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International Conference on Engineering and Business Management (EBM 2010 PAPERBACK)

Chengdu,China,China,3.24-3.26,2010

ISBN: 978-1-935068-05-1 Scientific Research Publishing, USA

Paperback 6066pp Pub. Date: March 2010

Category: Engineering

Price: $280

Title: China's Foreign Direct Investment Development Cycle and Fluctuation Gap Analysis---- An Empirical Analysis Based on HP filter
Source: International Conference on Engineering and Business Management (EBM 2010 PAPERBACK) (pp 1435-1439)
Author(s): Lu-zhu SHEN, School of Economics, Xiamen University, Xiamen ,China 361005
Ke-Long HUANG, School of Economics, Xiamen University, Xiamen ,China 361005
Abstract: Abstract: In this paper, with data for the year 1985-2008 as a sample, based on HP filtering technology, conducted an empirical study on China's foreign direct investment development cycle and fluctuation gap; and based on lag correlation analysis to explore the fluctuation gap of China's foreign direct investment in the co-movement characteristics. The results show that: China's foreign direct investment development cycle was "J curve" distribution, which was consistent with the IDP theory assumptions; relative to the level of economic development, China's foreign direct investment exits lag phenomenon. FDI outflow is lower than the potential outflow of foreign direct investment level; cyclical fluctuation of output (GDP) level was an important factor causes cyclical fluctuation of China's FDI outflows.
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