The Dynamic Relationship between Economic Growth and Inflation in Japan

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DOI: 10.4236/jss.2018.63003    1,210 Downloads   4,164 Views  Citations
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ABSTRACT

To develop a way to analyze the dynamic relationship between the economic growth and the level of inflation in Japan, we propose a Bayesian regression method to estimate the dynamic dependence of the stationary component of GDP on a stationary component of the CPI. First, we extract stationary components from original GDP and CPI time series using a set of state space models. Then, we construct a set of Bayesian regression models with a time-varying coefficient. We also analyze the dynamic relationship between the stationary components of GDP and the CPI using Japanese economic statistics from 1980 to 2005.

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Kyo, K. (2018) The Dynamic Relationship between Economic Growth and Inflation in Japan. Open Journal of Social Sciences, 6, 20-32. doi: 10.4236/jss.2018.63003.

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