Share This Article:

Impact on Water Resources in a Mountainous Basin under the Climate Change Transient Scenario (UKTR)

Full-Text HTML Download Download as PDF (Size:669KB) PP. 118-128
DOI: 10.4236/ajcc.2014.31010    6,590 Downloads   9,509 Views  
Author(s)    Leave a comment

ABSTRACT

The impact of climate change on the hydrological regime and water resources in the basin of Venetikos river, in Greece is assessed. A monthly conceptual water balance model was calibrated in this basin using historical hydro meteorological data. This calibrated model was used to estimate runoff under a transient scenario (UKTR) referring to year 2080. The results show that the mean annual runoff, mean winter and summer runoff values, annual maximum and minimum values, as well as, monthly maximum and minimum, will be reduced. Additionally, an increase of potential and actual evapotranspiration was noticed due to temperature increase.

Conflicts of Interest

The authors declare no conflicts of interest.

Cite this paper

Baltas, E. (2014) Impact on Water Resources in a Mountainous Basin under the Climate Change Transient Scenario (UKTR). American Journal of Climate Change, 3, 118-128. doi: 10.4236/ajcc.2014.31010.

References

[1] IPCC (2000) Third Assessment Report, Working Group I Report. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.
[2] Arnell, N.W. (2004) Climate Change and Global Water Resources: SRES Emissions and Socio-Economic Scenarios. Global Environmental Change, 14, 31-52. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2003.10.006
[3] Ashiq, M.W., Zhao, C., Ni, J. and Akhtar, M. (2009) GIS-Based High-Resolution Spatial Interpolation of Precipitation in Mountain-Plain Areas of Upper Pakistan for Regional Climate Change Impact Studies. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 99, 239-253.
[4] Christensen, N.S., Wood, A.W., Voisin, N., Lettenmaier, D.P. and Palmer, R.N. (2004) The Effects of Climate Change on the Hydrology and Water Resources of the Colorado River Basin. Climatic Change, 62, 337-363.
[5] Evans, J. and Schreider, S. (2002) Hydrological Impacts of Climate Change on Inflows to Perth, Australia. Climatic Change, 55, 361-393. http://dx.doi.org/10.1023/A:1020588416541
[6] Hagemann, S., Gottel, H., Jacob, D., Lorenz, P. and Roeckner, E. (2009) Improved Regional Scale Processes Reflected in Projected Hydrological Changes over Large European Catchments. Climate Dynamics, 32, 767-781.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-008-0403-9
[7] Kostopoulou, E., Giannakopoulos, C., Anagnostopoulou, C., Tolika, K., Maheras, P., Vafiadis, M. and Founda, D. (2007) Simulating Maximum and Minimum Temperature over Greece: A Comparison of Three Downscaling Techniques. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 90, 65-82.
[8] Middelkoop, H., Daamen, K.. Gellens, D., Grabs, W., Kwadijk, J.C., Lang, H., Parmet, B.W., Schadler, B., Schulla, J. and Wilke, K. (2001) Impact of Climate Change on Hydrological Regimes and Water Resources Management in the Rhine Basin. Climatic Change, 49, 105-128. http://dx.doi.org/10.1023/A:1010784727448
[9] Vanrheenen, N., Wood, A., Palmer, R. and Lettenmaier, D. (2004) Potential Implications of PCM Climate Change Scenarios for Sacramento, San Joaquin River Basin. Climatic Change, 62, 257-281.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1023/B:CLIM.0000013686.97342.55
[10] Vorosmarty, C.J., Green, P., Salisbury, J. and Lammers, R.B. (2000) Global Water Resources: Vulnerability from Climate Change and Population Growth. Science, 289, 284-288. http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/science.289.5477.284
[11] Mitchel, T. and Hulme, M. (2000) A Country by Country Analysis of Past and Future Warming Rates. Tyndall Centre Internal Report, 1 November 2000, UEA, Norwich, 6 p. http://www.tyndall.uea.ac.uk/main.htm
[12] Boorman, D.B. and Sefton, C.E.M. (1997) Recognising the Uncertainty in the Quantification of the Effects of Climate Change on Hydrological Response. Climatic Change, 35, 415-434.
[13] Hulme, M., Conway, D., Brown, O. and Barrow, E. (1994) A 1961-90 Baseline Climatology and Future Climate Change Scenarios for Great Britain and Europe. Climatic Research Unit, University of East Anglia.
[14] IPCC (1992) Climate Change 1992: The Supplementary Report to IPCC Scientific Assessment. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.
[15] IPCC (1996) Climate Change 1995: The Science of Climate Change (Contribution of Working Group I to the Second Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change). Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.
[16] Baltas, E. and Mimikou, M. (2005) Climate Change Impacts on the Water Supply of Thessaloniki. Journal of Water Resources Development, 21, 341-353. http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/07900620500036505
[17] Baltas, E.A. (2007) Impact of Climate Change on the Hydrological Regime and Water Resources in the Basin of Siatista. Journal of Water Resources Development, 23, 501-518. http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/07900620701485980
[18] Baltas, E.A. (2009) Climate Change and the Associated Implications on the Water Policy Framework in the Basin of Venetikos. Journal of Water Resoures Development, 25, 491-506. http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/07900620902972661
[19] Baltas, E.A. and Karaliolidou, M.C. (2010) Land Use and Climate Change Impact on the Reliability of Hydroelectric Energy Production. Journal of Strategic Planning for Energy and the Environment, 29, 56-73.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/10485231009709883

  
comments powered by Disqus

Copyright © 2018 by authors and Scientific Research Publishing Inc.

Creative Commons License

This work and the related PDF file are licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.