Method Research of Earthquake Prediction and Volcano Prediction in Italy

Lijun Chen^*, Xiaofeng Chen, Lei Shao

Earthquake Administration of Hunan Province, Changsha, China.

DOI: 10.4236/ijg.2015.69076                

Abstract

This paper adopts the earthquake catalogue of the European Mediterranean Seismological Centre (EMSC), in accordance with the principles of Seismo-Geothermics Theory and the concept of seismic cone; it discusses the integrity of the earthquake catalogue and the overview of Mediterranean seismic cones; it focuses on the structural details and structural feature of the Italian branch of the Mediterranean seismic cone; it deduces the precursory process of subcrustal earthquake activities before two earthquakes magnitude over 6 and the eruptions of Etna volcano since 2005; then it summarizes the prediction working method of Seismo-Geothermics on estimating the general shell strength, the general period, and the rough location of future earthquake or volcano activities; and finally it discusses and explains some possible problems. The principle and working process of this method were testified in card No. 0419 in 2012, the author’s prediction card, which can apply to predict for intracrustal strong earthquakes and volcano activities within the global twenty four seismic cones. The purpose of this paper is to develop the tools and methods of the prediction of future earthquake and volcano.

Keywords

Seismo-Geothermics Theory, Seismic Cone, Intracrustal Strong Earthquake, Volcano, Prediction, Italy

Conflicts of Interest

The authors declare no conflicts of interest.

References

[1]	Chen, L.J. (2000) Research of Focal Depth and Active State of the Strong Earthquakes in China. Seismology and Geology, 22, 360-370.
[2]	Chen, L.J. (2012) Theory and Applications of the Seismo-Geothermics. Inland Earthquake, 26, 108-122.
[3]	Chen, L.J. (2013) Conception of Seismic Cone and Its Basic Characteristics. South China Journal of Seismology, 33, 1-14.
[4]	Chen, L.J., Hu, F.X. and Chen, X.F. (2013) Imaging Proof of Seismic Tomography in Seismic Cones on the Earth. South China Journal of Seismology, 33, 1-10.
[5]	Chen, L.J., Chen, X.F., Wan, F.F., Li, P.Z. and Shao, L. (2015) Comparative Study of Global Seismicity on the Hot Engine Belt and the Cooling Seismic Belt—Improvement on Research Ideas of Earthquake Prediction. International Journal of Geosciences, 6, 741-749. http://dx.doi.org/10.4236/ijg.2015.67060
[6]	Chen, L.J. (2015) Instructions of the Three-Year Earthquake and Volcanic Prediction Card No.0419 on Global Major Seismic Cones. http://blog.sciencenet.cn/blog-552558-883826.html
[7]	Chen, L.J. (2015) Forecast Test Summary of 0419 Card in 2012. http://blog.sciencenet.cn/blog-552558-894296.html
[8]	Li, S.G. (1972) Astronomy, Geology and Paleontology. Science Press, Beijing, 71-115.
[9]	Li, S.G. (1976) Method of Geomechanics. Science Press, Beijing.
[10]	Chao, L., Xu, L.S. and Chen, Y.T. (2009) Quick Moment Tensor Solution of the 2009 April l6, L’Aquila, Italy Earthquake. Acta Seismologica Sinica, 31, 464-466.
[11]	Chen, L.J. (2013) Lessons from Earthquake Prediction in Italy. http://blog.sciencenet.cn/blog-552558-652328.html
[12]	Chen, L.J. (2011) Volcano Research in Italy. http://blog.sciencenet.cn/blog-552558-457141.html
[13]	Chen, L.J. (2011) Seismic Tomography Image of Italian Cone. http://blog.sciencenet.cn/blog-552558-505496.html
[14]	Chen, L.J. (2011) Study on Subcrustal Seismic Activity. http://blog.sciencenet.cn/blog-552558-649931.html
[15]	Chen, L.J. (2011) Plane Projection Technique of Seismic Cone. http://blog.sciencenet.cn/blog-552558-466694.html
[16]	Chen, L.J. (2011) Three Dimensional Image of Seismic Cone. http://blog.sciencenet.cn/blog-552558-466867.html
[17]	Chen, L.J. (2011) Production of Seismic Activity Sequence Diagram of Seismic Cone. http://blog.sciencenet.cn/blog-552558-467181.html
[18]	Chen, L.J. (2013) Seismo-Tectonics and Seismic Activity of the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau. Journal of Seismological Research, 36, 123-131.
[19]	Chen, L.J. (2015) Pakistan Earthquake with Ms7.7 in 2013 and Causative Structure of Hindu Kush. Inland Earthquake, 39, 15-27.
[20]	Chen, L.J. (2011) Identify Study of Earthquake Prediction & Volcano Prediction. http://blog.sciencenet.cn/blog-552558-423131.html