Development of a Strategic Planning Model for a Municipal Water Supply Scheme Using System Dynamics

Adelere E. Adeniran; Olufemi A. Bamiro

doi:10.4236/jwarp.2015.715097

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JWARP> Vol.7 No.15, October 2015

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Development of a Strategic Planning Model for a Municipal Water Supply Scheme Using System Dynamics

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DOI: 10.4236/jwarp.2015.715097 2,810 Downloads 3,465 Views

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Adelere E. Adeniran^1*, Olufemi A. Bamiro²

Affiliation(s)

¹Civil & Environmental Engineering Department, University of Lagos, Lagos, Nigeria.
²Mechanical Engineering Department, University of Ibadan, Ibadan, Nigeria.

ABSTRACT

This paper reports the development of a system dynamics model for the strategic planning of a municipal water supply scheme. The model is capable of handling the critical variables that impact on the operations of a water supply scheme. The model was developed using the dynamo programming software to handle the process dynamics. Other supporting softwares—Fortran, Clipper 5, and Epiglue are used to handle data input, analysis and presentation of results in a user-friendly environment. The model was validated by applying it to the simulation of the University of Ibadan Water Supply Scheme for which extensive data of operations were collected over a period of ten years. The results obtained were found to be realistic and useful for the planning of plant operations. It is concluded that the model developed is sensitive to variable changes and has the capability of answering various operational “what-if” questions. As a strategic planning tool, the present model generates, for different scenarios, important operational information for the management of the water supply scheme. It is concluded that SD model is a useful tool to assist water managers and policy makers in making decisions and evolving strategic planning for water supply.

KEYWORDS

Municipal Water Supply, System Dynamics, Strategic Planning, Policy Decisions

Conflicts of Interest

The authors declare no conflicts of interest.

Cite this paper

Adeniran, A. and Bamiro, O. (2015) Development of a Strategic Planning Model for a Municipal Water Supply Scheme Using System Dynamics. Journal of Water Resource and Protection, 7, 1183-1194. doi: 10.4236/jwarp.2015.715097.

References

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