TITLE:
Method Research of Earthquake Prediction and Volcano Prediction in Italy
AUTHORS:
Lijun Chen, Xiaofeng Chen, Lei Shao
KEYWORDS:
Seismo-Geothermics Theory, Seismic Cone, Intracrustal Strong Earthquake, Volcano, Prediction, Italy
JOURNAL NAME:
International Journal of Geosciences,
Vol.6 No.9,
September
14,
2015
ABSTRACT: This paper adopts the
earthquake catalogue of the European Mediterranean Seismological Centre (EMSC),
in accordance with the principles of Seismo-Geothermics Theory and the concept
of seismic cone; it discusses the integrity of the earthquake catalogue and the
overview of Mediterranean seismic cones; it focuses on the structural details
and structural feature of the Italian branch of the Mediterranean seismic cone;
it deduces the precursory process of subcrustal earthquake activities before
two earthquakes magnitude over 6 and the eruptions of Etna volcano since 2005;
then it summarizes the prediction working method of Seismo-Geothermics on
estimating the general shell strength, the general period, and the rough
location of future earthquake or volcano activities; and finally it discusses
and explains some possible problems. The principle and working process of this
method were testified in card No. 0419 in 2012, the author’s prediction card,
which can apply to predict for intracrustal
strong earthquakes and volcano activities within the global twenty four seismic
cones. The purpose of this paper is to develop the tools and methods of the
prediction of future earthquake and volcano.