To reveal the internal relationship between short-and long-term changes in the number of traffic accidents, traffic safety education expenditures, related technology expenditures, passenger turnover, and the number of private vehicles for a period from 1990 to 2018, a vector autoregressive model (VAR) was elaborated based on the respective time-series data. After the augmented Dicky-Fuller and Johansen cointegration tests, a vector error correction model (VECM) was also adopted to analyze their impulse responses and variances. This study can help optimize the road traffic management strategy to reduce the number of traffic accidents and develop a safer and more efficient transportation system. The results show that: 1) In the long run, the increase in passenger turnover is the internal cause of the increase in traffic accidents; 2) In the short-term scale, the education and R & D technology expenditures have a negative impact on the occurrence of traffic accidents.
Sample Chapter(s)
content (25 KB)
Components of the Book:
- Chapter 1. Analysis of Five Factors Influencing Road Traffic Accident Occurrence in China (1990-2018) by the Vector Autoregressive and Vector Error Correction Models
- 1. Introduction
- 2. Dataset
- 3. Method
- 4. Results
- 5. Conclusions
- Chapter 2. Dynamic Assessment of Airport Service Quality: A Comprehensive Approach
- 1. Introduction
- 2. The Evaluation Framework of Airport Service Quality
- 3. Dynamic Approach for Evaluating Airport Service Quality
- 4. Case Study
- 5. Conclusions
- Chapter 3. A Novel Group Decision Making Model for Evaluating Airport Operational Risk Management Based on Set Pair Analysis and Intuitionistic Fuzzy Set.
- 1. Introduction
- 2. The Evaluation Framework of Airport Operation Risk
- 3. Intuitionistic Fuzzy Group Decision Making Model for Evaluating
Airport Operation Risk
- 4. Case Study
- 5. Conclusions
- Chapter 4. A Hybrid-Type Indicator Set Pairs Analysis Model for Evaluating Transit Operational Efficiency
- 1. Introduction
- 2. The Evaluation Framework of Transit Operational Efficiency
- 3. Set Pair Analysis Model for Evaluating Transit Operational Efficiency
- 4. Case Study
- 5. Conclusions
- Chapter 5. A Hybrid-Type Multi-Attribute Decision-Making Model for the Evaluation of Uncertainties in Traffic Pollution Control Planning.
- 1. Introduction
- 2. Literature Review
- 3. The Evaluation Framework of Traffic Emissions Control Efficiency
- 4. Comprehensive Evaluation Model of Traffic Emissions Control
Efficiency
- 5. Case Study
- 6. Conclusions
- Chapter 6. Grey Interval Linguistic Multi-Attribute Group Decision-Making Model for Evaluating Traffic Pollution Control Plans
- 1. Introduction
- 2. Establishment of an Evaluating Index System
- 3. Pure Linguistic Multiattribute Group Decision-Making Method
- 4. Sample Analyses
- 5. Conclusions
- Chapter 7. Mountainous City Road Traffic Safety Evaluation Model Based on Composite Element Method
- 1. Introduction
- 2. Build Evaluation Indexes for Mountain Road Traffic Safety System
- 3. Mountainous City Road Traffic Safety Evaluation Model Based on
Composite Element Method
- 4. Illustrative Example
- 5. Conclusions
Readership:
Students, academics, teachers, and other people attending or interested in Typical Evaluation Methods of Traffic System.
Ming Wei
School of Air traffic Management, Civil Aviation University of China, Tianjin 300300, China; CAAC Key laboratory of General Aviation Operation（Civil Aviation Management Institute of China）, Beijing 102202, China.