A Reaction-Diffusion SIR Model with Saturated Incidence Rate and Vaccination ()
1. Introduction
Since infectious diseases can spread widely among people or animals, causing serious impacts on human life and health, infectious diseases have always been a major public threat to all humans and other species. Therefore, it is crucial to study the transmission mechanism, outbreak or extinction patterns, and prevention and control measures of infectious diseases. The dynamics of infectious diseases are usually studied by establishing mathematical models, among which the SIR model is one of the most classic and basic models in infectious disease models. Kermack and McKendrickc [1] discussed one of the earliest models, using the SIR (Susceptible-Infectives-Recovery) model to simulate the epidemic in Mumbai, making a pioneer contribution to the study of infectious disease dynamics. In infectious disease models [2] [3], the heterogeneity of population spatial distribution is usually ignored. To better describe infectious disease models, many scholars consider diffusion terms to the model [4]-[7] and focus on the combined impact of spatial heterogeneity, individual random diffusion, and different infection mechanisms on disease dynamics, resulting in many interesting results.
On the other hand, some papers study infectious disease models with nonlinear incidence rates [8]-[10], hoping to obtain more accurate results on the spread of diseases and predict the trend of disease outbreak. In 1978, Capasso and Serio [11] showed that the number of effective contacts between infectives and susceptible did not always present linearity. Due to the congestion of infected individuals or protective measures taken by susceptible individuals, the contact rate may reach to saturation on high infection level. Therefore, they propose a saturation incidence rate of
, where
denotes the susceptible,
represents the infectives,
is the infection rate,
is the saturation rate. In 1979, May and Anderson [12] proposed another saturation incidence rate
, that is, the incidence rate of susceptible approach to saturation, to study the dynamics of host and parasites. Afterward, many works [13]-[16] investigate the saturated incidence rate on the spread of disease.
In 2022, Dong et al. [17] established the following reaction-diffusion SI infectious disease model with logistic sources and saturated transmission mechanism:
where
is a bounded domain with smooth boundaries
,
and
represent the density of susceptible and infected individuals at time
at
, respectively.
and
are the diffusion coefficients of susceptible and infected individuals,
represents the logistic growth of susceptible,
and
represent the birth rate and density dependent mortality.
denotes the natural mortality rate,
represents the recovery rate, and
is the saturation coefficient for susceptible individuals. This article first proves the persistence and extinction of diseases based on the basic reproduction number
. Secondly, the global stability of the endemic equilibrium of disease is established in homogeneous environment. Finally, the asymptotic behavior of the endemic equilibrium in heterogeneous environment is studied when the diffusion rates of susceptible and infected populations go to 0.
Since British doctor Edward Jenner developed a vaccine against smallpox using cowpox in 1796, the development and administration of vaccine have gone through hundreds of years. Using vaccine for immunization is the great progress in prevention and control of infectious diseases. Many infectious disease models study the effectiveness of vaccination, such as seasonal influenza, HPV and measles. Although vaccine is either lifelong or short time, the corresponding mathematical models [18]-[20] obtain some important results. In 2014, Rahman et al. [21] established a model to study the strategies for infectious disease vaccine. Reza et al. [22] study the effects of quarantine and vaccination during COVID-19 pandemic. de Carvalho and Rodrigues [23] introduce a nonlinear system of SIR Model with Vaccination:
where
is the carrying capacity of susceptible individuals,
denotes the transmission rate of the disease,
represents the birth rate,
is the proportion of susceptible individuals successfully vaccinated at birth for
,
is the natural death rate of infected and recovered individuals,
refers to the death rate of infected individuals due to the disease, and
is the natural recovery rate. The authors study bifurcation property of the model and evaluate the proportion of vaccinated individuals necessary to eliminate the disease and conclude how the vaccination may affect the outcome of the epidemic.
The above papers investigate the infectious disease from different aspects, such as spatial heterogeneity, diffusion, and vaccination, however, as far as we know, few papers consider the combined effects of their factor in one model. Inspired by this, we propose the following SIR model:
where
is the vaccination rate,
is the recovery rate of the infectives,
is the density-dependent death rate of infected individuals due to the limited medical resource, other parameters are same with the above models. We assume all the parameters and the initial value are nonnegative and nontrivial, and
for all
. Since the third equation is decoupled from the other two equations, it is sufficient to consider the following system:
(1)
The rest of this paper is organized as follows. In Section 2, we prove the uniform boundedness of the solution. In Section 3, the basic reproduction number
is defined and its asymptotic properties are studied, and the threshold dynamics of the model based on
is obtained. In Section 4, we show the existence and stability of the endemic equilibrium of the homogeneous system. In Section 5, we study the effects of vaccination rate
and saturated incidence rate
on the basic reproduction number
. In Section 6, we use numerical simulation to present the solution when
and
, moreover, we verify the effects of the saturated incidence rate and the vaccination rate on
. Finally, a brief conclusion is given at the end of this paper.
2. Well-Posedness
From the standard theory for parabolic equations, we know that system (1) has unique classical solution
for nonnegative and nontrivial initial value. Furthermore, by the strong maximum principle and the Hopf boundary lemma, we get that the solution are positive for
and
.
In this section, we prove the boundedness of the solution of model (1). To this end, we first give the following denotation for simplicity:
where
.
In addition, the following Young inequality plays a key role in proving the results.
where
,
,
,
.
Theorem 1. There exists a positive constant
, independent of the initial value, such that for a sufficiently large positive number
, any solution
of system (1) satisfies
(2)
Proof. Let
, then by Young inequality, we have
where
. Therefore,
. This means
that is,
According to [24] (Lemma 2.1) with
, and the positiveness of
and
, we obtain that
Moreover, we have
, which is independent of initial value. Then, it follows from [24] (Lemma 2.1) again that (2) holds. This completes the proof.
3. Threshold Dynamics
In this section, we give the definition of the basic reproduction number and study the threshold dynamic behavior of system (1). To this end, we consider the following elliptic system:
(3)
By the standard method of upper and lower solution, we know that (3) admits a positive solution
, and thus
is a Disease-Free Equilibrium (DFE) of system (1). Linearizing the system at
, and we obtain the following system:
(4)
Denote the initial infection distribution is represented by
. Due to the combined effects of individual movement and outflow, the distribution of infected individuals at time
is denoted by
. Therefore, the distribution function of new infections after time
is denoted by
. Therefore, the distribution of the total number of new infections is denoted by
Let
where
,
.
Following the results in [5], we define the basic reproduction number
, where
is the spectral radius of
. Moreover, the variational expression of
is denoted by
From the above variational expression, it can be seen that the basic production number depends not only on the diffusion coefficient
and
but also on the saturation rate
of susceptible.
Substituting
into (4), we obtain the following eigenvalue problem:
Let
and
be the eigenvalue and the corresponding eigenfunction of the following equation:
(5)
Then, we have the following properties:
Lemma 2. For
, the following conclusion holds:
1) For any
,
is a decreasing function of
;
2)
has the same sign with
;
3) as
;
4) as
;
5) If , then
for all
;
6) If and
changes the sign for
, then there exists a threshold
such that
when
,
when
.
The proof of this lemma is similar with [25] (Lemma 2.3), thus, we omit it here. We also present the local stability of the disease-free equilibrium here without proof.
Lemma 3. If
, then the disease-free equilibrium
is locally asymptotically stable; If
, then
is unstable.
Now, we establish the threshold dynamics of system (1).
Theorem 4. Let
be the solution of system (1), then we have:
1) If
, then the disease-free equilibrium
is globally asymptotically stable;
2) If
, then exists a constant
independent of the initial value, such that any solution
of (1) satisfies
In addition, system (1) has at least one endemic equilibrium.
Proof. According to the first Equation of (1), we have
By the comparison principle, we can get
where
is the solution of the following equation:
(6)
It then follows from [17] (Lemma 1) that
For any small constant
, there exist a
such that
(7)
If
. By applying (b) of Lemma (2), we know that
. Let
be the principal eigenvalue of (5) by replacing
with
and
be the corresponding eigenfunction. Choose
such that
. Therefore, according to the second equation of (1) and (7), we can get that
satisfies
It is easy to verify that the following system
has a positive solution
, where
is a positive constant and satisfies that
for
. Then, the comparison principle indicates that
for
,
. Thus, we have
Therefore,
satisfies system (6) for all
. Therefore, we have
By Lemma (3), we know that the disease-free equilibrium
is locally asymptotically stable. As a result, the disease-free equilibrium
is globally asymptotically stable.
If
. Let , and
For
, let
is the unique solution of (4) when
.
If
, then
for all
and
, and thus
satisfies (6). Then, we know that
Next, we show that there exists a positive constant
such that
(8)
where
. Assume by contradiction that , then there exists a large positive constant
, such that for all
, we have
If
, by Lemma (2) (b), we have
. Then, there exists an sufficiently small positive constant
such that , and with the corresponding eigenfunction
satisfy
Then, we know that the following system
has a solution , where
is a positive constant. From the second equation of system (1), we see that
Therefore, we choose a sufficiently small
such that
, and by the comparison principle, we have
Since , we see
as
uniformly on
. This contradicts Theorem (1), and thus (8) hold. Hence, the conclusions of [26] can prove the results of (2).
4. Existence of the Endemic Equilibrium
Next, we show the existence and stability of the endemic equilibrium in homogeneous case. We consider the following model:
(9)
Obviously, we see that
is the disease-free equilibrium of system (9). Linearizing system (9) at
yields
Then, by [5] (Theorem 3.4), we get the basic reproduction number
where
,
.
Theorem 5. If
, then
is globally asymptotically stable. If
, then (9) is uniform persistent.
Next, we explore the existence and stability of positive solutions of system (9). From the second equation of (9), we have
then
satisfies
where
Since
, we easily verify that
. Let
then the derivative of
with respect
is as follows:
We can easily know that the roots of
are
where
.
Now, we obtain the following results about the positive solution of the system (9).
Theorem 6. The positive solutions of the system (9) are as follows:
1) If
, then system (9) has a unique positive solution
;
2) If
, that is
, then system (9) has a unique positive solution
;
3) If
, then there are two cases hold.
a) If
and
, then system (9) has a unique positive solution
; If
and
, then system (9) has three positive solutions denoted as
,
, and
;
b) If
, then system (9) has a unique positive solution
.
Figure 1 shows the intuitive result.
Now, we investigate the stability of the positive solution, without loss of generality, we take
as an example. Linearizing system (9) at the positive solution
for example,
Figure 1. The existence of the positive solution
.
The Jacobian matrix of the model (9) at
is
Then, the characteristic equation of
is
Let
(10)
where
According to the Routh-Hurwitz criterion, the necessary and sufficient condition for the roots of Equation (10) have negative real parts is
However, for some large
, we have
. Therefore, the positive solution
is unstable.
5. Influence of Vaccination Rate and the Saturation Rate on
In this section, we study the effect of the vaccination rate
and the saturation rate
on the basic reproduction number.
Since
and
be the eigenvalue and the corresponding eigenvalue function of the following equation:
then by [5] (Theorem 3.2]), we have
(11)
Theorem 7. Fix
, then
is strictly decreasing function of
.
Proof. Taking the derivative of both sides of Equation (11) with respect to
, and denote
,
the derivative of
and
with respect to
, respectively. Then, we get
(12)
Multiplying both sides of Equation (12) by
, and integrating it over
, then we have
(13)
Multiplying both sides of Equation (11) by
, and integrate it over
, then
(14)
Subtracting (14) from (13), then we obtain
and thus
Since
satisfies the system (3), we know that it is strictly monotonically decreasing with respect to
. Hence, we have
. Therefore,
, that is,
is strictly monotonically decreasing function of
. The result shows that increasing the vaccination rate of susceptible is an effective measure for controlling the disease.
Theorem 8. Fix
then
is strictly decreasing function of
.
Proof. Taking the derivative of both sides of Equation (11) with respect to
, and denote
,
the derivative of
and
with respect to
, respectively. Then, we have
(15)
Multiplying both sides of Equation (15) by
, and integrate it over
, then we get
(16)
Multiplying both sides of Equation (11) by
, and integrate it over
, then
(17)
Subtracting (17) from (16), we obtain
Hence, we get
Therefore,
, which implies that
is strictly decreasing with respect to
.
6. Numerical Simulation
In this section, we will show some numerical simulation results to support the above research.
First, we take the parameter as
,
,
,
,
,
,
,
,
, then we obtain the disease-free equilibrium of the system (1) when
(see Figure 2).
(a)
(b)
Figure 2. Solution
and
when
.
From Figure 2, we can find that
tends to be a constant and
approaches 0 as time increases. Thus, the disease-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable. From the biological point of view, when the basic reproduction number
, the disease eventually dies out (see Figure 2).
Next, let
and other parameters remain unchanged. Then,
and system (1) is uniform persistent.
We can see from Figure 3 that the susceptible individual
and infected
eventually tend to positive value. In other words, the disease will always exist when the basic reproduction number
.
(a)
(b)
Figure 3. Solution
and
when
.
Finally, we study the effects of the vaccination rate
and saturated incidence rate
on
. Figure 4 shows that
drop below 1 with
and
increase, which implies that we can control the disease by increasing the vaccination rate and saturated incidence rate.
(a)
(b)
Figure 4. Variation of
with respect to parameters.
7. Conclusions
This article investigates an SIR reaction-diffusion infectious disease model with saturation rate and vaccination in heterogeneous environments. Firstly, we prove the well-posedness of the system. Secondly, we define the basic reproduction number
and present its properties when the diffusion rate goes to 0 and infinity. Moreover, we establish the threshold dynamics of the system in terms of
, specifically, the disease-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable when
and the system is uniformly persistent when
. Thirdly, we study the existence and stability of the homogeneous system and obtain different cases of the positive solution. Fourthly, we discuss the impact of vaccination rate and saturation rate on
. The results of Theorems 7 and 8 indicate that increasing vaccination rate and saturation rate of susceptible individuals can promote disease disappear. Finally, we use numerical simulation to show the disease-free steady state and uniform persistence of the system. We also present the variation of
with respect to the model parameters and obtain the interesting biological conclusion.
The SIR model with vaccination and saturation effects studied in this article can better describe the transmission mechanism of infectious diseases. From the results of this paper, we can give more effective control measures to eradicate infectious diseases, such as increasing vaccination coverage rate or increasing the saturation rate of susceptible. The difficult work of the globally asymptotic stability of endemic equilibrium of homogeneous system will be discussed in further work.
Acknowledgements
This research was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (NSFC 12301634).