[1]
|
H. Laurikka and T. Koljonen, “Emissions Trading and Investment Decisions Power Sector—A Case Study in Finland,” Energy Policy, Vol. 34, No. 9, 2006, pp. 1063- 1074. doi:10.1016/j.enpol.2004.09.004
|
[2]
|
R. Madlener, G. Kumbaroglu and V. S. Ediger, “Modeling Technology Adoption as an Irreversible Investment Under Uncertainty: The Case of the Turkish Electricity Supply Industry,” Energy Economics, Vol. 27, No. 1, 2005, pp. 139-163. doi:10.1016/j.eneco.2004.10.007
|
[3]
|
F. Pettersson, “Power Generation Technology Choice in the Presence of Climate Policy,” Ph.D. Thesis, Lulea University of Technology, Lulea, 2005.
|
[4]
|
K. Venetsanos, P. Angelopoulou and T. Tsoutsos, “Renewable Energy Sources Project Appraisal under Uncer- tainty: The Case of Wind Energy Exploitation within a Changing Energy Market Environment,” Energy Policy, Vol. 30, No. 4, 2002, pp. 293-307.
doi:10.1016/S0301-4215(01)00096-9
|
[5]
|
International Energy Agency (IEA), “Climate Policy Uncertainty and Investment Risk,” IEA, Paris, 2007.
|
[6]
|
M. C. Caramanis, R. E. Bohn and F. C. Schweppe, “System Security Control and Optimal Pricing of Electricity,” International Journal of Electrical Power & Energy Sys- tems, Vol. 9, No. 4, 1986, pp. 217-224.
doi:10.1016/0142-0615(87)90003-2
|
[7]
|
M. C. Caramanis, R. E. Bohn and F. C. Schweppe, “Optimal Spot Pricing: Practice and Theory,” IEEE Transactions on Power Apparatus and Systems, Vol. 101, No. 9, 1982, pp. 3234-3245. doi:10.1109/TPAS.1982.317507
|
[8]
|
K. Neuhoff and L. De Vries, “Insufficient Incentives for Investments in Electricity Generations,” Utilities Policy, Vol. 12, No. 4, 2004, pp. 253-267.
doi:10.1016/j.jup.2004.06.002
|
[9]
|
R. Green and D. M. Newbery, “Competition in the British Electricity Market,” Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 100, No. 5, 1992, pp. 929-953. doi:10.1086/261846
|
[10]
|
S. Borenstein, J. Bushnell and F. Wolak, “Diagnosing Market Power in California’s Restructured Wholesale Electricity Market,” The National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper, No. 7868, 2000.
|
[11]
|
A. García-Díaz and P. L. Marín Uribe, “Strategic Bidding in Electricity Pools with Short-Lived Bids: An Application to the Spanish Market,” Energy Economics, Vol. 21, No. 2, 2003, pp. 201-222.
doi:10.1016/S0167-7187(02)00040-1
|
[12]
|
N.-H. M. von der Fehr and D. C. Harbord, “Capacity Investment and Competition in Decentralised Electricity Markets,” University of Oslo, Oslo, 1997.
|
[13]
|
F. Castro-Rodriguez, P. L. Marín and G. Siotis, “Capacity Choices in Liberalized Electricity Markets,” Energy Policy, Vol. 33, No. 11, 2009, pp. 2547-2581.
doi:10.1016/j.enpol.2009.01.038
|
[14]
|
L. Bird, M. Bolinger, T. Gagliano, R. Wiser, M. Brown and B. Parsons, “Policies and Market Factors Driving Wind Power Development in the United States,” Energy Policy, Vol. 33, No. 11, 2004, pp. 1397-1407.
doi:10.1016/j.enpol.2003.12.018
|
[15]
|
D. C. Moody, “Ten Years of Experience with Deregulating US Power Markets,” Utilities Policy, Vol. 12, No. 3, 2004, pp. 127-137. doi:10.1016/j.jup.2004.04.008
|
[16]
|
P. S?derholm, K. Ek and M. Pettersson, “Wind Power Development in Sweden: Global Policies and Local Obstacles,” Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Vol. 11, No. 3, 2007, pp. 365-400.
doi:10.1016/j.rser.2005.03.001
|
[17]
|
F. Roques, D. M. Newbery and W. J Nuttall, “Generation Adequacy and Investment Incentives in Britain: From the Pool to Neta,” Proceedings from the 3rd International Conference on Applied Infrastructure Research, Berlin, 9 October 2004.
|
[18]
|
S. Takizawa and A. Suzuki, “Analysis of the Decision to Invest for Constructing a Nuclear Power Plant Under Regulation of Electricity Price,” Decision Support Systems, Vol. 37, No. 3, 2004, pp. 449-456.
doi:10.1016/S0167-9236(03)00045-9
|
[19]
|
J. H. Grobman and J. M Carey, “Price Caps and Investment: Long-Run Effects in the Electric Generation Indus- try,” Energy Policy, Vol. 29, No. 7, 2001, pp. 542-552.
doi:10.1016/S0301-4215(00)00153-1
|
[20]
|
D. Finon, T. A. Johnsen and A. Midttun, “Challenges When Electricity Markets Face the Investment Phase,” Energy Policy, Vol. 32, No. 12, 2004, pp. 1355-1362.
doi:10.1016/j.enpol.2003.12.017
|
[21]
|
A. Sandoff, “Akt?rernas Drivkrafter f?r Investeringar I Energisystemet,” Nordleden, G?teborg, 2003.
|
[22]
|
A. K. Dixit and R. S. Pindyck, “Investment under Uncertainty,” Princeton University Press, Princeton, 1994.
|
[23]
|
H. Laurikka, “Option Value of Gasification Technology Within an Emissions Trading Scheme,” Energy Policy, Vol. 34, No. 18, 2006, pp. 3916-3928.
doi:10.1016/j.enpol.2005.09.002
|
[24]
|
R. Lundmark and F. Pettersson, “Dynamic Investment Decisions and Implementation of Climate Policies,” Proceedings of the 9th IAEE European Energy Conference— Energy Markets and Sustainability in a Larger Europe, Florence, 10-12 June 2007.
|
[25]
|
L. M. Abadie and J. M. Chamorro, “Valuing Flexibility: The Case of an Integrated Gasification Combined Cycle Power Plant,” Energy Economics, Vol. 30, No. 4, 2008, pp. 1850-1881. doi:10.1016/j.eneco.2006.10.004
|
[26]
|
S. Fuss, J. Szolgayova, M. Obersteiner and M. Gusti, “Investment under Market and Climate Policy Uncertainty,” Applied Energy, Vol. 85, No. 8, 2008, pp. 708- 721. doi:10.1016/j.apenergy.2008.01.005
|
[27]
|
M. Szolgayova, S. Fuss and M. Obersteiner, “Assessing the Effects of CO2 Price Caps on Electricity Investments— A Real Options Analysis,” Energy Policy, Vol. 36, No. 10, 2008, pp. 3974-3981. doi:10.1016/j.enpol.2008.07.006
|
[28]
|
M. Yang, W. Blyth, R. Bradley, D. Bunn, C. Clarke and T. Wilson, “Evaluating the Power Investment Options with Uncertainty in Climate Policy,” Energy Economics, Vol. 30, No. 4, 2008, pp. 1933-1950.
doi:10.1016/j.eneco.2007.06.004
|
[29]
|
F. A. Roques, W. J. Nuttall and D. M. Newbery, “Nuclear Power: A Hedge against Uncertain Gas and Carbon Prices?” The Energy Journal, Vol. 27, No. 4, 2006, pp. 1- 23. doi:10.5547/ISSN0195-6574-EJ-Vol27-No4-1
|
[30]
|
Swedish Energy Agency, “Nytt Planeringsm?l f?r Vindkraften ?r 2020,” Swedish Energy Agency, Eskilstuna, 2007.
|
[31]
|
M. B?rring, O. Nystr?m, P.-A. Nilsson, F. Olsson, M. Egard and P. Jonsson, “El fr?n Nya Anl?ggningar 2003,” Elforsk, Stockholm, 2003.
|
[32]
|
J. Frayer and N. Z. Uludere, “What Is It Worth? Application of Real Options Theory to the Valuation of Generation Assets,” The Electricity Journal, Vol. 14, No. 8, 2001, pp. 40-51. doi:10.1016/S1040-6190(01)00237-8
|
[33]
|
J. J. Lucia and E. S. Schwartz, “Electricity Prices and Power Derivates: Evidence from the Nordic Power Exchange,” Review of Derivates Research, Vol. 5, No. 1, 2002, pp. 5-50. doi:10.1023/A:1013846631785
|
[34]
|
M. Slade, “Valuing Managerial Flexibility: An Application of Real-Option Theory to Mining Investments,” Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Vol. 41, No. 2, 2001, pp. 193-233.
doi:10.1006/jeem.2000.1139
|
[35]
|
W. J. Hahn and J. S. Dyer, “Discrete Time Modelling of Mean-Reverting Stochastic Processes for Real-Option Valuation,” European Journal of Operational Research, Vol. 184, No. 2, 2007, pp. 534-548.
doi:10.1016/j.ejor.2006.11.015
|
[36]
|
G. Spangardt, M. Lucht, C. Wolf and C. Horn, “Decision Making in the Emissions-Market under Uncertainty,” In: R. Antes, B. Hansjurgens P. Lefmathe, Eds., Emissions trading and business, Physica-Verlag, Heidelberg, 2006.
|
[37]
|
S.-E. Fleten, K. M. Maribu and I. Wangensteen, “Optimal Investment Strategies in Decentralized Renewable Power Generation under Uncertainty,” Energy, Vol. 32, No. 5, 2007, pp. 803-815. doi:10.1016/j.energy.2006.04.015
|
[38]
|
International Energy Agency (IEA), “IEA Electricity Information,” Source OECD Database Edition, IEA/OECD, Paris, 2006.
|
[39]
|
Nord Pool, “Spot Market Data,” 2006. www.nordpool.no
|
[40]
|
Svenska Kraftn?t (SVK), “Green Certificates, Market Statistics,” 2008. https:// elcertifikat.svk.se/
|
[41]
|
P. J. Spinney and G. C. Watkins, “Monte Carlo Simulation Techniques and Electric Utility Resource Decisions,” Energy Policy, Vol. 24, No. 2, 1996, pp. 155-163.
doi:10.1016/0301-4215(95)00094-1
|
[42]
|
D. C. Rode, P. S. Fischbeck and S. R. Dean, “Monte Carlo Methods for Appraisal and Valuation: A Case Study of a Nuclear Power Plant,” Journal of Structured and Project Finance, Vol. 7, No. 3, 2001, pp. 38-48.
doi:10.3905/jsf.2001.320257
|
[43]
|
R. Green, “Carbon Tax or Carbon Permits: The Impact on Generators’ Risk,” The Energy Journal, Vol. 29, No. 3, 2008, pp. 67-89.
|
[44]
|
D. G. Williams, “Scenario Simulations Do Not Yield Results Stochastically Consistent with Alternative Monte Carlo Results: U.S. Nuclear Plant Decommissioning Funding Adequacy,” Energy Economics, Vol. 29, No. 5, 2007, pp. 1101-1130. doi:10.1016/j.eneco.2006.05.011
|
[45]
|
P. S?derholm and L. Str?mberg, “A Utility-Eye View of the CO2 Compliance-Decision Process in the European Power-Sector,” Applied Energy, Vol. 75, No. 3-4, 2003, pp. 183-192. doi:10.1016/S0306-2619(03)00031-X
|