Prediction and Optimization of System Quality and Risks on the Base of Modelling Processes

Andrey Kostogryzov, Leonid Grigoriev, George Nistratov, Andrey Nistratov, Vladimir Krylov

Gubkin Russian State University of Oil and Gas, Moscow, Russia.
Institute of Informatic Problems of the Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow, Russia.
Research Institute of Applied Mathematics and Certification, Moscow, Russia.
Scientific&Technical Center “NAOPRO”, Moscow, Russia.

DOI: 10.4236/ajor.2013.31A021                

Abstract

The paper is concerned with the development and application of the original probability models and supporting them software tools to predict and optimize quality and risks for complex systems. The examples demonstrate possibilities to use modeling results from different application spheres and to go in making decision “from a pragmatical filtration of information to generation of the proved ideas and effective decisions”.

Keywords

Analysis; Model; Quality; Prediction; Reliability; Risk, Safety; Software Tools; System Engineering

Conflicts of Interest

The authors declare no conflicts of interest.

References

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