Mapping Vulnerability to Climate Change in Malawi: Spatial and Social Differentiation in the Shire River Basin

Jeanne Yekeleya Coulibaly¹, Cheikh Mbow¹, Gudeta Weldesemayat Sileshi², Tracy Beedy³, Godfrey Kundhlande⁴, John Musau¹

¹World Agroforestry Center, United Nations Avenue Gigiri, Nairobi, Kenya.
²P. O. Box 5600, Lusaka, Zambia.
³1210 Utica Street, Plainview, USA.
⁴World Agroforestry Centre (ICRAF), Eastern and Southern Africa Regional Programme, Chitedze Agricultural Research Station, Lilongwe, Malawi.

DOI: 10.4236/ajcc.2015.43023                

Abstract

This article analyses vulnerability to climate related shocks across five districts in the shire river basin of Malawi. The analysis employs an indicator approach that integrates biophysical and socio-economic indices. Principal component statistical analysis was used to calculate an index for adaptive capacity, sensitivity and exposure to climate impact for each of the five districts. These indices were aggregated to develop a vulnerability index differentiated also by gender for the surveyed districts. The results showed that Chikwawa, Machinga and Blantyre appear to be more vulnerable to climate related shocks compared with Mwanza and Zomba. Women in Chikwawa are also found to be the most susceptible to the climate hazards impacts. To reduce vulnerability to climate impact, the study suggests that the national adaptation strategies adopted by the government should be mainstreamed into specific local adaptation actions that can be accessible and adopted by the community. Specific emphasis should be given to the improvement of women’s welfare through better access to productive assets and resources.

Keywords

Climate Change, Vulnerability, Principal Component Analysis, Malawi, Shire River Basin

Conflicts of Interest

The authors declare no conflicts of interest.

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