Analysis of Ozone Behaviour in the City of Puebla-Mexico Using Non-Homogeneous Poisson Models with Multiple Change-Points

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DOI: 10.4236/jep.2016.712149    1,325 Downloads   2,110 Views  Citations

ABSTRACT

In this work, some non-homogeneous Poisson models are considered to study the behaviour of ozone in the city of Puebla, Mexico. Several functions are used as the rate function for the non-homogeneous Poisson process. In addition to their dependence on time, these rate functions also depend on some parameters that need to be estimated. In order to estimate them, a Bayesian approach will be taken. The expressions for the distributions of the parameters involved in the models are very complex. Therefore, Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms are used to estimate them. The methodology is applied to the ozone data from the city of Puebla, Mexico.

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Cruz-Juárez, J. , Reyes-Cervantes, H. and Rodrigues, E. (2016) Analysis of Ozone Behaviour in the City of Puebla-Mexico Using Non-Homogeneous Poisson Models with Multiple Change-Points. Journal of Environmental Protection, 7, 1886-1903. doi: 10.4236/jep.2016.712149.

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