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Cimoli, M., Fleitas, S. and Porcile, G. (2013) Technological Intensity of the Export Structure and the Real Exchange Rate. Economics of Innovation & New Technology, 22, 353-372. https://doi.org/10.1080/10438599.2012.748504

has been cited by the following article:

  • TITLE: The Influence of RMB Real Exchange Rate on the Technical Structure of Sino-US Export Trade Products

    AUTHORS: Yuliang Lu

    KEYWORDS: RMB Real Exchange Rate, Technical Structure, Improvement, VAR Model

    JOURNAL NAME: American Journal of Industrial and Business Management, Vol.8 No.5, May 21, 2018

    ABSTRACT: Based on the classification of HS (Harmonized Commodity Description and Coding System), and according to the method of Lall (2000) [1], Sino-US trade products are divided into five categories, namely primary products, resource-intensive products, low technology products, medium technical products and high-tech products. Based on the data from the first quarter of 2005 to the fourth quarter of 2017, the influence of bilateral real exchange rate on the structure of Sino-US export trade was studied by using VAR model in this paper. The empirical results show that there is a strong granger causality between Sino-US bilateral real exchange rate and Sino-US export trade product structure, the former being the latter’s granger reason; in the short term, the appreciation (devaluation) of the real exchange rate between China and the US is conducive (inconducive) to an improvement in the trade structure, which has long been detrimental (beneficial) to the improvement of the trade structure. In general, the appreciation of RMB is unfavorable to the improvement of the technical structure of Sino-US export trade. Variance decomposition shows that Sino-US bilateral real exchange rate has a great contribution to the technical structure of Sino-US export trade.