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**Permanence, Periodicity and Extinction of a Delayed Biological System with Stage-Structured Preference for Predator** ()

*Asecodes hispinarum*and

*Microplitis mediator*. By some lemmas and methods of delay differential equation, the conditions for the permanence, existence of positive periodic solution and extinction of the system are obtained. Numerical simulations are presented that illustrate the analytical results as well as demonstrate certain biological phenomena. In particular, overcrowding of the predator does not affect the persistence of the system, but our numerical simulations suggest that overcrowding reduces the density of the predator. Under the assumption that immature prey is easier to capture, our simulations suggest that the predator’s preference for immature prey increases the predator density.

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*Journal of Applied Mathematics and Physics*,

**4**, 546-560. doi: 10.4236/jamp.2016.43060.

Received 27 January 2016; accepted 26 March 2016; published 29 March 2016

1. Introduction

In recent years, much attention has been paid to biological systems with stage structure [1] - [23] . One important reason is that there are many species whose individual members have a life history taking them through two stages, immature and mature. Thus considering stage structure in population corresponds with the natural phenomenon. Another reason is that stage-structured ecological models are much simpler than the models governed by partial differential equations but they can exhibit phenomena similar to those of partial differential equations and many important physiological parameters can be incorporated [24] . The other reason is that the biological dynamics has long been and will continue to be one of the dominant themes in both ecology and mathematical ecology due to its universal existence and importance [25] .

(1.1)

where, , , , , , , and are all continuous positive T-periodic functions, and, , and denote the densities of immature prey, mature prey, and predator species, respectively. They obtained a set of sufficient and necessary conditions that guarantee the permanence of the system.

In the natural world, many predators switch to alternative prey when their favored food is in short supply [22] - [24] . For example, the lynx switches to red squirrel when the snowshoe hare is scarce [25] . Even if there is only one prey type, the degree of predation or the quality (including palatability) of prey is likely to vary with its stage structure, which is likely to affect the predator’s preference for different stage-structured prey. This type of behavior has been reported in Asecodes hispinarum [26] , who parasitizes all 5 instars of Brontispa Logissina, but prefers to parasitize the 2nd and 3rd instars when it is exposed to all the instars of larvae, and in Microplitis mediator [27] , who prefers to parasitize the 2nd and 3rd instars of Mythimna separate.

However, previous studies on prey age preference only have been done in laboratory tests. Few researchers have investigated the phenomenon with mathematical models and carried out theoretical analysis together with numerical simulation. To extend research in this area, and based on the recent study by Cui and Song [21] , we consider a periodic predator-prey system with time delay and a predator with stage-structured preference.

2. Formulation of the Model

Let, and represent the density of immature prey, mature prey and predator species, respectively. Our periodic predator-prey system with time delay and stage-structured preference of the predator can be described as following:

(2.1)

where

(2.2)

The coefficients in system (2.1) are all continuous positive T-periodic functions. Parameter is the immature prey preference of the predator, which takes a value between 0 and 1; is the mature prey preference of the predator [28] [29] . () denotes the predation weighting factor for. The parameters and represent the birth rate and the death rate of the immature prey populations, respectively.

The term represents the numbers of immature prey born at time that still

survive, and those progressing from the immature stage to the mature stage at time t. The death rate of the mature prey population is logistic in nature and it is proportional to the square of the population with proportionality. The parameter and denote the death rate and the overcrowding rate or overcrowding effecting of the predator population, respectively. The overcrowding effecting denote the phenomenon that population growth rate is decreased with the increase of density. The function represents the Beddington-DeAngelis functional response of the predator to the immature prey and is the conversion rate of nutrients into the reproduction of the predator. The parameter is the delay due to gestation, that is to say, only the mature adult predator can contribute to the production of predator biomass. The functional response of the predator to the mature prey takes the Holling type-III form of and denotes the conversion rate of nutrients into the reproduction of the predator.

The initial conditions for system (2.1) take the form of

(2.3)

where, , the Banach space of continuous functions

mapping the interval into, where we define and the interior of

as.

For continuity of initial conditions, we require

. (2.4)

For the purpose of convenience, we write

.

Obviously, is a T-periodic and strictly positive function. Then system (2.1) becomes

(2.5)

In this paper, we consider system (2.5) with initial conditions (2.3) and (2.4). At the same time, we adopt the following notation through this paper:

, , ,

where is a continuous T-periodic function.

The rest of the paper is arranged as follows. In the following section, we introduce some lemmas and then explore the permanence and periodicity of system (2.5). In Section 4, we investigate the extinction of the predator population in system (2.5). In Section 5, numerical simulations are presented to illustrate the feasibility of our main results. Furthermore, the simulated results are explained according to the biological perspective. In section 6, a brief discussion is given to conclude this work.

3. Permanence and Periodicity

In this section, we analyze the permanence and periodicity of system (2.5) with initial conditions (2.3) and (2.4). Firstly, we introduce the following definition and Lemmas which are useful to obtain our result.

Definition 3.1. The system, is said to be permanent if there are constants such that every positive solution of this system satisfies, otherwise, the system is impermanent.

Lemma 3.2. (See [30] ). If for all and if, then the system

(3.1)

has a unique positive T-periodic solution which is globally asymptotically stable.

Lemma 3.3. (See [31] ). System

(3.2)

has a unique positive T-periodic solution which is globally asymptotically stable with respect to.

Lemma 3.4. There exists a positive constant, such that

(3.3)

for all the solution of system (3.2) with respect to.

Proof. Let be the any solution of system (3.2). By Lemma 3.3, system (3.2) has a unique globally attractive positive T-periodic solution. From the global attractivity of

, for any positive constant (), there exists a, such that for all

. (3.4)

By applying (3.4), we obtain, ,.

Let

. (3.5)

We have,.

Theorem 3.5. System (2.5) is permanent and has at least one positive T-periodic solution provided

, (3.6)

where

, ,

where is the unique positive periodic solution of system (3.2) given by Lemma 3.3 and is the upper bound of system (3.2) given by Lemma 3.4 and defined by equation (3.5).

We need the following propositions to prove Theorem 3.5.

Proposition 3.6. For all the solutions of system (2.5) with initial conditions (2.3) and (2.4), we have

, where is the upper bound of system (3.2) given by Lemma 3.4 and defined by equation (3.5). Furthermore, there exists a positive constant, such that.

Proof. Obviously, is a positively invariant set of system (2.5). Given any solution of system (2.5) with initial conditions (2.3) and (2.4), we have

,

.

Consider the following auxiliary system

(3.7)

By Lemma 3.3, system (3.7) has a unique globally attractive positive T-periodic solution. Let be the solution of system (3.7) with. By the vector comparison theorem [32] , we have

(3.8)

By applying (3.8) and Lemma 3.4, we obtain,.

In addition, from the third equation of (2.5) we have

.

Consider the following auxiliary equation:

. (3.9)

According to the condition (3.6), we have

. (3.10)

By (3.10) and Lemma (3.2), we obtain that system (3.9) has a unique positive T-periodic solution which is globally asymptotically stable. Then, for the above given in (3.4), there exists a, such that

(3.11)

By applying (3.11), we obtain,.

Set, then

. (3.12)

This completes the proof of Proposition 3.6. □

Proposition 3.7. There exists a positive constant, such that,.

Proof. By Proposition 3.6, there exists a positive such that,. Hence, from the first and second equations of system (2.5), we obtain

,

,

for. By Lemma 3.3, the following auxiliary system

(3.13)

has a unique global attractive positive T-periodic solution. Let be the solution of system (3.13) with, by the vector comparison theorem [32] , we obtain

(3.14)

Moreover, from the global attractivity of, there exists a, such that

,. (3.15)

Combined (3.14) with (3.15), we have

, (3.16)

Therefore, ,. This completes the proof of Proposition 3.7. □

Proposition 3.8. Suppose that (3.6) holds, then there exists a positive constant, such that any solution of system (2.5) with initial conditions (2.3) and (2.4) satisfies

. (3.17)

Proof. By assumption (3.6), we can choose arbitrarily small constant (without loss generality, we

assume that, where is the unique positive periodic solution of

system (3.2)), such that

, (3.18)

where

,.

Consider the following system with a parameter,

,

, (3.19)

By Lemma 3.3, system (3.19) has a unique positive T-periodic solution, which is globally

attractive. Let be the solution (3.19) with initial condition.

Then, for the above, there exists a sufficiently large such that, for,

.

Using the continuity of the solution in the parameter, we have uniformly in as

. Hence, there exists a such that, for, ,

.

So, we get. Choosing a constant (,

), we obtain

, ,. (3.20)

Suppose that the conclusion (3.17) is not true, then there exists such that

,

where is the solution of system (2.5) with initial condition

,. So, there exists such that

,. (3.21)

By applying (3.21), from the first and second equation of system (2.5), we have

,

,

for all. Let be the solution of system (3.19) with and

, then we have, ,. By the global

asymptotic stability of, for the given, there exists, such that

, ,.

So,

, ,.

By using (3.20), we obtain

, ,. (3.22)

Therefore, by using (3.21) and (3.22), for it follows

(3.23)

Integrating (3.23) from to yields

Thus, from (3.18) we know that as, which is a contradiction. The proof is com- plete. □

Proposition 3.9. Suppose that (3.6) holds, then there exists a positive constant, such that any solution of system (2.5) with initial conditions (2.3) and (2.4) satisfies

. (3.24)

Proof. Suppose that (3.24) is not true, then there exists a sequence, such that

,

On the other hand, by Proposition 3.8, we have

,

Hence, there exist time sequences and satisfying

, , as,

and

, , ,. (3.25)

By Proposition 3.6, for a given positive integer m, there exist a, such that for all

,.

Because of as, there is a positive integer, such that as, hence

, (3.26)

for,. Integrating (3.26) from to yields

,

or

,.

Thus, from the boundedness of, we have

as,. (3.27)

By (3.18) and (3.27), there exist constants and, such that

, , (3.28)

and for, and. (3.28) implies that

, , (3.29)

for,. In addition, for, we have

,

.

Let be the solution of (3.19) with and, then by applying

comparison theorem, we have

,.

By using Propositions 3.6 and 3.7, there exists a large enough such that

,

for. For, system (3.19) has a unique positive T-periodic solution which is global stability. According to the periodicity of (3.19), we have the periodic solution is uniformly asymptotically stable in the compact set. Hence, for the given in Proposition 3.8, there exists, which is independent of m and q, such that

,.

Therefore, by using (3.20),

,.

According to (3.27), there exists a positive integer such that for and. Thus, we obtain

, , (3.30)

as and. Therefore, by using (3.29) and (3.30), from the third equation of system (2.5), we have

,. (3.31)

Integrating (3.31) from to leads to

,

that is,

.

This is a contradiction. This completes the proof of Proposition 3.9. □

Proof of Theorem 3.5. By using Propositions 3.6-3.9, system (2.5) is permanent. Using result given by Teng and Chen in [33] , we obtain system (2.5) has at least one positive T-periodic solution. This completes the proof of Theorem 3.5.

4. Extinction

In this section, we investigate the extinction of the predator population in system (2.5) with initial conditions (2.3) and (2.4) under some condition.

Theorem 4.1. Suppose that

. (4.1)

where

, ,

where is the unique positive periodic solution of system (3.2) given by Lemma 3.3 and is the lower bound of system (3.2) given by Proposition 3.7 and defined by equation (3.16), then.

Proof. According to (4.1), for every given positive constant , there exists and such that

(4.2)

where

,.

From the first and second equations of system (2.5), we have

,

.

Hence, for the above there are exists a, such that

, ,. (4.3)

It follows from (4.2) and (4.3) that for,

. (4.4)

Firstly, we show that exists a, such that. Otherwise, by (4.4), we have

That is to say. This is a contradiction.

Secondly, we show that

, for, (4.5)

where

,

is bounded for. Otherwise, there exists a such that.

By the continuity of, there must exists a such that and for

. Let be the nonnegative integer such that. According to

(4.3), we have

which is a contradiction. This shows that (4.5) holds. By the arbitrariness of, it immediately follows that as. This completes the proof of Theorem 4.1. □

5. Examples

In this section, we give some examples to illustrate the feasibility of our main results in Theorems 3.5 and 4.1.

Example 5.1. Let

(5.1)

In this case, system (3.2) given by Lemma 3.3 has a unique positive periodic solution

. Let, it is easy to know. By a simple

calculation, we have

.

According to Theorem 3.5, system (2.5) with the above coefficients is permanent and admits at least one positive 2p-periodic solution for any nonnegative 2p-periodic function. Figure 1 shows the dynamic behavior of system (2.5) with the above coefficients and. Figure 2 shows the dynamic behavior of system

Figure 1. The periodic solution found by numerical integration of system (2.5) with initial condition, and the other parameters given by equation (5.1), here and.

Figure 2. The periodic solution found by numerical integration of system (2.5) with initial condition, and the other parameters given by equation (5.1), here and.

(2.5) with the above coefficients and. From Theorem 3.5, we know that the overcrowding rate of the predator population has no influence on the permanence of system (2.5). However, from Figure 1 and Figure 2, we can know that the overcrowding rate influence the density of the predator population. Figure 1 demonstrates that the predator species is at low density with the overcrowding effect; Figure 2 shows that the predator population is at high density without the overcrowding effect. According to the biological viewpoint, the overcrowding effect restricts population growth.

Example 5.2. In system (2.5), let,. And the other parameters are given by equations (5.1). In the same way as Example 5.1, it is easy to verify that system (2.5) is permanent at this case. The dynamic behavior of system (2.5) in such conditions is given by Figure 3. Compared with Figure 1, we can know that the predator is at high population density if the predator prefers the immature prey to the mature, whereas it is at lower population density. According to the biological viewpoint, prey vulnerability is a major factor influencing the predator preference [34] . Compared with the mature prey, the immature is more easily captured by the predator. Then, the predator population density is high if the predator prefers the immature prey.

Example 5.3. In system (2.5), let,. And the other parameters are given by equations (5.1). In this case, by a simple calculation, we obtain

.

According to Theorem 4.1, system (2.5) is impermanent and the predator population is extinction. Numerical simulation given in Figure 4 also confirms the result.

6. Conclusions

In this paper, we propose and analyze a periodic predator-prey system with time delay and prey stage-structured preference by the predator. The permanence and existence of positive periodic solutions of system (2.5) are explored. The conditions for the impermanence of the system and the extinction of the predator population are obtained. By Lemma 3.3, we know that is the globally attractive periodic solution of system (2.5) without predation. Hence, the condition (3.6) implies that system (2.5) is permanence if the death rate of the predator population is small enough. Numerical simulations not only show the consistency with the theoretical analysis but also exhibit other interesting biological phenomenon. From Example 5.1, we know that the predator population is at high density without the overcrowding effect. By Examples 5.1 and 5.2, we get that the predator’s preference to the immature prey is beneficial for itself development. This is because the immature prey is

Figure 3. The periodic solution found by numerical integration of system (2.5) with initial condition, , and the other parameters given by equation (5.1), here and.

Figure 4. The temporal solution found by numerical integration of system (2.5) with initial condition, , and the other parameters given by equation (5.1), here and.

more palatable and more easily captured by the predator than the mature. Example 5.3 illustrates the correctness of Theorem 4.1.

We would like to mention here that we are unable to solve the following questions:

1) How many positive periodic solutions exist in system (2.5)?

2) Is the solution global attractivity if system (2.5) has only one positive periodic solution?

We leave these for future work.

Acknowledgements

The authors express sincere gratitude to the anonymous referees for their helpful comments and suggestions that led to an improvement of our original manuscript.

Funding

This work was supported by the Major Project of Sichuan University of Arts and Science (Grant No. 2014Z005Z), by the General Project of Educational Commission in Sichuan Province (Grant No. 16ZB0357).

NOTES

^{*}Corresponding author.

Conflicts of Interest

The authors declare no conflicts of interest.

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