TITLE:
Correlation between Rainfall and Mass Movements in North Coast Region of Sao Paulo State, Brazil for 2014-2018
AUTHORS:
Daniel Metodiev, Marcio Roberto Magalhaes de Andrade, Rodolfo Moreda Mendes, Marcio Augusto Ernesto de Moraes, Tehrrie Konig, Cassiano Antonio Bortolozo, Tiago Bernardes, Rafael Alexandre Ferreira Luiz, Juliano Oliveira Martins Coelho
KEYWORDS:
Mass Movement Events, Rainfall Intensity, Accumulated Rainfall, Critical Thresholds, Sao Paulo State-Brazil
JOURNAL NAME:
International Journal of Geosciences,
Vol.9 No.12,
December
27,
2018
ABSTRACT: The monitoring of related hourly and accumulated rainfall index requires that critical thresholds of accumulated 72 hours rainfall are updated frequently according with the factors and local conditions (natural and anthropic) of each specific risk area. The importance of empirical methods is fundamental to confirm the relationship between rainfall intensity and accumulated rainfall with the mass movement events, in order to establish the critical threshold values. The present work performs an evaluation of the record data of mass movement events occurred in Sao Paulo State North coast region for a 4-year period (2014 to 2018) considering different mass movement
characteristics (slope type, magnitude and impact level). Some rainfall values were obtained to show that within these parameters an event related to natural and anthropic features was triggered. A database was created, sorting source of information and municipalities monitored, to implement the correlation between the mass movement events and the rainfall values. To elaborate the event’s map, reliable record data of localization of the mass movement events was selected, as well as the nearest possible raingauges of CEMADEN (National Center for Monitoring and Early Warning of Natural Disasters); also the exact event triggering time, selection by the slope type, the magnitude and the impact level of the mass movement event. The rainfall values of these raingauges allowed the calculation of the accumulated rainfall index for 1, 3, 6, 24, 48, 72 and 96 hours, with the adoption of the 72 hours index for this work. The correlation graphics are divided by the slope type, the magnitude and the impact level of the mass movement event. Different critical thresholds appear, classifying such event by the influence level of triggering factors, natural and/or anthropic.