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Trend and Periodicity Analysis in Rainfall Pattern of Nira Basin, Central India

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DOI: 10.4236/ajcc.2014.31006    4,815 Downloads   8,643 Views   Citations


Seasonal and annual rainfall data of the stations: Akluj, Baramati, Bhor and Malsiras stations located in Nira Basin, Central India, were analyzed for studying trend and periodicity using 104 years’ rainfall data. The analysis was carried out by using Mann-Kendall (MK), Modified Mann-Kendall (MMK) and Theil and Sen’s slope estimator tests describing rising trend at all the stations. However, it is statistically significant at Akluj and Bhor stations at 10% significance level. Bhor station showed the maximum increase in percentage change i.e. 0.28% in annual rainfall. Monsoon and post-monsoon seasonal rainfall shows a rising trend while the summer and winter seasonal rainfall shows a falling trend. Wavelet analysis showed prominent annual rainfall periods ranging from 2 to 8 years at all the stations after 1960s resulting in describing more changes in the rainfall patterns after 1960s.

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The authors declare no conflicts of interest.

Cite this paper

Murumkar, A. and Arya, D. (2014) Trend and Periodicity Analysis in Rainfall Pattern of Nira Basin, Central India. American Journal of Climate Change, 3, 60-70. doi: 10.4236/ajcc.2014.31006.


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