The Cosmic Energy Gravitational Genesis of the Strongest Temporal Intensifications of the Global and Chinese Seismotectonic Processes ()
1. Introduction
The problem of the long-term and short-term predictions of the strong earthquakes is the significant problem (Richter, 1958) of the modern geophysics (Simonenko, 2012, 2024) related with the founded (Simonenko, 2012, 2014) increased intensifications of the global natural (seismotectonic, volcanic, climatic and magnetic) processes of the Earth during the established range 2020 ÷ 2026 AD. The evaluation (in advance based on the global prediction thermohydrogravidynamic principles (Simonenko, 2012, 2014)) of the forthcoming ranges of the maximal temporal intensifications of the global seismotectonic processes of the Earth is the significant first step to solve the problem of the long-term deterministic predictions of the strongest earthquakes of the Earth.
We presented (on the 13th International Conference on Geology and Geophysics) the convincing evidence (Simonenko, 2023) that the strongest earthquakes (according to the U.S. Geological Survey) of the Earth (during the range 2020 ÷ 2023 AD) occurred near the predicted (calculated in advance based on the global prediction thermohydrogravidynamic principles (1) and (2)) dates
(for i = 2020, 2021, 2022 and 2023) and
(for i = 2020, 2021 and 2022).
The first general aim of this article (prepared based on the made presentation on the 14th International Conference on Geology and Geophysics) is to present the convincing evidence of the cosmic energy gravitational genesis of the strongest temporal intensifications of the global and Chinese seismotectonic processes during the range 1900 ÷ 2024 AD. The second general aim of this article is to present the convincing evidence of the discovered cosmic-terrestrial energy gravitational genesis of the strongest earthquakes (according to the U.S. Geological Survey) of the Earth (and the strongest Chinese earthquakes occurred in China) during the range 1900 ÷ 2024 AD.
In Section 2 we present the development of the thermohydrogravidynamic theory and technology (Simonenko, 2006, 2012, 2021, 2023, 2024). In Section 2.1 we present the established (Simonenko, 2012, 2014) global prediction thermohydrogravidynamic principles (1) and (2) determining the maximal temporal intensifications of the global seismotectonic, volcanic, climatic and magnetic processes of the Earth near the corresponding time moments (dates)
and
. In Section 2.2 we present the derived new generalized differential formulation (4) of the first law of thermodynamics (for the Galilean frame of reference) for the whole material continuum of the Earth
subjected to the non-stationary potential cosmic and potential terrestrial Newtonian gravitational forces and non-potential terrestrial stress forces characterized by the symmetric stress tensor
. In Section 2.3 we present the derived generalized reduced (first and second) global prediction thermohydrogravidynamic principles (7) and (8) determining the maximal temporal intensifications of the global seismotectonic, volcanic, climatic and magnetic processes of the Earth near the corresponding dates
and
. In Section 2.4 we derive (based on the generalized reduced first global prediction thermohydrogravidynamic principle (7)) the necessary conditions 1.1 (given by the conditions (9) and (10)) and 1.2 (given by the conditions (11) and (12)), which are necessary (but not sufficient) for creation of the strongest earthquakes of the Earth. In Section 2.5 we derive (based on the generalized reduced second global prediction thermohydrogravidynamic principle (8)) the necessary conditions 2.1 (given by the conditions (13) and (14)) and 2.2 (given by the conditions (15) and (16)), which are necessary (but not sufficient) for creation of the strongest earthquakes of the Earth.
In Section 3 we present the convincing evidence of the cosmic energy gravitational genesis of the strongest temporal intensifications of the global and Chinese seismotectonic processes during the range 1900 ÷ 2024 AD. In Section 3 we present also the convincing evidence of the cosmic-terrestrial energy gravitational genesis of the strongest (during the range 1900 ÷ 2024 AD) earthquakes of the Earth and the strongest Chinese earthquakes.
In Section 4 we present conclusions.
2. Development of the Thermohydrogravidynamic Theory
2.1. The Established Global Prediction Thermohydrogravidynamic Principles
The first and the second global prediction thermohydrogravidynamic principles (determining the maximal temporal intensifications of the global seismotectonic, volcanic, climatic and magnetic processes of the Earth near the corresponding dates
and
) are formulated (based on the term (2) of the generalized differential formulation (1) of the first law of thermodynamics) for the internal rigid core
of the Earth (Simonenko, 2012, 2014):
(1)
(2)
where
(Alboussière et al., 2010) is the mass density of the internal rigid core
,
is the combined planetary and solar gravitational potential (Simonenko, 2012, 2013, 2014) in the internal rigid core
.
2.2. The New Generalized Differential Formulation of the First Law of Thermodynamics for the Cosmic Geophysics and Geology
We use the general equation (Gyarmati, 1970) for the hydrodynamic velocity
of the material continuum movement in the Earth
:
(3)
for the deformed continuum (characterized by the local density
of mass distribution of the material continuum of the Earth
) characterized by the symmetric stress tensor
(Gyarmati, 1970) of a general form and taking into account the time variations of the general non-stationary potential
represented as the sum of the non-stationary terrestrial potential
(related with the whole deforming material continuum of the Earth
) and the cosmic (solar, planetary and lunar) potential
(Simonenko, 2012, 2013, 2014). The operator
denotes the total time derivative (Gyarmati, 1970) following the continuum substance. The general non-stationary gravitational field is characterized by the general local gravity acceleration vector
inside the material continuum of the Earth. Based on the general Equation (3) of the continuum movement (Gyarmati, 1970) and taking into account the previously used (Simonenko, 2006, 2012, 2013, 2014) classical postulates of hydrodynamics, continuum mechanics and non-equilibrium thermodynamics, we derive the new generalized differential formulation (for the Galilean frame of reference) of the first law of thermodynamics (for the whole material continuum of the Earth
subjected to the non-stationary potential cosmic and potential terrestrial Newtonian gravitational forces and non-potential terrestrial stress forces characterized by the symmetric stress tensor
):
(4)
where
is the classical (Gibbs, 1873; De Groot & Mazur, 1962; Landau and Lifshitz, 1976) internal thermal energy of the Earth
;
is the macroscopic kinetic energy of the Earth
,
is the macroscopic translational kinetic energy of the orbital movement of the Earth
in the ecliptic plane,
is the macroscopic internal kinetic energy (Simonenko, 2004, 2012, 2013) of the Earth
;
is the cosmic (Simonenko, 2012, 2013, 2014) potential gravitational energy (of the Earth
) related with the non-stationary potential
of the cosmic (solar, planetary and lunar) gravitational field;
(5)
is the new terrestrial potential gravitational energy (of the Earth
) related with the Newtonian potential
of the terrestrial gravitational field;
is the classical (Gibbs, 1873; De Groot & Mazur, 1962; Landau and Lifshitz, 1976) differential (during the differential time interval
) total heat flux across the boundary surface
of the Earth
;
is the established (Simonenko, 2006, 2012, 2013, 2014) generalized differential work done by non-potential terrestrial stress forces acting on the boundary surface
;
is the new differential work done by the potential terrestrial gravitational forces acting on the deforming material continuum of the Earth
;
(6)
is the established (Simonenko, 2012, 2013, 2014) differential (during the differential time interval
) cosmic energy gravitational influence (as the result of the non-stationary cosmic gravitation) on the material continuum of the Earth
;
is the new differential terrestrial energy gravitational influence (as the result of the non-stationary potential terrestrial gravitation) on the deforming continuum of the Earth
.
2.3. The Generalized Reduced First and Second Global Prediction Thermohydrogravidynamic Principles
By considering the very restrictive conditions
,
, and neglecting the cosmic planetary and lunar potential gravitational energy of the Earth
(
,
), we obtain from (4) the generalized reduced first global prediction thermohydrogravidynamic principle (determining the maximal temporal intensifications of the global seismotectonic, volcanic, climatic and magnetic processes of the Earth near the corresponding date
):
(7)
which means the local maximum of the function
for the time moment
.
We obtain from (4) the generalized reduced second global prediction thermohydrogravidynamic principle (determining the maximal temporal intensifications of the global seismotectonic, volcanic, climatic and magnetic processes of the Earth near the corresponding date
):
(8)
which means the local minimum of the function
for the time moment
. Here
is the local density of mass distribution of the material continuum of the Earth
,
is the combined cosmic (solar and planetary) gravitational potential (Simonenko, 2012, 2013, 2014) in the material continuum of the Earth
.
2.4. The First Strong Cosmic-Terrestrial Tendency for Creation of the Strongest Earthquakes of the Earth
According to the generalized reduced first global prediction thermohydrogravidynamic principle (7), we derive the necessary condition 1.1 defined by the necessary combined simultaneous conditions
(9)
(10)
which are necessary (but not sufficient) for realization (according to the first variant of the first strong cosmic-terrestrial tendency) of the strongest earthquakes of the Earth during the year i AD. According to the generalized reduced first global prediction thermohydrogravidynamic principle (7), we derive the necessary condition 1.2 defined by the necessary combined simultaneous conditions
(11)
(12)
which are necessary (but not sufficient) for realization (according to the second variant of the first strong cosmic-terrestrial tendency) of the strongest earthquakes of the Earth during the year i AD. The first strong cosmic-terrestrial tendency is related with the local maximal combined planetary and solar integral energy gravitational influences on the Earth and the local minimal terrestrial potential gravitational energies of the Earth.
2.5. The Second Strong Cosmic-Terrestrial Tendency for Creation of the Strongest Earthquakes of the Earth
According to the generalized reduced second global prediction thermohydrogravidynamic principle (8), we derive the necessary condition 2.1 defined by the necessary combined simultaneous conditions
(13)
(14)
which are necessary (but not sufficient) for realization (according to the first variant of the second strong cosmic-terrestrial tendency) of the strongest earthquakes of the Earth during the year i AD. According to the generalized reduced second global prediction thermohydrogravidynamic principle (8), we derive the necessary condition 2.2 defined by the necessary combined simultaneous conditions
(15)
(16)
which are necessary (but not sufficient) for realization (according to the second variant of the second strong cosmic-terrestrial tendency) of the strongest earthquakes of the Earth during the year i AD. The second strong cosmic-terrestrial tendency is related with the local minimal combined planetary and solar integral energy gravitational influences and the local maximal terrestrial potential gravitational energies.
3. Results and Discussions
3.1. The Application of the Established Global Prediction Thermohydrogravidynamic Principles for Evidence of the Cosmic Energy Gravitational Genesis of the Strongest Earthquakes of the Earth Occurred in China during the Range 1900 ÷ 2024 AD
To confirm the cosmic energy gravitational genesis of the strongest (according to the U.S. Geological Survey) global and Chinese earthquakes of the Earth (during the range 1900 ÷ 2024 AD), we present Table 1 of the previous strongest earthquakes of the Earth occurred in China near the calculated (based on the global prediction thermohydrogravidynamic principle (1) used for the first approximation of the circular orbits of the planets around the Sun) dates
.
![]()
Table 1. The analysis of the previous strongest earthquakes of the Earth (characterized by the magnitudes
according to the U.S. Geological Survey) occurred in China on the dates
(i = 1908, 1920, 1927, 1931, 1934, 1937, 1976 and 2024) near the calculated dates
(i = 1908, 1920, 1927, 1931, 1934, 1937, 1976 and 2024) of the local maximal combined planetary and solar integral energy gravitational influences (1) on the internal rigid core
of the Earth.
The closeness (as it is evident from the column for the difference
in Table 1) of the dates
and
(for i = 1908, 1920, 1927, 1931, 1934, 1937, 1976 and 2024) gives the convincing evidence of the cosmic energy gravitational genesis of the strongest (according to the U.S. Geological Survey) earthquakes of the Earth (during the range 1900 ÷ 2024 AD) occurred in China near the calculated dates
(i = 1908, 1920, 1927, 1931, 1934, 1937, 1976 and 2024) corresponding to the local maximal combined planetary and solar integral energy gravitational influences (1) on the internal rigid core
of the Earth. We see (based on Table 1) that the calculated non-dimensional numerical dates
and the non-dimensional numerical dates
are not consistent with the necessary conditions 1.1 (defined by (9) and (10)) and 1.2 (defined by (11) and (12)).
To confirm the cosmic energy gravitational genesis of the strongest (according to the U.S. Geological Survey) global and Chinese earthquakes of the Earth (during the range 1900 ÷ 2024 AD), we present Table 2 of the previous strongest earthquakes of the Earth occurred in China on the dates
near the calculated dates
.
The closeness (as it is evident from the column for the difference
in Table 2) of the dates
and
gives the convincing evidence of the cosmic energy gravitational genesis of the strongest (according to the U.S. Geological Survey) earthquakes of the Earth (during the range 1900 ÷ 2024 AD) occurred in China near the calculated dates
corresponding to the local minimal combined planetary and solar integral energy gravitational influences (2) on the internal rigid core
of the Earth. Table 2 presents the evidence that the first strongest (during the range 1900 ÷ 2024 AD) Chinese earthquake was occurred on August 15, 1950 AD in eastern Xizang-India border region exactly 4.32 days before the calculated date
. We see that the first strongest Chinese earthquake (characterized by the maximal magnitude
) satisfy to the necessary condition 2.1. We see that the second strongest Chinese earthquake (characterized by the magnitude
) satisfy to the necessary condition 2.2. Thus, we obtain the convincing evidence (based on Table 2) of the cosmic-terrestrial energy gravitational genesis of the strongest Chinese earthquakes (characterized by the magnitudes
and
).
3.2. The Convincing Evidence of the Cosmic-Terrestrial Energy Gravitational Genesis of the Strongest Earthquakes of the Earth Occurred during the Range 1900 ÷ 2024 AD
Table 3 presents the analysis of the previous strongest earthquakes of the Earth (characterized by the magnitudes
according to the U.S. Geological Survey) occurred on the dates
(i = 1964, 2010 and 2011) near the calculated dates
(i = 1964, 2010 and 2011).
We see (based on Table 3) that the calculated non-dimensional numerical dates
(i = 1964, 2010 and 2011) and the non-dimensional numerical
![]()
Table 2. The analysis of the previous strongest earthquakes of the Earth (characterized by the magnitudes
according to the U.S. Geological Survey) occurred in China on the dates
(i = 1910, 1918, 1920, 1932, 1950, 1951, 1988, 1999, 2001 and 2008) near the calculated dates
(i = 1910, 1918, 1920, 1932, 1950, 1951, 1988, 1999, 2001 and 2008) of the local minimal combined planetary and solar integral energy gravitational influences (2) on the internal rigid core
of the Earth.
dates
(i = 1964, 2010 and 2011) satisfy the necessary condition 1.1 (defined by (9) and (10)). The satisfaction of the established necessary condition 1.1 explains the maximal magnitudes
(corresponding to i = 1964, 2010 and 2011) of the strongest earthquakes of the Earth presented in Table 3. Table 3 presents the convincing evidence of the cosmic-terrestrial energy gravitational genesis of the strongest earthquakes of the Earth occurred during the range 1900 ÷ 2024 AD near the calculated non-dimensional numerical dates
(i = 1964, 2010 and 2011).
Table 4 presents the analysis of the all previous strongest earthquakes of the Earth occurred on the dates
near the calculated dates
![]()
Table 3. The analysis of the previous strongest earthquakes (characterized by the magnitudes
according to the U.S. Geological Survey) of the Earth occurred on the dates
(i = 1964, 2010 and 2011) near the calculated (Simonenko, 2021) dates
(i = 1964, 2010 and 2011) of the local maximal combined planetary and solar integral energy gravitational influences (1) on the internal rigid core
of the Earth.
![]()
Table 4. The analysis of the all previous strongest earthquakes of the Earth (characterized by the magnitudes
according to the U.S. Geological Survey) occurred on the dates
(i = 1952, 1960 and 2004) near the calculated dates
( i = 1952, 1960 and 2004) of the local minimal combined planetary and solar integral energy gravitational influences (given by the relation (2)) on the internal rigid core
of the Earth.
of the local minimal combined planetary and solar integral energy gravitational influences (2) on the internal rigid core
of the Earth.
Table 4 shows the convincing evidence of the first (related with the necessary conditions 2.1 defined by (13) and (14)) and the second (related with the necessary conditions 2.2 defined by (15) and (16)) variants of the second strong cosmic-terrestrial tendency related with creation of the strongest earthquakes of the Earth. We see (based on Table 4) that the satisfaction of the necessary conditions 2.1 and 2.2 is the real necessary (but not sufficient) condition for realization of the strongest earthquakes (characterized by the magnitudes
) of the Earth.
3.3. The Evidence of the Cosmic-Terrestrial Energy Gravitational Genesis of the Strongest Chinese Earthquakes Occurred near the Calculated Dates 1975.26666666 AD and 1999. 26666666 AD
Table 5 presents the analysis of the previous strongest Chinese earthquakes occurred on the dates
(i = 1975, 1999 and 2023) near the calculated dates
(i = 1975, 1999 and 2023) characterized by the condition
for i = 1975, 1999 and 2023.
We see (based on Table 5) that the maximal magnitude
(of the strongest Chinese earthquake occurred on April 8, 1999 AD in Jilin-Heilongjiang border region) corresponds to the minimal (for i = 1975, 1999 and 2023) time difference
. We see (based on Table 5) for the strongest Chinese earthquake (occurred on April 8, 1999 AD) that the calculated non-dimensional numerical date
and the condition
(for 1999 AD) satisfy the necessary condition 1.1 (defined by (9) and (10)). We see that the calculated non-dimensional numerical date
(of the strongest earthquake of the Earth occurred on February 6, 2023 AD) and the calculated date
satisfy the necessary condition 1.1.
![]()
Table 5. The analysis of the previous strongest Chinese earthquakes (characterized by the magnitudes
according to the U.S. Geological Survey) occurred on the dates
(i = 1975, 1999 and 2023) near the calculated dates
,
and
of the local maximal combined planetary and solar integral energy gravitational influences (1) on the internal rigid core
.
3.4. The Evidence of the Cosmic Energy Gravitational Genesis of the Global and Chinese Strongest Earthquakes Occurred near the Calculated Dates 1976.35 AD, 2000.35 AD and 2024.35 AD
Table 6 presents the analysis of the previous strongest earthquakes of the Earth (characterized by the magnitudes
according to the U.S. Geological Survey) occurred on the dates
(i = 1976, 2000 and 2024) near the calculated dates
(i = 1976, 2000 and 2024).
We see that the numerical condition
(for i = 1976, 2000 and 2024) is not in agreement with the conditions (10) and (12) related with the established necessary conditions 1.1 and 1.2. This disagreement explains the empirical fact that the maximal magnitude
in Table 6 is smaller than the maximal magnitudes
in Table 3.
Taking into account the time distributions of the strongest earthquakes of the Earth near the calculated dates
and
, we concluded (on May 20, 2024 AD as it was pointed out in the presentation on the 14th International Conference on Geology and Geophysics) that the previous 7.4-magnitude significant Chinese earthquake (occurred on April 2, 2024 in Taiwan region exactly 34.83 days before the calculated (Simonenko, 2023) date
) can be considered (under the same tendency as for 1976 AD and 2000 AD) as the precursor of the
![]()
Table 6. The analysis of the previous strongest earthquakes of the Earth (characterized by the magnitudes
according to the U.S. Geological Survey) occurred on the dates
(i = 1976, 2000 and 2024) near the calculated dates
,
and
(characterized by the condition
for i = 1976, 2000 and 2024) of the local maximal combined planetary and solar integral energy gravitational influences (1) on the internal rigid core
of the Earth.
possible (but not necessary) more strongest earthquake of the Earth during the time range from January 27, 2024 AD to August 12, 2024 AD (corresponding exactly to the mean date of the calculated dates
and
).
4. Conclusion
We have established in Section 2.3 the new generalized differential formulation (4) of the first law of thermodynamics for the whole material continuum of the Earth
subjected to the non-stationary potential cosmic and potential terrestrial Newtonian gravitational forces and non-potential terrestrial stress forces characterized by the symmetric stress tensor
. We have established in Section 2.3 the derived generalized reduced (first and second) global prediction thermohydrogravidynamic principles (7) and (8) determining the maximal temporal intensifications of the global seismotectonic, volcanic, climatic and magnetic processes of the Earth near the corresponding dates
and
. We have established in Section 2.4 (based on the established principle (7)) the first strong cosmic-terrestrial tendency (characterized by the necessary conditions 1.1 (defined by the conditions (9) and (10)) and 1.2 (defined by the conditions (11) and (12))) related with creation of the strongest earthquakes of the Earth. We have established in Section 2.5 (based on the established principle (8)) the second strong cosmic-terrestrial tendency (characterized by the necessary conditions 2.1 (defined by the conditions (13) and (14)) and 2.2 (defined by the conditions (15) and (16))) related with creation of the strongest earthquakes of the Earth. The necessary conditions 1.1, 1.2, 2.1 and 2.2 are necessary (but not sufficient) conditions for creation of the strongest earthquakes.
We have presented in Section 3 the convincing evidence of the cosmic energy gravitational genesis of the strongest temporal intensifications of the global and Chinese seismotectonic processes during the range 1900 ÷ 2024 AD. We have presented in Section 3 the convincing evidence that the strongest earthquakes (according to the U.S. Geological Survey) of the Earth and the strongest Chinese earthquakes (during the range 1900 ÷ 2024 AD) were occurred near the calculated (based on the global prediction thermohydrogravidynamic principles (1) and (2) used for the first approximation of the circular orbits of the planets around the Sun) dates
and
corresponding (for year i AD) to the local maximum and the local minimum, respectively, of the combined planetary and solar integral energy gravitational influences (1) and (2), respectively, on the internal rigid core
of the Earth and on the Earth as a whole. We have presented in Section 3 the convincing evidence of the cosmic-terrestrial energy gravitational genesis of the strongest (during the range 1900 ÷ 2024 AD) earthquakes of the Earth and the strongest Chinese earthquakes (according to the U.S. Geological Survey) occurred in agreement with the established first strong cosmic-terrestrial tendency (characterized by the necessary conditions 1.1 and 1.2) and in agreement with the second strong cosmic-terrestrial tendency (characterized by the necessary conditions 2.1 and 2.2).
Taking into account the calculated forthcoming date
corresponding to the local minimum of the combined planetary and solar integral energy gravitational influences (2) on the internal rigid core
of the Earth (and on the Earth as a whole), we concluded (as the conclusion No. 3 of the made presentation on the 14th International Conference on Geology and Geophysics) that the necessary condition 2.2 will be perfectly satisfied in 2024 AD for the range (from October 18, 2024 AD to December 31, 2024 AD) of the dates
of the possible (but not obligatory) strongest earthquakes of the Earth. The necessary condition 2.2 will be perfectly satisfied in 2025 AD for the range (from January 1, 2025 AD to April 1, 2025 AD) of the dates
of the possible (but not obligatory) strongest earthquakes of the Earth.
To obtain the more good agreement between the dates
and
(of the strongest earthquakes of the Earth) and the calculated dates
and
(of the local maximal and the local minimal, respectively, combined planetary and solar integral energy gravitational influences (1) and (2), respectively, on the internal rigid core
of the Earth) and to develop the short-term thermohydrogravidynamic technology (Simonenko, 2023), we projected the first real perspective (as the conclusion No. 4.1 of the made presentation on the 14th International Conference on Geology and Geophysics) to take into account (for calculations of the dates
and
according to the global prediction thermohydrogravidynamic principles (1) and (2)) the developed thermohydrogravidynamic models (Simonenko, 2012, 2013, 2014) for the real elliptical orbits of the planets (of the Solar System) around the Sun. We projected the second real perspective (as the conclusion No. 4.2) to take into account (for calculations of the dates
and
) the established (Simonenko, 2012, 2013) lunar integral energy gravitational influences on the internal rigid core
of the Earth.
We stated (as the conclusion No. 4.3 of the presentation made on the 14th International Conference on Geology and Geophysics) about the real possibility to realize the first and second projected perspectives for improvements of the established necessary (but not sufficient) conditions 1.1, 1.2, 2.1 and 2.2 to obtain the necessary and sufficient conditions (needed for the possible prediction of the strongest earthquakes of the Earth).
Acknowledgements
S. V. S. thanks the Editor, Prof. Lois Huang and the Organizing Committee of the 14th International Conference on Geology and Geophysics for the possibility to present these results and for the publication of the article in this conference journal. The author thanks the Editorial Board of the journal and Prof. Lois Huang with gratitude for the editorial comments intended for improvement of the article. The author thanks also for support and for the helpful discussions Dr. geol.-mineral sci. R. G. Kulinich and Dr. geol.-mineral sci. M. G. Valitov.
Funding for Investigation
The work was performed in the framework of the Russian Federal programs: Study of the structure, physical and material characteristics and geodynamics of the lithosphere, seismic activity and patterns of distribution of minerals in the region of the Far Eastern seas and the northwestern sector of the Pacific Ocean. Registration No. FWMM-2024-0031.