TITLE:
The Greenhouse Effect: An Evaluation of Arrhenius’ Thesis and a New Energy Equilibrium Model
AUTHORS:
Warren Stannard
KEYWORDS:
Greenhouse Effect, Atmospheric Physics, Energy Budget, Arrhenius, Greenhouse Gases
JOURNAL NAME:
Natural Science,
Vol.10 No.1,
January
29,
2018
ABSTRACT: In 1896, Svante Arrhenius proposed a model predicting that increased concentration of carbon dioxide and water vapour in the atmosphere would result in a warming of the planet. In his model, the warming effects of atmospheric carbon dioxide and water vapour in preventing heat flow from the Earth’ s surface (now known as the “Greenhouse Effect”)arecounteracted by a cooling effect where the same gasses are responsible for the radiation of heat to space from the atmosphere. His analysis found that there was a net warming effect and his model has remained the foundation of the Enhanced Greenhouse Effect—Global Warming hypothesis. This paper attempts to quantify the parameters in his equations but on evaluation his model cannot produce thermodynamic equilibrium. A modified model is proposed which reveals that increased atmospheric emissivity enhances the ability of the atmosphere to radiate heat to space overcoming the cooling effect resulting in a net cooling of the planet. In consideration of this result, there is a need for greenhouse effect—global warming models to be revised.