TITLE:
Mathematical Model of the Spread of the Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) in Burkina Faso
AUTHORS:
Aboudramane Guiro, Blaise Koné, Stanislas Ouaro
KEYWORDS:
COVID-19, Statistics, Data, Exposed Person, Reported and Unreported Cases, Mathematical Model, Public Policies, Basic Reproduction Number, Prediction
JOURNAL NAME:
Applied Mathematics,
Vol.11 No.11,
November
30,
2020
ABSTRACT: In this paper, we develop a mathematical model of the COVID-19 pandemic in Burkina Faso. We use real data from Burkina Faso National Health Commission against COVID-19 to predict the dynamic of the disease and also the cumulative number of reported cases. We use public policies in model in order to reduce the contact rate, this allows to show how the reduction of the daily report of infectious cases goes, so we would like to draw the attention of decision makers for a rapid treatment of reported cases.