Author(s): |
Ling Xu, Key Laboratory of Industrial Ecology and Environmental Engineering (MOE), School of Environmental Science and Technology, Dalian University of Technology ,Dalian 116024, China Zhihong Liu, Key Laboratory of Industrial Ecology and Environmental Engineering (MOE), School of Environmental Science and Technology, Dalian University of Technology ,Dalian 116024, China Jing Du, Key Laboratory of Industrial Ecology and Environmental Engineering (MOE), School of Environmental Science and Technology, Dalian University of Technology ,Dalian 116024, China Zhongzheng Wang, Key Laboratory of Industrial Ecology and Environmental Engineering (MOE), School of Environmental Science and Technology, Dalian University of Technology ,Dalian 116024, China |
Abstract: |
The social-economic-environmental complex system is analyzed with System Dynamics in this paper. And water environment model of regional social-economic-environment is established with Vensim DSS simulation software. The pollution quantity from point source and non-point source is simulated and forecasted in according to the features of agricultural area of Tieling in the upstream Liao River. The integrated relation among society-economy, use of water resource, pollution discharge and water quality is quantitatively confirmed by regulating correlation degree of some parameters, including water environment evolution, economy development, industrial distribution and land-use. And then, the response relation between economy development and water ecology evolvement is simulated and the trend of water ecology evolvement is forecasting.
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