year flood from climatic and morphological data of the watershed. It is based on empirical formulas adapted to ungauged watersheds in West Africa. This method has been widely used for hydrological studies in similar contexts due to its simplicity and relevance.
3.1.1. Determination of the Ten-Year Runoff Flow Rate of the Ten-Year Flood
The ten-year runoff rate (Qr10) represents the volume of water runoff over the surface during a flood event with a 10-year return period. Table 1 below gives the formula for determining the ten-year runoff rate:
Table 1. Determination of the ten-year runoff flow rate of the ten-year flood.
Formula |
Settings |
(9) |
= Basic time determined by the Rodier and Auvrey charts of ORSTOM (min)
= Surface area of the BV (Km2)
= Peak coefficient of the ten-year flood taken as 2.6
= Ten-year runoff coefficient
= Ten-year daily rainfall
= Reduction coefficient |
Its calculation is based on several parameters described below.
3.1.2. Estimation of Ten-Year Runoff Flow Parameters (Qr10)
The reduction coefficient (A)
It is a correction factor that allows a single rainfall event to be transformed into an average value across the entire watershed. It decreases as the area of the basin increases, due to the spatial smoothing effect of precipitation. It is calculated using the formula shown in Table 2:
Table 2. Calculation of the reduction coefficient (A).
Formula |
Settings |
(10) |
= average annual precipitation (in mm)
= Surface area of the BV (Km2) |
The ten-year runoff coefficient (Kr10)
The ten-year runoff coefficient (Kr10) is estimated from an exceptional rainfall event with a ten-year return period, generally associated with a precipitation height of between 70 mm and 100 mm.
The base time (Tb10)
The base time corresponds to the approximate duration of surface runoff during a flood, from the beginning of the water level rise until the end of runoff. Its value is determined by linear interpolation.
The ten-year peak flow (Q10)
Once the ten-year runoff flow (Qr10) is known, the ten-year peak flow (Q10) can be estimated using the ORSTOM method as described in Table 3.
Table 3. Calculation of the ten-year peak flow rate.
Formula |
Settings |
(11) |
= Increase coefficient, function of the infiltrability class of the basin and the climatic zone
= ten-year runoff flow rate (m3/s) |
3.2. CIEH Method
The method is based on empirical relationships established from hydrological and meteorological observations. Developed by Puech and Chabi-Gonni (1983), it is based on the study of numerous African basins located in the Sahelian and Sudano-Sahelian zones. This basis makes it well suited to the conditions of Senegal. It is applicable to watersheds of less than 1000 km2. The ten-year peak flow is estimated using a multiple regression model (FAO, 1996), according to the formula:
(12)
In this study, four (04) equations will be used, as they are considered the most representative for estimating the ten-year flood. Their choice is based on the combined analysis of the parameters S, Ig and Kr. These are:
Equations (11) and (12) for basins where Pa ≤ 1000 mm, Equation (09) which is a function of the climatic division and Equation (33) for the group of countries
(09):
(11):
(12):
(33):
As a precaution, the maximum flow rate obtained from the different equations will be retained as the ten-year flood flow rate, in order to integrate the uncertainties linked to the equations.
3.3. GRADEX Method
The project’s 100-year flood flow is determined from the 10-year floods and the multiplier coefficient C. This coefficient, greater than 1, makes it possible to link the 10-year flood to the 100-year flood, taking into account the excess rainfall compared to the 10-year flood. The relationship used is as follows:
(13)
The method used for calculating this coefficient is that of Gradex , as defined by Grésillon et al. (1977), and is widely applied in West and Central Africa. This approach was used in the studies [6], for the construction of the Lantaga dam in the northern region of Burkina Faso, and of I. FAYE [2], for the rehabilitation of the Aghor pond in Mauritania.
3.4. Determination of the Flood Hydrograph
This is a graph that shows the flow rate over time during a flood period. This graph depends on the base time as well as the time required for the water to rise. The peak flow, combined with the recession flow, constitutes the recession curve of the hydrograph. The expression for the discontinuity flow is shown in Table 4.
Table 4. Calculation of discontinuity flow.
Formula |
Settings |
(14) |
= Base time (hour)
= Ten-year rise time (min)
= Discontinuity flow rate (m3/s)
= Project flow rate (m3/s)
= Ten-year peak coefficient |
4. Study of the Reservoir
Reservoir design is essential for flood management and the design of hydraulic structures such as retention basins and dikes. It helps determine the characteristics of water storage structures, such as retention basins or protective dikes, and size structures to ensure their capacity to handle extreme events. This study is based on the analysis of several criteria, such as storage capacity, evaporation losses, infiltration, and overflow risks.
The methods used here include the work [1], which served as the basis for several recent studies, including those of Faye [2] and OUEDRAOGO [6].
4.1. Estimation of Liquid Intake
Estimating the volume of water from the watershed is an essential step in verifying the reservoir’s filling capacity. Thus, the volume of inputs (V) is determined from the following relationship see Table 5:
Table 5. Estimation of liquid intake.
Formula |
Settings |
(15) |
: volume of water flowing at the outlet
: flow coefficient
: area of the watershed
: average annual rainfall |
The COUTAGNE method
This method is based on empirical relationships linking climatic parameters, in particular rainfall and average annual temperature, to the water flow in a watershed. According to COUTAGNE, the parameters necessary for estimating annual inputs are listed in Table 6.
Table 6. The parameters necessary for estimating annual contributions.
Formula |
Settings |
(16) |
: average annual temperature (˚C)
: Annual flow deficit (mm)
: average annual rainfall (mm)
: Water flow (mm) |
The correlations presented by ONBAH (Harouna Karambiri and Dial Niang, 2011) [5] make it possible to estimate the annual contributions in dry years (five-year and ten-year dry) from the average flow coefficient
, defined by the following relationship:
(17)
The flow coefficients in the dry five-year period (
) and dry ten-year period (
) are then determined from the average coefficient, according to the following formulas: their expression is below in Table 7.
Table 7. Flow coefficients in dry five-year (
) and dry ten-year (
).
(18) |
(19) |
The RODIER method: The approach consists of identifying a typical basin representative of the watershed studied, specifying its area of influence. The distribution curve of the water blades, plotted as a function of the cumulative frequencies of non-exceedance, then makes it possible to determine the flow coefficients as well as the associated volumes for the five-year and ten-year return periods. These results are obtained after adjusting the rainfall data according to the normal law. By analyzing the morphological parameters of the watershed, it appears that it is linked to the Oued Djajibine typical basin, attached to the Oued Ghorfa system in Mauritania. This typical basin is characterized by a drainage density of 2.02 km/km2 and a specific elevation difference of 25 meters.
4.2. Study of Losses
Loss assessment is an essential step in ensuring the effectiveness of flood protection structures, such as dikes and retention basins. It focuses on assessing water losses through evaporation, infiltration, and the accumulation of solid deposits. These losses, by reducing the useful storage capacity, can compromise the performance of the structure. It is therefore essential to estimate them accurately in order to correctly size the reservoir and ensure optimal flood management.
Estimation of evaporation losses
Rainfall data collected at the Saint Louis station made it possible to assess evaporation losses. Within the framework of the planned structures, particularly the dissipation basins and spillways, these losses remain limited compared to the volumes mobilized during floods. They are nevertheless taken into account to ensure the effectiveness of the flood protection system.
Estimation of infiltration losses
The Khar Yalla area (Saint-Louis) is located below sea level according to the visualization with Google Earth, the 2 m resolution DTM and the topo surveys, which suggests a basin topography.
Estimation of spatial losses due to solid deposits
Runoff water, especially during heavy rainfall, carries solid materials (sand, silt, organic debris) that end up being deposited in retention areas, such as dissipation basins, upstream of dikes or around spillways. These deposits gradually reduce the storage capacity and can disrupt the hydraulic efficiency of flood protection structures. In the Khar Yalla catchment, characterized by a basin-shaped topography, the reduced flow velocity promotes settling and accumulation of sediment. It is therefore essential to take these losses into account from the design stage, in order to correctly size the structures and ensure their long-term effectiveness. To estimate these solid losses at the project scale, several recognized empirical formulas were used, including those of Grisillon, Gottschalk and the modified formula of Professor Karambiri [5], adapted to the hydrological conditions of the region. Table 8 includes all the formulas proposed by various authors to estimate spatial losses due to solid deposits.
Table 8. Estimation of spatial losses due to solid deposits.
Authors |
Formulas |
GRISILLON |
|
GOTTSCHALK |
|
KARAMBIRI |
(20) |
D: Annual specific degradation (m3/Km2/year) P: Average annual rainfall (mm) S: Area of the watershed (Km2) V: Annual volume of sediment input (m3) h: Anthropogenic parameter (h = 0.3) for a watershed containing small towns/villages or located near them (FAO, 1996) r: Morphological parameter (r = 0.2) for a slightly uneven, pronounced relief (FAO, 1996) |
The annual volume of solid inputs can then be determined using the following relationship:
(21)
4.3. Study on the Relocation of Populations Affected by Flooding in the Khar Yalla Neighborhood
The social study was conducted through a participatory field survey in the most exposed areas of the neighborhood. A semi-structured questionnaire was administered to a representative sample of affected households (31 households) using the SurveyMonkey tool, allowing the collection of their feelings, fears, living conditions, and level of acceptability regarding the relocation option. The qualitative analysis focused on:
Experiences of recurrent flooding;
Perceptions of the proposed solutions (infrastructure works, relocation);
Level of trust in the authorities and the project;
Emotional, economic, and social barriers to a potential relocation.
5. Results and Discussion
5.1. Topographic Studies
The topographic analysis of the study area is based on a high-resolution (2-meter) Digital Elevation Model, supplemented by a ground survey carried out by the Parar Consulting consultancy firm. The recorded altitudes range between −1.17 m and 2.82 m, with a large portion of the Khar Yalla district located below sea level. This basin-like configuration, characterized by a very low drop, prevents efficient gravity flow and increases vulnerability to flooding. Figure 1 below represents the surface height curve.
Figure 1. Height surface curve.
This curve shows the evolution of the flooded area as a function of water height. Up to about 300 hectares, the growth is gradual, then accelerates significantly. This reflects the sudden opening of the basin in its upper parts, where a slight rise in level leads to a large spatial extension.
As soon as the water exceeds a certain threshold (around 0.08 m), the flooded area increases very rapidly. This behavior highlights the vulnerability of certain areas of the neighborhood, which can be submerged in a short time if no regulation measures are implemented.
Figure 2. Height volume curve.
The height-volume curve highlights the relationship between the water height in the basin and the stored volume. There is a slow increase in volume up to approximately 8,000,000 m3, followed by a marked increase. This break reflects the slight slope in the lower areas, where water accumulates without generating large volumes, followed by a more rapid filling as the level rises. This confirms the basin shape of the retention area (Figure 2).
Water storage begins slowly, which means that the first flooded areas become saturated quickly without providing much capacity. This phenomenon increases the risk of flooding during the initial heavy rains.
5.2. Soil Studies
The results of soil surveys carried out at several strategic points in the study area reveal a strong presence of clay in the surface layers, to an average depth of one meter. This dominant texture gives the soil very low permeability, limiting water infiltration and promoting surface stagnation.
5.3. Hydrological Studies
The hydrological analysis made it possible to characterize the Khar Yalla watershed, to better understand the rainfall regime and to estimate extreme rainfall events that could lead to flooding. It is based on local rainfall data and the application of statistical methods according to different return periods.
Analysis of rainfall data. The rainfall data used come from stations close to the study area. They were subjected to statistical analysis using HYFRAN+ software, with adjustment according to Gumbel and Gauss laws. This analysis made it possible to estimate the rainfall quantiles associated with different return periods, which helps anticipate extreme episodes (Table 9).
Table 9. Rainfall data from the Saint-Louis station from 1980 to 2018.
Descriptive characteristics of rainfall data from the Saint- Louis from 1980 to 2018 |
Station |
Saint-Louis |
Nature |
Average annual rainfall |
Maximum daily rainfall |
Size |
39 |
39 |
Average (m) |
255.77 |
127.45 |
Standard deviation (Ϭ) |
98.36 |
59.18 |
Maximum |
593.6 |
320.1 |
Minimal |
58.6 |
33.1 |
Median |
261.3 |
126.8 |
Confidence interval (%) |
95 |
95 |
Table 10 below represents the summary of the adjustments to the rainfall data.
Table 10. Summary of rainfall data from the Saint-Louis station from 1980 to 2018.
|
Summary of rainfall data adjustments |
Quantile |
|
|
NORMAL Law |
GUMBEL’s Law |
|
Summary of rainfall data adjustments |
|
|
Return period |
q = F(xi) probability of non-exceedance |
Ui: variable reduced by GAUSS |
Rain (mm) |
Ui: reduced variable |
Rain (mm) |
Dried |
100 |
0.01 |
−2.33 |
26.95 |
−1.527 |
36.19 |
50 |
0.02 |
−2.05 |
53.76 |
−1.364 |
43.71 |
10 |
0.1 |
−1.28 |
129.72 |
−0.834 |
68.18 |
5 |
0.2 |
−0.84 |
172.99 |
−0.476 |
84.71 |
Median |
2 |
0.5 |
0 |
255.77 |
0.367 |
123.6 |
Humid |
5 |
0.8 |
0.84 |
338.56 |
1.5 |
175.92 |
10 |
0.9 |
1.28 |
381.83 |
2.25 |
210,556 |
50 |
0.98 |
2.05 |
457.78 |
3902 |
286.79 |
100 |
0.99 |
2.33 |
484.6 |
4.6 |
319.02 |
The results reveal a logical progression of rainfall heights with increasing return period, reflecting an increase in risk in the event of exceptional events.
The results reveal a logical progression of rainfall heights with increasing return periods, reflecting an increased risk in the event of extreme events. The fittings using probability distributions showed good agreement with the Gaussian and Gumbel distributions, with over 90% of the data falling within the confidence intervals. This validates the relevance of these distributions for modeling rainfall data in the study area.
6. Watershed characterization
6.1. Geo-Morphometric Characteristics
The watershed that feeds the study area covers an area of 44.4 km2, with a total perimeter of 101.85 km. According to the Rodier classification (FAO Bulletin 54), it is a medium-sized basin (40 km2 < S < 1000 km2). Its morphology is elongated, as evidenced by its high compactness index of 4.31. With reference to the typology proposed by Rodier and Auvrey (FAO Bulletin, 1998), it is classified in category P3 or RI, which indicates low permeability of the watershed. The results of the geomorphometric characteristics are shown in Table 11.
Table 11. Geomorphometric characteristics.
Setting |
Value |
Unit |
Interpretation |
Area (S) |
44.4 |
Km2 |
Middle basin |
Perimeter (P) |
101.85 |
Km |
- |
Gravelius compactness index or (Shape index) |
4.31 |
- |
Elongated shape |
Equivalent length (Leq) |
50.04 |
Km |
Elongate |
Equivalent width (leq) |
0.89 |
Km |
Very narrow |
Undercover Class |
RI (P3) |
- |
Relatively waterproof |
In summary, the basin has an elongated shape and low permeability, increasing the risk of rapid runoff towards the outlet.
The set of geomorphometric, hypsometric, topographic, and hydrographic characteristics of the Khar Yalla watershed reveals an area with high hydrological vulnerability. The combination of an elongated shape, gentle slopes, depressed relief, and low permeability promotes rapid runoff while limiting the natural drainage of water. Despite a relatively high drainage density, the efficiency of the hydrographic network remains compromised by the nearly flat topography. These factors fully justify the implementation of flood protection structures, adapted to a context of low natural hydrodynamics.
The hypsometric curve
The analysis of the hypsometric curve allows us to assess the altitudinal distribution of the basin. The altitudes vary from −1.17 m to 2.82 m, which reflects a very low topographic amplitude.
H 95% ≈ −1.17 m: 95% of the basin is below this threshold, confirming the basin topography of Khar Yalla, with more than 60% of the basin located between +0.5 m and −1.0 m. This altimetric structure, consistent with the results geomorphometric , explains the difficulties of natural water evacuation: the gentle slopes limit the gravitational flow, while the negative altitudes compared to the sea level favor the rise of the water table and flooding by submersion or saturation. This configuration justifies the need for suitable hydraulic structures to compensate for the absence of natural drainage and to protect the area sustainably.
Figure 3 represents the hypsometric curve.
Figure 3. Hypsometric curve.
The hypsometric curve confirms the bowl-shaped topography of Khar Yalla, with over 60% of the watershed located between +0.5 m and −1.0 m. This altimetric structure, consistent with the geomorphometric results, explains the difficulties in natural water drainage: the gentle slopes limit gravitational flow, while the negative elevations relative to sea level favor groundwater rise and flooding due to inundation or saturation. This configuration underscores the need for suitable hydraulic structures to compensate for the lack of natural drainage and to sustainably protect the area.
Watershed relief characteristics
Table 12 below represents the characteristics relating to the relief of the watershed.
Table 12. The characteristics relating to the relief of the watershed.
Setting |
Value |
Unit |
Interpretation |
Average slope (Imoy) |
1.37 |
- |
Low slope |
Longitudinal slope (IL) |
3.90 |
m/km |
Gentle |
Average cross slope |
4.69 |
m/km |
- |
Global slope index (Ig) |
0.08 |
- |
Flat |
Corrected slope index |
1 |
- |
Flat (confirmed) |
Specific elevation (Ds) |
6.65 (Ds < 50 m) |
m |
Low relief (FAO Bulletin |
The very low relief prevents efficient natural flow, which promotes water stagnation and increases the risk of flooding.
Characteristics relating to the hydrographic network
The characteristics relating to the hydrographic network are listed in Table 13.
Table 13. Characteristics relating to the hydrographic network.
Setting |
Value |
Unit |
Interpretation |
Total network length |
101.91 |
Km |
Large network |
Number of orders |
8 |
- |
Prioritization confirmed |
Drainage density (Dd) |
2.30 |
Km−1 |
Very dense network |
Although drainage density is high, reflecting a network that is potentially favorable for water evacuation, its actual effectiveness remains limited by the relief. In the absence of sufficient slope, the flow remains slow and poorly structured, reducing drainage capacity during heavy rains and increasing the risk of flooding.
6.2. Determination of the Project Flood Flow
The design flood corresponds to a rare and high flow, characterized by a rapid rise in water levels in the watercourse. It has a low return frequency but a potentially significant impact. To ensure safety, the structures will be designed to evacuate the 100-year flood, i.e. an event with an annual probability of occurrence of 1% (or an average occurrence every 100 years).
The ten-year flood is estimated using the ORSTOM and Puech & Chabi (CIEH) methods. The hundred-year flood, retained as the design flood, is then deduced using the GRADEX method, via a coefficient applied to the ten-year flows obtained.
ORSTOM de AUVREY and RODIER method
Table 14 below shows the results of the ten-year flood according to ORSTOM.
Table 14. The results of the ten-year flood according to ORSTOM.
Maximum daily rainfall per hundred years |
P100 (mm) |
313 |
Maximum daily rainfall per ten years |
P10 (mm) |
204 |
Annual ten-year rainfall |
Pan10 (mm) |
380 |
Reduction coefficient (A) |
HAS |
0.75 |
Ten-year runoff coefficient |
Kr10 |
33.6 |
Basic time |
Tb (mn) |
300 |
Peak coefficient of a ten-year flood |
|
2.60 |
Ten-year runoff flow rate |
Qr10 (m3/s) |
19.83 |
Ten-year peak flow |
Q10 (m3/s) |
20.82 |
CIEH method
Table 15 below shows the results of the ten-year flood according to CIEH.
Table 15. The results of the ten-year flood according to CIEH.
Linear regression equation number |
Value of Q10 in m3/s |
Q9 |
95.82 |
Q11 |
94.34 |
Q12 |
45.16 |
Q33 |
48.28 |
Average Q |
70.90 |
From these two methods, we obtained the centennial flood using the multiplier coefficient of the gradex method as shown in Table 16.
Table 16. The results of the 100-year flood.
Method |
ORSTOM |
CIEH |
GRADEX C coefficient |
Q100 retained (CIEH) |
Value in m3/s |
48.26 |
164.30 |
2.32 |
164.30 |
The flood hydrograph
The flood hydrograph shows the different curves occurring during a flood period. Figure 4 shows its appearance in the study area.
Figure 4. Simulated flood hydrograph of the study area.
The simulated flood hydrograph illustrates the evolution of discharge over time during a critical rainfall event in the Khar Yalla catchment. It is broken down into three distinct hydrological phases:
Rising phase: from the initial state to the design flow Qp = 244.02 m3/s. This rapid rise reflects a strong reaction of the basin, linked to the impermeability of the soil and the basin topography. The Recession phase: from the flood peak to the discontinuity flow Qd = 30.13 m3/s. The gentler slope reflects a progressive evacuation of the runoff volumes. And the drying-up phase: final phase bringing the flow back to zero, marking the end of the flood episode.
6.3. Assessment of Contributions at the Watershed Level
This assessment aims to quantify the volumes of water generated in the basin during a rainfall episode. Two empirical methods (Coutagne and Rodier) based on regional formulas from African observations are used.
6.3.1. Estimation of Liquid Intake Using the COUTAGNE Method
The advantage of this method lies in its simplicity of application and its ability to provide a more consistent approximation from rainfall and morphological data.
The estimation based on this method made it possible to evaluate the contributions generated for different return periods. The results obtained are summarized in Table 17.
Table 17. Estimation of liquid intake.
Calculation parameters |
Symbol |
Results |
Lambda |
λ |
0.229 |
Annual flow deficit |
D (m) |
0.241 |
Average annual rainfall |
Pman (mm) |
255.77 |
Average annual temperature |
T (°C) |
25.60 |
Annual water flow |
The (mm) |
14.92 |
Flow coefficient |
Ke% |
5.83 |
Dry five-year runoff coefficient |
Ke5% |
4.08 |
Dry ten-year runoff coefficient |
Ke10% |
2.92 |
Annual liquid intake |
V (m3) |
662036.51 |
Five-year liquid intake |
V5 (m3) |
463425.56 |
Ten-year liquid contribution |
V10 (m3) |
331018.26 |
Estimation of liquid intake using the RODIER method
The results obtained are summarized in Table 18.
Table 18. Estimation of liquid intake.
Calculation parameters |
Symbol |
Results |
Average annual rainfall |
Pman (mm) |
255.77 |
Annual water flow |
The (mm) |
6 |
Flow coefficient |
Ke% |
2.33 |
Dry five-year runoff coefficient |
Ke5% |
1.64 |
Dry ten-year runoff coefficient |
Ke10% |
1.17 |
Annual liquid intake |
V (m3) |
226197.84 |
Five-year liquid intake |
V5 (m3) |
186338.49 |
Ten-year liquid contribution |
V10 (m3) |
133098.92 |
In order to ensure a safety margin in the sizing of the structures while remaining realistic, the average of the volumes obtained is retained, i.e. approximately 397,567 m3. This choice makes it possible to limit the deviations linked to empirical methods and serves as a reference for the rest of the hydraulic analysis.
Estimation of infiltration losses
Based on the average daily infiltration of 1 mm, retained and justified in methodology, the annual infiltrated volume is estimated at approximately m3.
6.3.2. Estimation of Spatial Losses Due to Solid Deposits
The assessment of spatial losses due to solid deposits was carried out using three empirical methods commonly used in hydro-sedimentary studies: Grésillon, Gottschalk and Karambiri. The results are presented in Table 19:
Table 19. Estimation of spatial losses.
Estimation method |
Specific degradation Ds (m3/km2/year) |
Annual volume (m3/year) |
GRISILION |
2093.43 |
92877.58 |
GOTTSCHALK |
177.94 |
7894.44 |
KARAMBIRI |
820.63 |
36408.18 |
Retained value |
1457.03 |
64642.88 |
6.3.3. Survey Results: Low but Informed Acceptability
The survey revealed strong resistance to the idea of relocation:
89% of respondents are opposed.
5.5% would accept temporarily leaving their homes.
5.5% would accept permanently leaving the neighborhood, but under very strict conditions (better living conditions, adequate support, etc.).
The reasons given are deep-rooted: attachment to the neighborhood, fear of isolation, distrust of political promises, and risk of marginalization. Nevertheless, a minority—but significant—portion recognizes that flooding is becoming unlivable and that well-managed relocation solutions could be acceptable.
Partial conclusion: Relocation in Khar Yalla should not be perceived as a failure of urban planning but as a strategic decision to optimize the project. It is technically sound, economically justifiable, and potentially socially acceptable if implemented with careful planning and sensitivity.
7. Conclusions
The Khar Yalla neighborhood, located below sea level in the city of Saint-Louis, faces a particularly acute flood risk, fueled by a combination of factors: basin-shaped topography, low permeability of clay soils, outcropping water table, and increasing urbanization without an appropriate sanitation plan. This thesis has made it possible to propose a structured response to this vulnerability by combining the implementation of adapted hydraulic structures with social reflection on the partial relocation of the most exposed populations.
The study was based on a rigorous hydrological analysis of the 44.4 km2 watershed, whose annual useful inflows were estimated at approximately 597,396 m3, with a 100-year flood flow estimated at 164.30 m3/s. Based on this data, several structures were designed to meet local constraints. These include a gravity-type homogeneous clayey earth dike, 3.44 m high, 615 m long and 3 m wide at the crest, with slopes inclined at 1 V/2 H. The spillway, made of cyclopean concrete and positioned frontally, is set at a height of 3.3 m. 13.5 m long, it is designed to evacuate the design flow while ensuring an effective rolling effect. Downstream, a dissipation basin with a step reinforced by gabions arranged in a staircase helps control the flow speed and prevent erosion.