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Y. Zhu, Z. Toth, R. Wobus, D. Richardson and K. Mylne, “On the Economic Value of Ensemble Based Weather Forecasts,” Bulletin of American Meteorological Society, Vol. 83, No. 1, 2002, pp. 73-83. doi:10.1175/1520-0477(2002)083<0073:TEVOEB>2.3.CO;2

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