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Title: Research on Forecasting Method of Railway Passenger Transport Demand
Source: International Conference on Engineering and Business Management 2012(Part 3 Engineering and Project Management) (pp 1569-1572)
Author(s): Xiaowei Hai, School of Economics and Management, Bejing Jiaotong University, Beijing, China, 100044;Management College, Inner Mongolia University of Technology, Hohhot, China, 010051
Runtong Zhang, School of Economics and Management, Bejing Jiaotong University, Beijing, China, 100044
Chanchan Zhao, School of Computer and Information Technology, Bejing Jiaotong University, Beijing, China, 100044;College of Information Engineering, Inner Mongolia University of Technology, Hohhot, China, 010051
Jia Peng, Management College, Inner Mongolia University of Technology, Hohhot, China, 010051
Abstract: According to the characteristics of passenger traffic, we mainly researched the forecasting methods of railway passenger transport demand, on the basis of analyzing the main factors affecting railway passenger flow. Through the comparison and analysis to five passenger volume forecasting methods commonly used in comprehensive transport planning, we concluded the advantage, disadvantage and using scope of the five models forecasting passenger demand. Finally, we draw some conclusions and recommendations.
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