Business Valuation and Company Value: New Horizons

Abstract

The aim of the work is to further improve the qualitatively new approach to assessing the value of a business and a company, which has been proposed by us earlier. The methodology for collecting and processing data required for assessing a business and a company is considered in detail. A more detailed accounting of data on financial income flows CF and the discount rate WACC(n) for the entire period of the company’s existence or from the moment of its IPO (in increments of one year), and not only for the year of valuation, allows us to more accurately take into account the influence of the retrospective period (which was taken into account within the framework of the Brusov-Filatova consideration, but less accurately) and more accurately assess the business and capitalization of the company. Application of a new methodology to a couple of companies: PJSC “PIK-specialized developer” (PIKK) and Yandex (YNDX.ME) has been done.

Share and Cite:

Brusov, P. and Filatova, T. (2025) Business Valuation and Company Value: New Horizons. Theoretical Economics Letters, 15, 718-735. doi: 10.4236/tel.2025.153039.

1. Introduction

1.1. Business Valuation and Company Value

Business valuation and company value play a very important role.

The objectives of business valuation may be: making an informed investment decision; buying and selling shares and bonds of an enterprise on the stock market; making an informed investment decision; buying and selling an enterprise; restructuring an enterprise; merger, liquidation, acquisition, spin-off of an independent company; determining the creditworthiness of an enterprise and the cost of collateral for lending; insurance; taxation, etc.

The enterprise position in the market is determined by an enterprise market capitalization and determines how much investors are willing to pay for its shares.

The value of any asset (shares, bonds, companies, etc.) is equal to the current value of all income received by this asset. Thus, to find the value of a company, it is necessary to find the current value of all income received by the company from the moment of its creation to the current moment, that is, in the retrospective period. And to evaluate a business, it is necessary to find the current value of all future income received by the enterprise in the representative and final periods.

In this paper, further improvement of the qualitatively new approach to assessing the value of a business and a company has been proposed earlier by Brusov and Filatova (2025). We consider in detail the methodology for collecting and processing data required to assess a business and a company. A more detailed accounting of data on financial income flows CF and the discount rate WACC(n) for the entire period of the company’s existence or from the moment of its IPO (in increments of one year), and not just for the year of assessment, allows us to more accurately take into account the influence of the retrospective period (which was taken into account by Brusov and Filatova (2025), but less accurately) and more accurately assess the business and capitalization of the company.

Among the three business valuation methods (cost, comparative and income), the income method is the most reliable and accurate. The income method is divided into three approaches: Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM), Arbitrage Pricing Theory (APT) and WACC. Brusov and Filatova (2025) modified two methods: CAPM and WACC. They created a new model CAPM 2.0, which simultaneously takes into account business and financial risks (Brusov & Filatova, 2024d).

The main disadvantage of existing valuation methods is the inability to estimate the main valuation parameter—the discount rate. The role of the correct determination of the discount rate in preventing abuses in business valuation, in investments, in determining the fair value of shareholders’ dividend income is of decisive importance.

The only theory that allows for a correct assessment of the discount rate is the BFO theory (Brusov et al., 2022a, 2022b, 2022c; Brusov & Tatiana, 2022a, 2022b; Brusov & Filatova, 2023; Brusov et al., 2023a, 2023b, 2023c), which allows for the calculation of the WACC dependence on the company’s age. This allows for a link between the retrospective analysis of the company’s financial condition and the representative one. Another difficulty with DCF (discounted cash flow) is the assessment of future cash flows, which is a complex task. The BFO theory could solve this issue in two ways. To do this, it is necessary to use data on cash flows for the past few years. Determining the rate of income growth based on this data allows for 1) improving the forecasting of cash flows in the representative and reference periods; 2) correctly determining the WACC discount rate, which in this case depends on the rate of income growth.

1.2. Literature Review

There are three methods used to value a business: CAPM, APT, and WACC. CAPM uses the risk-free rate as the initial return and takes into account only the business risk associated with investing in a specific asset, not with investing in the market as a whole or in an industry. APT is a multi-factor theory, as opposed to the single-factor CAPM.

The WACC method is the most powerful and adequate. It is based on the application of two main theories of capital structure (the Brusov-Filatova-Orekhova (BFO) theory and the Modigliani-Miller (MM) theory). They take into account the financial risk arising from the use of debt financing. The BFO theory can be applied to a company of any age, while the MM theory is of perpetual nature (Brusov et al., 2022a, 2022b, 2022c; Brusov & Tatiana, 2022a, 2022b; Brusov & Filatova, 2023; Brusov et al., 2023a, 2023b, 2023c).

The Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) was developed by Sharpe (1964), Lintner (1965), Treynor (1965), and Mossin (1966) and is based on portfolio theory. Although CAPM is still widely used, analysis of data on numerous listed companies has shown that the CAPM results on company profitability differ significantly from actual ones. The reasons for this discrepancy are related to the intrinsic properties and shortcomings of the model. Several modifications of CAPM have been developed that approach it closer to real conditions (Fama & French, 1992, 1993, 1995; Hamada, 1969, 1972; Fama, 1965; Brusov et al., 2023a, 2023b, 2023c, 2023d). Brusov et al. (2023a, 2023b, 2023c, 2023d) took into account financial risk together with business risk. Hamada (1969, 1972) tried to take into account financial risk. As is known, the classical CAPM takes into account only business risk. However, in practice, companies have debt financing, which means it is necessary to take into account financial risk as well.

Brusov, Filatova, Kulik (Brusov et al., 2024a, 2024b, 2024c) took into account business and financial risk simultaneously. They created the CAPM 2.0 model and showed the incorrectness of Hamada (1969, 1972) results. In CAPM 2.0, the CAPM model and the Modigliani-Miller (1958, 1963) (MM) theory were combined. CAPM takes into account business risk (market or industry). The Modigliani-Miller (MM) theory describes a specific company and takes into account financial risks arising from debt financing. Combining CAPM and the Modigliani-Miller theory made it possible to take into account both types of risks: business and financial. Hamada (1969, 1972) did this phenomenologically, and Brusov, Filatova, Kulik (2024a, 2024b, 2024c) combined these two approaches analytically.

As shown by Brusov et al. (2024a, 2024b, 2024c, 2024d) within the CAPM 2.0 model, Hamada’s results are incorrect. Brusov et al. (2024a, 2024b, 2024c, 2024d) were the first to discover, that in addition to beta-coeeficient renormalization, got by Hamada, two additional terms: the renormalized risk-free return and a term depending on the cost of debt kd. Most listed companies use debt financing, so Hamada’s results are not applicable to them, unlike the CAPM 2.0 model (Brusov et al. 2024a, 2024b, 2024c, 2024d), which is applicable to companies with leverage.

Fama and French (1992, 1993, 1995) and Fama (1965) showed that future returns depend on such parameters as firm size, industry affiliation etc. They created three- and five-factor models (Fama & French, 1992, 1993, 1995).

Arbitrage Pricing Theory (APT) was created by Ross (1976). The APT formula, unlike the single factor CAPM, has multiple factors that include non-corporate factors, which requires the beta of an asset to be relative to each specific factor. These factors can affect the return of an asset and must be analytically determined by users. This is why investors prefer to use CAPM to estimate the expected rate of return rather than using APT.

2. New Methodology

This article presents a new methodology for valuing a business and company value. Below we discuss aspects of the new methodology in detail.

There are two main parameters in the evaluation of a business and the capitalization of a company: financial flows and discount rates, since the value of any asset is equal to the sum of the discounted income generated by this asset.

2.1. Financial Flows

When collecting data on financial flows, several questions arise: 1) for what period are incomes taken into account, 2) what incomes are taken into account. The answers are as following:

1) Data is required for the entire period of the company’s existence, or from the moment of its IPO.

2) Income can be calculated by stock quotes (with taking into account their number, if it changes), or by EBIT(DA), or by a more complex formula that takes into account a number of additional parameters.

One of the difference from Brusov-Filatova (BF) (Brusov & Filatova, 2025) case is that the data on financial flows are collected for the entire period of the company’s existence, or from the moment of its IPO, and not just for the year of valuation.

2.2. The Discount Rate

To find the discount rate and its dependence on time within the framework of the BFO theory, it is necessary to know the parameter k0 (the value of equity capital and WACC at zero leverage). It is determined as follows:

1) The following data from the company’s reporting for the year preceding the year of assessment are collected:

μ;L; k d ;t .

Here μ is company yield; L is leverage level; k d is cost of debt and t is tax on profit.

2) If μ > 0 μ should be cleaned from leverage, by using Modigliani-Miller (MM) formula for cost of equity:

μ= k 0 +L( k 0 k d )( 1t )

k 0 = μ i +L k d ( 1t ) 1+L( 1t )

(2a) If for the year preceding the year of assessment μ < 0, then it is necessary to shift to the year in which the yield μ > 0. There is alternative method by A. Brusova (2011), which allows to find k0 at any yield.

Unlike the BF case (Brusov & Filatova, 2025), the data on the discount rate WACC(n) (and its dependence on company age n) are used for the entire period of existence of the company or from the moment of its IPO (in one-year increments), and not only for the year of assessment.

A more detailed accounting of data on financial income flows CF and the discount rate WACC(n) for the entire period of the company’s existence or from the moment of its IPO (in increments of one year), and not only for the year of valuation, allows us to more accurately take into account the influence of the retrospective period (which was taken into account within the framework of the BF consideration (Brusov & Filatova, 2025), but less accurately) and more accurately assess the business and capitalization of the company.

2.3. Company Value

We consider three time periods (see Figure 1):

1) retrospective period (from the moment of creation (entering the market) of the company until the moment of evaluation (n1));

2) representative period (from the moment of assessment (n1) to the end of this period (n2): usually 5 - 10 years);

3) terminate period (finite (until moment (n3), or infinite): in the first case, the BFO theory is used; in the second case, its perpetuity limits the MM theory).

Figure 1. Three time periods: retrospective period (0-n1); representative period (n1-n2); and terminate period (n2-n3).

To calculate the capitalization of company V it is necessary:

1) Collect and process company data (links to websites) for the entire period of the company’s existence or from the moment of its IPO (in increments of one year):

a) CF for each year (few methods):

  • by stock quotes;

  • taking into account EBIT, depreciation, capital expenditures, increase in working capital, payment of taxes taking into account the tax shield etc. (see formulas below)

There are three types of cash flows:

Capital asset cash flow (CCF)

CCF=EBIT+DepreciationCapital ExpendituresWorking Capital Increase Actual Taxes( payment of taxes taking into account the tax shield ).

Here Actual Taxes=Tax Rate( EBITInterest ).

Equity cash flow (ECF)

ECF=EBIT+DepreciationCapital ExpendituresWorking Capital Increase InterestDebt payments+Debt issuesActual Taxes

Invested capital cash flow (FCF)

FCF=EBIT+DepreciationCapital ExpendituresWorking Capital Increase InterestDebt paymentsHypothetical Taxes( Tax rate×EBIT )

2) a) Collect the following data for the assessment year (2023)

μ,t, k d ,D,S,L=D/S .

Here μ is profitability, t is tax on profit, k d is the cost of debt, D is the value of debt, S is the value of equity and L = D/S is the level of leverage.

b) To find the parameter k0 from the MM equation for ke

μ i = μ 0 +L( μ 0 k d )( 1t ) (1)

Find k0 from the formula (2) below

k 0 = μ 0 = μ i +L k d ( 1t ) 1+L( 1t ) (2)

3) Using the BFO formula, we find the WACC(n) dependence (n runs from 1 to the age of the company in 2023)

1 ( 1+WACC ) n WACC = 1 ( 1+ k 0 ) n k 0 ( 1 w d t[ 1 ( 1+ k d ) n ] ) (3)

For a fixed n (1, 2, …) we find WACC (by selecting the parameter (WACC)) and plot the WACC(n) dependence graph using Excel tables.

Alternative method for finding WACC(n)—using programming language Python.

4) To calculate the capitalization of company V, we use the following formula

V= CF 23 + CF 22 ( 1+ WACC 23 )+ CF 21 ( 1+ WACC 23 )( 1+ WACC 22 )+ (4)

5) Compare the company’s capitalization calculated for two (or more) cash flows and the actual value of the company’s market capitalization.

2.4. Business Valuation

To evaluate the business, it is necessary to continue calculating the dependence of WACC(n) for five to ten years (or maybe more) (so we will consider 5-year and 10-year horizons). At the same time we can consider constant CF, or variable CF. In the first case one should use the following formula for representative (V1) and terminate (V2) periods:

For 5-year horizon

V 1 = CF 23 [ ( 1+ WACC 24 ) 1 + ( 1+ WACC 24 ) 1 ( 1+ WACC 25 ) 1 ++ ( 1+ WACC 24 ) 1 ++ ( 1+ WACC 28 ) 1 ] (5)

V 2 = CF 23 WACC 28 ( 1+ WACC 24 )++( 1+ WACC 28 ) (6)

V= V 1 + V 2 (7)

For 10-year horizon

V 1 = CF 23 [ ( 1+ WACC 24 ) 1 + ( 1+ WACC 24 ) 1 ( 1+ WACC 25 ) 1 ++ ( 1+ WACC 24 ) 1 ++ ( 1+ WACC 33 ) 1 ] (8)

V 2 = CF 23 WACC 33 ( 1+ WACC 24 )++( 1+ WACC 33 ) (9)

V= V 1 + V 2 (10)

The terminal period here (in the formulas (6) and (9)) is considered infinite. For a finite terminal period, it is necessary to continue calculating WACC(n) within the framework of the BFO theory.

3. Application of New Methodology to Some Companies

Below we apply new methodology to a couple of companies. We start from PJSC “PIK-specialized developer” (PIKK).

3.1. PJSC “PIK-Specialized Developer” (PIKK)

The company was founded in 1994 as the First Mortgage Company. In the 2000s, several factories producing building materials and components for construction were acquired. In July 2007, the company went public, and its securities began to be traded on the Moscow and London stock exchanges.

To assess the value of a business and a company, one needs to do the following:

1) Collect and process company data (links to websites) for the entire period of the company’s existence or from the moment of its IPO (in increments of one year):

a) CF for each year (two methods):

  • by stock quotes;

  • taking into account EBIT, depreciation, capital expenditures, increase in working capital, payment of taxes taking into account the tax shield (see below).

Let’s calculate CF using the first method (by quotes), using the formula:

CF=number of shares at the end×share price at the end number of shares at the beginning×share price at the beginning.

We’ll get the following Tables 1-4 and Figure 2.

Table 1. Data for the first method.

year

stock price at the beginning of the year, rubles

stock price at the end of the year, rubles

number of shares at the beginning of the year

number of shares at the end of the year

CF, rubles

WACC

calculation V step by step, rubles

2007

657

739.97

456260384

456260384

37855924060

0.11026104

1.95251E+11

2008

740

385

456260384

493260384

−1.47727E+11

0.10861657

−6.87288E+11

2009

30.21

123.45

493260384

493260384

45991598204

0.1081376

1.93091E+11

2010

129.89

122.89

493260384

493260384

−3452822688

0.10793723

−13084067558

2011

128.5

77

493260384

493260384

−25402909776

0.10769972

−86902029843

2012

77.49

67.5

493260384

493260384

−4927671236

0.10764139

−15219101106

2013

64.73

70.5

493260384

660497344

14636318096

0.10765044

40810920692

2014

67.7

187.3

660497344

660497344

78995482342

0.10767512

1.98854E+11

2015

191.7

219

660497344

660497344

18031577491

0.10773358

40976093721

2016

215.5

290

660497344

660497344

49207052128

0.10779863

1.0094E+11

2017

285.9

35

660497344

660497344

26816192166

0.10785439

49653564816

2018

327.4

376.3

660497344

660497344

32298320122

0.10794756

53977660022

2019

374.7

400.4

660497344

660497344

16974781741

0.10802416

25602895825

2020

407

595.9

660497344

660497344

1.24768E+11

0.1080999

1.69828E+11

2021

597.9

1102.4

660497344

660497344

3.33221E+11

0.10817123

4.0929E+11

2022

1155.7

602.5

660497344

660497344

−3.65387E+11

0.10824475

−4.04964E+11

2023

604.2

677

660497344

660497344

48084206643

0.10831554

48084206643

For stock quotes—https://ru.investing.com/equities/pik_rts https://www.moex.com/ru/issue.aspx?board=TQBR&code=PIKK

For number of shares https://www.kommersant.ru/quotes/ru000a0jp7j7 https://stockchart.ru/fundamental/MSFO/PIKK/number_of_shares https://marketcap.ru/stocks/PIKK/financial-statements/income-statement/number-of-shares

Let’s calculate CF using the second method, using the formula:

CCF=EBIT+DepreciationCapital ExpendituresWorking Capital Increase Actual Taxes( payment of taxes taking into account the tax shield ).

Here Actual Taxes=Tax Rate( EBITInterest ) .

Table 2. Data for the second method.

year

EBIT, rubles.

depreciation, rubles

income tax, rubles

CAPEX, rubles

Working capital increase, rubles

CF, rubles

WACC

calculation V step by step, rubles

2007

14100000000

777000000

3595000000

1521200000

1487000000

8273800000

0.110261

42674037626

2008

−6920000000

1076000

925000000

196100000

3502200000

−1.1542E+10

0.1086166

−53699080467

2009

−3260000000

860000000

218000000

460000000

2000000000

−5078000000

0.1081376

−21319467628

2010

−1010000000

759000000

1099000000

420000000

15000000000

−1.677E+10

0.1079372

−63547952726

2011

7800000000

736000000

152900000

470000000

12000000000

−4086900000

0.1076997

−13981071810

2012

10470000000

860000000

125500000

450000000

14520000000

−3765500000

0.1076414

−11629737957

2013

13740000000

705000000

235000000

480000000

15680000000

−1950000000

0.1076504

−5437248277

2014

12460000000

737000000

227000000

428000000

23000000000

−1.0458E+10

0.1076751

−26325752189

2015

17510000000

1124000

179300000

4670000000

10100000000

2561824000

0.1077336

5821650400

2016

23650000000

930000000

252600000

1000000000

2000000000

2.1327E+10

0.1077986

43749583415

2017

16440000000

636620000

200000000

2501000000

10200000000

4175620000

0.1078544

7731687520

2018

34630000000

2237000000

5446000000

3882000000

2500000000

2.5039E+10

0.1079476

41845725233

2019

62330000000

3024000000

8390000000

4150000000

20000000000

3.2814E+10

0.1080242

49493032454

2020

1.118E+11

3479000000

6326000000

3200000000

24300000000

8.1453E+10

0.1080999

1.1087E+11

2021

1.4018E+11

4943000000

2.3487E+10

9860000000

13000000000

9.8776E+10

0.1081712

1.21325E+11

2022

45000000000

1522676250

1E+10

5000000000

1500000000

3.0023E+10

0.1082447

33274598640

2023

1.18E+11

3677000000

1.2218E+10

8100000000

16700000000

8.4659E+10

0.1083155

84659000000

2) Collect the following data for 2023 μ, t, kd, D, S, L = D/S and find the parameter k0 from the MM equation for ke

μ i = μ 0 +L( μ 0 k d )( 1t )

Find k0

k 0 = μ 0 = μ i +L k d ( 1t ) 1+L( 1t )

Table 3. Data for 2023.

Data for 2023

μ

t

kd

D

S

L

k0

wd

0.120489904

0.2

0.0967

1.1257E+11

3.25436E+11

0.345905554

0.115333546

0.257005815

Table 4. Dependence WACC(n).

n

WACC

1

0.110261038

2

0.108616573

3

0.108137601

4

0.107937234

5

0.107699721

6

0.107641394

7

0.10765044

8

0.107675122

9

0.107733576

10

0.107798631

11

0.107854391

12

0.10794756

13

0.108024156

14

0.1080999

15

0.108171229

16

0.108244747

17

0.10831554

18

0.108385468

19

0.108450442

20

0.108512351

21

0.108571157

22

0.108626871

23

0.108678302

24

0.10872815

25

0.108775108

26

0.108819278

27

0.108860766

Figure 2. Dependence WACC(n) for 2007 to 2033. https://stockchart.ru/Financial/PIKK https://finrange.com/ru/company/MOEX/PIKK/financial-statements https://pik-group.ru/about/news-and-reports/reports/financial-results https://pik-group.ru.media.pik-service.ru/attachment/0/651/konsolidirovannaya-finansovaya-otchetnost-po-msfo-_9f1cd5dc7d6e432abae77a242a03ea31.pdf https://pik-group.ru/about/news-and-reports/reports/financial-results https://smart-lab.ru/q/PIKK/MSFO/capex/.

3.1.1. Company Value

Company value could be calculated by formula (4).

In the first case company value is equal to V = 318,902,000,000 rubles, in the second—V = 345,504,000,000 rubles. Or in billions of US dollars in the first case V = 3.08326 billion US dollars, in the second—V = 3.34046 billion US dollars.

Market value in 2023 V = 4.334 B$ (448.3 B rubles)

It is obvious that the company value calculated by the two methods is quite close, but underestimated in relation to the market value. This may be due to the fact that business risk was not taken into account in the current consideration (see Brusov and Filatova (2025)).

3.1.2. Business valuation

Using the formulas (5)-(7) one gets the following results for business valuation for 5-year representative period and infinite terminate period (see Table 5).

1) According to stock quotes (CF23 = 48,084,206,643 rubles)

Then obtained values (in rubles):

Table 5. Business valuation for 5-year representative period and infinite terminate period (by stock quotes).

V1=

1.78403E+11

V2=

2.64465E+11

V за 28 год=

4.42868E+11

Company valuation in 2028 year will amount to 442,868,000,000 rubles. Or 4.28181 billion US dollars (Table 6, Table 7).

2) Using formula (СF23 = 84659000000 rubles)

Table 6. Business valuation for 5-year representative period and infinite terminate period (by formula).

V1=

3.14104E+11

V2=

4.65628E+11

V for 2028

7.79732E+11

Company valuation in 2028 will be 779,732,000,000 rubles. Or 7.53874 billion US dollars.

Table 7. Business valuation for 5-year representative period and infinite terminate period (by two methods).

СF23 by stock quotes, rubles

4.8084E+10

V1=

1.784E+11

V2=

2.6447E+11

V for 2028

4.4287E+11

СF23 by formula, rubles

8.4659E+10

V1=

3.141E+11

V2=

4.6563E+11

V for 2028

7.7973E+11

For 10 years:

Let us provide business valuation for 10-year representative period and infinite terminate period (by two methods) (Table 8).

Table 8. Dependence WACC(n) for period 2024 to 2033.

WACC

2024

0.108385468

2025

0.108450442

2026

0.108512351

2027

0.108571157

2028

0.108626871

2029

0.108678302

2030

0.10872815

2031

0.108775108

2032

0.108819278

2033

0.108860766

3) According to stock quotes (CF23 = 48,084,206,643 rubles)

Results for business valuation for 10-year representative period and infinite terminate period. (in rubles) is shown in Table 9.

Table 9. Business valuation for 10-year representative period and infinite terminate period (by stock quotes).

V1=

2.84917E+11

V2=

1.57479E+11

V for 2033

4.42396E+11

Company valuation in 2033 will be 442,396,000,000 rubles. Or 4.27725 billion US dollars (Table 10).

4) Using formula (CF23 = 84,659,000,000 rubles)

Table 10. Business valuation for 10-year representative period and infinite terminate period (using formula).

V1=

5.01636E+11

V2=

2.77264E+11

V for 33

7.789E+11

Company valuation in 2033 will be 778,900,000,000 rubles. Or 7.5307 billion US dollars.

Business valuation for 10-year representative period and infinite terminate period (by two methods) are shown in Table 11.

Table 11. Business valuation for 10-year representative period and infinite terminate period (by two methods).

quote

formula

Business valuation, Billion $

5 years

4.28181

7.53874

10 years

4.27725

7.5307

3.1.3. Comparison of Current Results with Ones by Brusov-Filatova (2025)

To evaluate a business for a 5-year and 10-year representative period and an infinite terminal period (using two methods) within the framework of the Brusov-Filatova method (Brusov & Filatova, 2025) it is necessary to use the following formulas:

For 5-year horizon

V 1 = CF 23 WACC( 23 ) ( 1 ( 1+WACC( 23 ) ) ( 5 ) ) (11)

V 2 = CF 23 WACC( 28 ) (12)

V= V 1 + V 2 ( 1+WACC ) 5 (13)

For 5-year horizon

V 1 = CF 23 WACC( 23 ) ( 1 ( 1+WACC( 23 ) ) 10 ) (14)

V 2 = CF 23 WACC( 33 ) (15)

V= V 1 + V 2 ( 1+WACC ) 10 (16)

Formulas (11)-(16) used in the Brusov-Filatova (BF) approach (Brusov & Filatova, 2025) differ from formulas (5)-(10) used here, since in this case we use more detailed information about the financial flows CF and the discount rate WACC(n).

Below, in Table 12, we compare the current results with the results, obtained within the framework of the Brusov-Filatova (2025) approach regarding the valuation of the PIKK company’s business.

Table 12. Comparison of current results with the results obtained within the framework of the Brusov-Filatova approach (Brusov & Filatova, 2025) regarding the valuation of the PIKK company’s business.

approach

Current approach

BF approach

quote

formula

quote

formula

Business valuation, Billion $

5 years

4.28181

7.53874

4.3148

7.5968

10 years

4.27725

7.5307

4.314

7.5962

Comparison of the present more detailed method with the method developed by us earlier shows that 1) when assessing a business, both methods give very close results. Thus, for assessing a business, the use of the less detailed previous method is justified. This is also important from the point of view that the first method requires much less information and time for its processing. Thus, the proposed approach is more accurate, than BF one since it more accurately takes into account both main business valuation parameters: CF and WACC.

2) But when assessing capitalization, the new method gives a more adequate result, practically close to the market capitalization of the company, while the result of the previous method (Brusov & Filatova, 2025) gives an excess of the market capitalization of the company (sometimes several times).

The difference in the results of the two approaches is due to the following facts. 1) CF is a constant value in the BF approach and a variable value in the current approach (in one-year increments); 2) WACC is a constant value in the BF approach (Brusov & Filatova, 2025) and a variable value in the current approach (in one-year increments). From the analysis of the WACC(n) dependence, which is a decreasing function of n, it follows that the BF approach uses a much smaller WACC value (for the valuation year), and this leads to an overestimation of the company value due to the formula.

But when valuing a business, both approaches use approximately the same WACC values (with a small difference), and this leads to approximately similar business valuation results.

However, for a more accurate assessment of a business and a company, as shown in Brusov-Filatova (2025), it is necessary to take into account business risk along with financial risk, using CAPM 2.0 approach, developed by Brusov et al. (2024d).

4. Yandex Company (YNDX.ME)

Below we consider Yandex company (YNDX.ME) (Table 13, Table 14).

Let’s collect and process data from company reports and websites.

Table 13. Data for Yandex company.

n

year

stock price at the beginning of the year, rubles

stock price

at the end

of the year, rubles

number of shares

CF formula

μ

t

Kd

1

2015

824

1017

3.65E+08

−1073184

0.097087

0.2

0.0967

2

2016

880

1116

3.65E+08

−3.9E+08

0.127273

0.2

0.0967

3

2017

1008

1683

3.65E+08

−1.3E+08

0.484127

0.2

0.0967

4

2018

1560

1701

3.65E+08

−2.3E+08

−0.03077

0.2

0.0967

5

2019

1528

2421

3.65E+08

−3.6E+08

0.408377

0.2

0.0967

6

2020

2152

4563

3.65E+08

2.93E+11

0.884758

0.2

0.0967

7

2021

4192

4032

3.65E+08

−1.8E+11

−0.14504

0.2

0.0967

8

2022

3496

1638

3.65E+08

−1.2E+10

−0.58352

0.2

0.0967

9

2023

1480

2349

3.65E+08

8.79E+10

0.410811

0.2

0.0967

Table 14. Data for Yandex company (continued).

n

year

D

S

CF quote

L

k0

wd

WACC

1

2015

7.79E+08

6.2E+08

7.04E+10

1.256013

0.096893

0.55674

0.341769

2

2016

6.73E+08

5.17E+08

8.61E+10

1.302677

0.111671

0.565723

0.334206

3

2017

5.88E+08

4.6E+08

2.46E+11

1.277154

0.288332

0.560855

0.330102

4

2018

4.1E+08

3.21E+08

5.15E+10

1.275982

0.033621

0.560629

0.32733

5

2019

2.52E+08

2.16E+08

3.26E+11

1.163094

0.258151

0.537699

0.325191

6

2020

9.22E+10

3.26E+11

8.8E+11

0.282883

0.739327

0.220506

0.323391

7

2021

9.78E+10

2.58E+11

−5.8E+10

0.378922

−0.0888

0.274796

0.32179

8

2022

5.12E+10

3.16E+11

−6.8E+11

0.161867

−0.50554

0.139316

0.320316

9

2023

1.55E+11

2.96E+11

3.17E+11

0.524436

0.317975

0.34402

0.318929

Based on the Yandex data from Table 13 and Table 14 and using Python, we obtain the following results on Yandex capitalization and its business valuation.

Results

1) Yandex capitalization in 2023

In the first case, with CF calculated using the stock price, capitalization V = $4.98 billion.

In the second case, with CF calculated using the formula, capitalization was V = $4.18 billion.

The actual market capitalization, according to various sources, is $9.13 billion (918.9 billion rubles).

2) Company valuation

CF by formula (EBIT):

Company valuation for 5 years (until 2028): $4.11 billion

Company valuation for 10 years (until 2033): $4.06 billion

CF by stock quotes:

Company valuation for 5 years (until 2028): $4.84 billion

Company valuation for 10 years (until 2033): $4.73 billion

It is obvious that Yandex’s capitalization results are understated relative to the market. This may be due to the fact that the current consideration does not take into account business risk.

5. Conclusion and Implications

To further improve the qualitatively new approach to assessing the value of a business and a company the new detailed methodology for collecting and processing data required for assessing a business and a company is considered. A more detailed accounting of data on financial income flows CF and the discount rate WACC(n) for the entire period of the company’s existence or from the moment of its IPO (in increments of one year), and not only for the year of valuation, allows us to more accurately take into account the influence of the retrospective period (which was taken into account within the framework of the Brusov-Filatova consideration, but less accurately) and more accurately assess the business and capitalization of the company.

The strength of the study is the detailed and correct determination of the discount rate and financial flow of the company’s income, which allows for a more accurate determination of the company’s capitalization and assessment of the business.

Application of a new methodology to a couple of companies: PJSC “PIK-specialized developer” (PIKK) and Yandex (YNDX.ME) has been done. The company value calculated by the two methods (two CF) is quite close, but underestimated in relation to the market value. This may be due to the fact that business risk was not taken into account in the current consideration (see Brusov & Filatova (2025)).

Conflicts of Interest

The authors declare no conflicts of interest regarding the publication of this paper.

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