Author(s)

George Danko^1,2

¹Mackay School of Earth Science and Engineering, University of Nevada, Reno, USA.
²Research Institute of Applied Earth Sciences, University of Miskolc, Miskolc, Hungary.

A new dynamic model identification method is developed for continuous-time series analysis and forward prediction applications. The quantum of data is defined over moving time intervals in sliding window coordinates for compressing the size of stored data while retaining the resolution of information. Quantum vectors are introduced as the basis of a linear space for defining a Dynamic Quantum Operator (DQO) model of the system defined by its data stream. The transport of the quantum of compressed data is modeled between the time interval bins during the movement of the sliding time window. The DQO model is identified from the samples of the real-time flow of data over the sliding time window. A least-square-fit identification method is used for evaluating the parameters of the quantum operator model, utilizing the repeated use of the sampled data through a number of time steps. The method is tested to analyze, and forward-predict air temperature variations accessed from weather data as well as methane concentration variations obtained from measurements of an operating mine. The results show efficient forward prediction capabilities, surpassing those using neural networks and other methods for the same task.

Time Series Analysis, Dynamic Operator, Quantum Vectors, Quantum Operator, Machine Learning, Forward Prediction, Real-Time Data Analysis

Danko, G. (2021) Quantum Operator Model for Data Analysis and Forecast. Applied Mathematics, 12, 963-992. doi: 10.4236/am.2021.1211064.