Open Journal of Statistics

Volume 6, Issue 1 (February 2016)

ISSN Print: 2161-718X   ISSN Online: 2161-7198

Google-based Impact Factor: 1.45  Citations  

Predictive Modeling of Gas Production, Utilization and Flaring in Nigeria using TSRM and TSNN: A Comparative Approach

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DOI: 10.4236/ojs.2016.61017    2,758 Downloads   4,111 Views  Citations

ABSTRACT

Since the discovery of oil and gas in Nigeria in 1956, much gas has been flared because the operators pay little or no concern to its utilization, and as such, trillions of dollars have been lost. In this paper, a model is proposed using Time Series Regression Model (TSRM) and Time Series Neural Network (TSNN) to model the production, utilization and flaring of natural gas in Nigeria with the ultimate aim of observing the trend of each activity. The results show that TSNN has better predictive and forecasting capabilities compared to TSRN. It is also observed that the higher the hidden neurons, the lower the error generated by the TSNN.

Share and Cite:

Falode, O. and Udomboso, C. (2016) Predictive Modeling of Gas Production, Utilization and Flaring in Nigeria using TSRM and TSNN: A Comparative Approach. Open Journal of Statistics, 6, 194-207. doi: 10.4236/ojs.2016.61017.

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