TITLE:
AutoGluon-Based Sales Forecasting a Real-Time Predictive Analytics Solution for Business Intelligence
AUTHORS:
Fahamgeer Mahesar, Anam Ishaq, Malaika Riaz, Muhammad Bilal, Tanzeela Kousar, Aqsa Jameel
KEYWORDS:
Machine Learning, AutoGluon, Sales
JOURNAL NAME:
Journal of Data Analysis and Information Processing,
Vol.12 No.4,
September
26,
2024
ABSTRACT: Accurate sales forecasting is essential in the fast-paced world of business for effective strategic planning and resource allocation. However, traditional forecasting methods often lack precision and flexibility. This study aims to address this issue by incorporating machine learning (ML) techniques to improve forecasting accuracy and responsiveness to market changes. The methodology involves gathering extensive sales data and carefully preprocessing it to ensure quality. Various ML algorithms, such as time series analysis, regression models, and neural networks, are utilized to account for the complex and non-linear nature of sales patterns. These models are trained and validated using historical sales data, taking into consideration external factors like economic indicators and consumer trends. The results show a significant enhancement in forecast accuracy compared to traditional methods. The ML models effectively capture underlying trends and seasonal variations, providing reliable predictions that closely match actual sales results. Additionally, the models demonstrate strong adaptability, quickly adjusting to unexpected market shifts.