Open Journal of Statistics

Volume 6, Issue 1 (February 2016)

ISSN Print: 2161-718X   ISSN Online: 2161-7198

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A Modified Epidemic Chain Binomial Model

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DOI: 10.4236/ojs.2016.61001    4,855 Downloads   5,528 Views  Citations


Discrete epidemic models are applied to describe the physical phenomena of spreading infectious diseases in a household. In this paper, an attempt has been made to develop a modified epidemic chain model by assuming a beta distribution of third kind for the probability of being infected by contact with a given infective from the same household with closed population. This paper emphasizes mainly on developing the probabilities of all possible epidemic chains with one introductory case for three, four and five member household. The key phenomenon towards developing this paper is to provide an alternative model of chain binomial model.

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Nath, D. , Das, K. and Chakraborty, T. (2016) A Modified Epidemic Chain Binomial Model. Open Journal of Statistics, 6, 1-6. doi: 10.4236/ojs.2016.61001.

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