Theoretical Economics Letters

Volume 2, Issue 5 (December 2012)

ISSN Print: 2162-2078   ISSN Online: 2162-2086

Google-based Impact Factor: 1.34  Citations  

On the Identification of Technology Shocks: An Alternative to the Standard Long-Run Method

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DOI: 10.4236/tel.2012.25089    3,493 Downloads   5,694 Views  

ABSTRACT

This study proposes an alternative procedure to identify technology shocks using vector autoregressions (VARs). The proposed procedure delivers improved small-sample properties relative to the standard long-run identification method provided that the dynamics of the observed variables can only be captured precisely by an infinite-order VAR. Monte Carlo experiments on artificial data produced by a standard version of the real business cycle model demonstrate that the proposed procedure is associated with smaller average bias and mean square error. These results obtain under a range of specifications regarding the share of technology shocks in overall output variability.

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Devrim Demirel, U. (2012) On the Identification of Technology Shocks: An Alternative to the Standard Long-Run Method. Theoretical Economics Letters, 2, 474-481. doi: 10.4236/tel.2012.25089.

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