Are Government Bonds Net Wealth? Some Empirical Evidence

Abstract

This paper aims to investigate the impact of government debt on economic growth for a balanced panel of G7 countries over the period 1990-2008. We found empirical evidence that Ricardian Equivalence does not holds in general. The analysis indicates that only Germany shows a negative association between public debt and economic growth. The US and France show Ricardian equivalence and UK, Japan, Italy and Canada show a positive association.

Share and Cite:

T. Moreira, G. Souza and F. Soares, "Are Government Bonds Net Wealth? Some Empirical Evidence," Modern Economy, Vol. 2 No. 3, 2011, pp. 412-415. doi: 10.4236/me.2011.23045.

Conflicts of Interest

The authors declare no conflicts of interest.

References

[1] W. G. Bowen R. G. Davis and D. H. Kopf, “The Public Debt: A Burden on Future Generations?” American Economic Review, Vol. 50, No. 4, 1960, pp. 701-706.
[2] R. J. Barro, “Are Government Bonds Net Wealth?” Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 91, No. 3, 1974, pp. 1095-1117. doi:10.1086/260266
[3] M. A. C. Martins, “Theoretical Problems in the Thory of the Burden of the Debt,” Instituto de Pesquisa Econ?mica Aplicada, Brasília, 1979.
[4] P. Evans, “Consumers Are Not Ricardian: Evidence from Nineteen Countries,” Economic Inquiry, Vol. 31, No. 4, 1993, pp. 534-548. doi:10.1111/j.1465-7295.1993.tb00889.x
[5] P. C. Rodrigues, “The Ricardian Equivalence Proposition in OCDE Countries: Does Government Debt Wight Down Growth?” Ph.D. Thesis, School of Economics, University of Nottingham, Nottingham, 2006.
[6] J. T. Araujo and M. A. C. Martins, “Economic Growth with Finite Lifetimes,” Economics Letters, Vol. 62, 1999, pp. 377-381. doi:10.1016/S0165-1765(99)00013-0
[7] M. A. C. Martins, “A Nominal Theory of the Nominal Rate of Interest and the Price Level,” Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 88, No. 1, 1980, pp. 174-185. doi:10.1086/260853
[8] M. A. C. Martins, “Interest, Prices, and the Barsky- -Summers Resolution of the Gibson Paradox under the Gold Standard System,” Revista Brasileira de Economia, Vol. 48, 1994, pp. 3-28.
[9] M. A. C. Martins, “Bonds, Interests and Capital Accu- mulation,” Revista Brasileira de Economia, Vol. 49, No. 4, 1995, pp. 557-582.
[10] P. A. Samuelson, “An Exact Consumption-Loan Model of Interest with or without the Social Contrivance of Money,” Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 66, No. 6, 1958, pp. 467-482. doi:10.1086/258100
[11] R. Ram, “Government Size and Economic Growth: A New Framework and Some Evidence from Cross-Section and Time-Series Data,” American Economic Review, Vol. 76, No. 1, 1986, pp. 191-203.
[12] D. A. Aschauer, “It Is Public Expenditure Productive,” Journal of Monetary Economics, Vol. 23, 1989, pp. 177- 200. doi:10.1016/0304-3932(89)90047-0
[13] D. A. Aschauer, “Public Investment and Productivity Growth in the Group of Seven,” Journal of Economic Perspective, Vol. 13, No. 5, 1989, pp. 17-25.
[14] D. A. Aschauer, “Does Public Capital Crowd Out Private Capital?” Journal of Monetary Economics, Vol. 24, No. 2, 1989, pp. 171-188. doi:10.1016/0304-3932(89)90002-0
[15] R. J. Barro, “Government Spending in a Simple Model of Endogenous Growth,” Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 98, No. 5, 1990, pp. S103-S125. doi:10.1086/261726
[16] W. Easterly and S. Rebelo, “Fiscal Policy and Economic Growth: An Empirical Investigation,” Journal of Monetary Economics, Vol. 32, No. 3, 1993, pp. 417-458. doi:10.1016/0304-3932(93)90025-B
[17] D. Canning, M. Fay and R. Perotti, “Infrastructure and Growth,” In: M. Baldassarri, M. Baganeatto and E. S. Phelps, Eds., International Differences in Growth Rates: Market Globalization and Economic Areas, St. Martins Press, New York, 1994.
[18] B. Sanchez-Robles, “Infrastructure Investment and Growth: Some Empirical Evidence,” Contemporary Economic Policy, Vol. 16, No. 1, 1998, pp. 98-108. doi:10.1111/j.1465-7287.1998.tb00504.x
[19] D. Canning and P. Pedroni. “Infrastructure and Long Run Economic Growth,” CAE Working Paper No. 99-09, Cronell University, Ithaca, 1999.
[20] B. O. Cruz and Joanílio R. Teixeira, “The Impact of Public Investment on Private Investment in Brazil: 1947- 1990,” Cepal Review, Vol. 67, 1999, pp. 75-84.
[21] IMF, “World Economic Outlook Database,” 2008.
[22] M. Arellano and O. Bover, “Another Look at the Instrumental Variable Estimation of Error-Components Models,” Journal of Econometrics, Vol. 68, No. 1, 1995, pp. 29-51. doi:10.1016/0304-4076(94)01642-D
[23] R. Blundell and S. Bond, “Initial Conditions and Moment Restrictions in Dynamic Panel-Data Models,” Journal of Econometrics, Vol. 87, No. 1, 1998, pp. 115-143. doi:10.1016/S0304-4076(98)00009-8

Copyright © 2024 by authors and Scientific Research Publishing Inc.

Creative Commons License

This work and the related PDF file are licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.