Theoretical Economics Letters
Volume 8, Issue 14 (October 2018)
ISSN Print: 2162-2078 ISSN Online: 2162-2086
Google-based Impact Factor: 1.19 Citations h5-index & Ranking
Improving the Forecast Accuracy of Oil-Stock Nexus in GCC Countries ()
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ABSTRACT
This paper renders new insights into the predictability of GCC stock returns using crude oil prices using the approach of [1] [2] that accounts for salient features of the predictor. The results show superior performance of the oil-based stock model over time-series models (namely, AR, MA, ARMA, and ARFIMA) for both in-sample and out-of-sample forecasts. The results are robust to different oil price series (Brent and WTI prices) and forecast horizons (30 and 60 days).
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