TITLE:
Forecasting towards Planning and Sustainable Development Based on a System Dynamic Approach: A Case Study of the Setiu District, State of Terengganu, Malaysia
AUTHORS:
Muhamad Safiih Lola, Mohd Noor Afiq Ramlee, Hanani Isa, Mhd Ikhwanuddin Abdullah, Mohd Fadli Hussin, Nurul Hila Zainuddin, Mohd Naeim Rahman
KEYWORDS:
System Dynamics, Setiu Wetland, Minapolita, Economic and Livelihood, Policy Practice
JOURNAL NAME:
Open Journal of Statistics,
Vol.6 No.5,
October
27,
2016
ABSTRACT: In this paper, a system dynamics approach
is used instead of the traditional approaches to stimulate, forecast and
analyze the economic effects of an existing policy practice in Setiu Wetland.
As a part of Setiu district that uphold tradition in fishery and maritime based
industry, Setiu Wetland area seems to be left behind in terms of economic and
livelihood. Generally, Setiu development policy consists of five sub-system
including population growth, economic, residential, transportation and sub-urban
sprawl. Due to their widespread population distribution, Setiu Wetland receives
low urban-related progress. Hence, a forecast of 30 years from 2016 to 2046
providing a necessary insight for potential development of the Setiu Wetland
region, to simulate its environment, identify gaps, propose suitable land model
towards Setiu Minapolitan area (Peri-urban area) and suggest directions for
future studies particularly in economic and livelihood for local authorities to
develop with.