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Title: Application of Seasonal Decomposition on Short-Term Forecast of Cigarette Sales in Xifeng
Source: International Conference on Engineering and Business Management 2012(Part 2 Enterprise Operation and Management(2)) (pp 792-796)
Author(s): Lan LV, School of Economics and Management, Southwest Petroleum University, SWPU, Chengdu, China, 610500
Yuesong Tong, Scientific Research Department, Bijie College, BJC, Bijie, China, 551700
Hongmei Zhang, School of Management Science and Engineering Management, Guizhou College of Finance and Economics, GZCFE, Guiyang, China,550004
Abstract: In order to understand future trend of cigarette sales in Xifeng County, this report completed a short-term prediction for monthly cigarette sales of Xifeng County at year 2011, which based on seasonal decomposition method. To compare actual sales, the result shows higher value of application. Also, seasonal decomposition method has obvious maneuverability. For short-term prediction, outcome will be much more effective and accurate by applying the method.
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