TITLE:
Trend Analysis of Rainfall in Ganga Basin, India during 1901-2000
AUTHORS:
Suman Bera
KEYWORDS:
Mann-Kendall Test, Sen’s Slope Estimator, Climate Change
JOURNAL NAME:
American Journal of Climate Change,
Vol.6 No.1,
March
13,
2017
ABSTRACT: Shortage of water in the river in relation to rainfall change plays a pivotal role in water sharing like Ganga. In attempt to understand the rainfall changes, Mann-Kendall test and Sen’s slope estimation on hundred years’ (1901-2000) rainfall data of 236 districts in entire Ganga basin were run. Half of the districts showed a decreasing trend in annual rainfall in which 39 districts were statistically significant. During pre-monsoon (Jan.-May), 78% of the total districts showed the decreasing trend with the significance of 54 districts. A majority of the districts under the Kosi, Gandak and Sone sub-basins showed the significant negative trend in annual, pre-monsoon and post-monsoon season. So, there need some districts’ and sub-basins’ wise strategies to cope with the situation in the context of climate change.