Contribution to the Investigation of Motorcyclists’ Speed Prediction Equations for Two-Lane Rural Roads

Abstract

The calculation of speed prediction equations has been the subject of numerous researches in the past. The majority of them present models to predict free-flow speed in terms of the road geometry at the curved road sections and more specifically in terms of the radiuses of the curves. Common characteristic is that none of them approaches the speed behavior of motorcycles since they are excluded from the datasets of the various studies. Instead, the models usually predict operating speed for other vehicle types such as passenger cars, vans, pickups and trucks. The present paper aims to cover this gap by developing speed prediction equations for motorcycles. For this purpose a new methodology is proposed while field measurements were carried out in order to obtain an adequate dataset of free-flow speeds along the curved sections of three different two lane rural roads. The aforementioned field measurements were conducted by two participants incorporating various road conditions (e.g. light conditions, experience level, familiarity with the routes). The ultimate target was the development of speed prediction equations by calculating the optimum regression curves between the curve radius’ and the corresponding velocities for the different road conditions. The research revealed that the proposed methodology could be used as a very useful tool to investigate motorcyclists’ behavior at curved road sections. Moreover it was feasible to draw conclusions correlating the speed adjustment with the various driving conditions.

Share and Cite:

Lemonakis, P. , Eliou, N. , Botzoris, G. and Karakasidis, T. (2013) Contribution to the Investigation of Motorcyclists’ Speed Prediction Equations for Two-Lane Rural Roads. Journal of Transportation Technologies, 3, 204-213. doi: 10.4236/jtts.2013.33021.

Conflicts of Interest

The authors declare no conflicts of interest.

References

[1] N. M. Islam and P. N. Seneviratne, “Evaluation of Design Consistency of Two-Lane Rural Highways,” Institute of Transportation Engineers Journal, Vol. 64, No. 2, 1994, pp. 28-31.
[2] A. P. Voigt and R. A. Krammes, “An Operational and Safety Evaluation of Alternative Horizontal Curve Design Approaches on Rural Two-lane Highways,” Proceedings of the International Symposium on Highway Geometric Design Practices, Boston, 30 August-1 September 1995, pp. 11.1-11.8. http://onlinepubs.trb.org/onlinepubs/circulars/ec003/ch11.pdf
[3] M. Wooldridge, K. Fitzpatrick, D. Harwood, I. Potts, L. Elefteriadou and D. Torbic, “Geometric Design Consistency on High-speed Rural Two-lane Roadways,” Transportation Research Program, Washington DC, 2003. http://onlinepubs.trb.org/onlinepubs/nchrp/nchrp_rpt_502.pdf
[4] F. Tate and S. Turner, “Road Geometry and Drivers Speed Choice,” Proceedings of IPENZ Transportation Group Conference, Tauranga, 7-10 October 2007, 15p. http://www.ipenz.org.nz/ipenztg/papers/2007/
C2_TateTurner.pdf
[5] T. Esposito, R. Mauro, F Russo and G. Dell’Acqua, “Speed Prediction Models for Sustainable Road Safety Management,” Procedia—Social and Behavioral Sciences, Vol. 20, 2011, pp. 568-576. doi:10.1016/j.sbspro.2011.08.063
[6] S. K. Syed Abbas, M. A. Adnan and I. R. Endut, “Exploration of 85th Percentile Operating Speed Model on Horizontal Curve: A Case Study for Two-Lane Rural Highways,” Procedia—Social and Behavioral Sciences, Vol. 16, 2011, pp. 352-363. doi:10.1016/j.sbspro.2011.04.456
[7] C. R. Bennett, “A Speed Prediction Model for Rural Two-Lane Highways,” Ph.D. Dissertation, University of Auckland, Auckland, 1994.
[8] A. Mazzella, F. Pinna and C. Piras, “Geostatical Approach for Operating Speed Modelling on Italian Roads,” Proceedings of the 4th International Symposium on Highway Geometric Design, Transportation Research Board, Valencia, 2-5 June 2010, 14p. http://www.4ishgdvalencia.upv.es/index_archivos/.
61.pdf
[9] Y. D. Wong and A. Nicholson, “Driver Behaviour at Horizontal Curves: Risk Compensation and the Margin of Safety,” Accident Analysis and Prevention, Vol. 24, No. 4, 1992, pp. 425-436. doi:10.1016/0001-4575(92)90053-L
[10] Transportation Research Board, “Modeling Operating Speed—Synthesis Report,” Washington DC, 2011. http://onlinepubs.trb.org/onlinepubs/circulars/ec151.pdf
[11] P. Perco, “Comparison between Powered Two Wheeler and Passenger Car Free-Flow Speeds in Urban Areas,” Journal of the Transportation Research Board, No. 2074, 2008, pp. 77-84. doi:10.3141/2074-10
[12] S. F. Faezi, H. Hamid and S. R. Davoodi, “Predicting Speed Model of Horizontal Curves on Exclusive Motorcycle Lane,” Australian Journal of Basic and Applied Sciences, Vol. 5, No. 5, 2011, pp. 590-598.
[13] FESTA (Field opErational teSt supporT Action), “Primer on Experimental Procedures,” 2008. https://dspace.lboro.ac.uk/dspace-jspui/bitstream/2134/5704/1/AR2601%20FESTA%20D2%203%20Primer%20on%20experimental%20procedures.pdf
[14] G. Yannis, J. Golias, E. Papadimitriou and I. Spyropoulou, “Accident Risk Analysis of Passenger Car Drivers and Two-Wheeler Riders in Greece,” Proceedings of the 3rd National Conference on Road Safety, Patra, 10-11 October 2005, 16p.
[15] S. Laporte and S. Espié (coordinators), “Understanding Risk Taking Behaviour within the Context of PTW Riders,” 2-Wheeler Behavior & Safety—7th Framework Program, 2011. http://www.2besafe.eu/
sites/default/files/deliverables/2BES_D7_SocialCognitiveAndBehaviouralDifferencesOfPTWRiders
WithReferenceToTheirAttitudesTowardsRiskAndSa fety.pdf
[16] F. G. Pratico and M. Giunta, “Operational and Safety Effects of Two-Lane Roads Alignment,” Proceedings of the 4th International Symposium on Highway Geometric Design, Transportation Research Board, Valencia, 2-5 June 2010, 14p. http://www.4ishgd.valencia.upv.es/index_archivos/73.pdf
[17] M. Castro, J. Sanchez, N. Ardila and J. Melo, “Speed Models for Highway Consistency Analysis. A Colombian Case Study,” Proceedings of the 4th International Symposium on Highway Geometric Design, Transportation Research Board, Valencia, 2-5 June 2010, 15p. http://www.4ishgd.valencia.upv.es/
index_archivos/28.pdf
[18] A. Abdul-Mawjoud and G. Sofia, “Development of Models for Predicting Speed on Horizontal Curves for TwoLane Rural Highways,” The Arabian Journal for Science and Engineering, Vol. 33, No. 2B, 2008, pp. 365-377.

Copyright © 2024 by authors and Scientific Research Publishing Inc.

Creative Commons License

This work and the related PDF file are licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.