Author(s)

Muhammad Farhan Ul Moazzam^1*, Byung Gul Lee^1*, Ghani Rahman², Tahir Waqas³

¹Department of Civil Engineering, College of Ocean Science, Jeju National University, Jeju, South Korea.
²Department of Geography, University of Gujrat, Gujrat, Pakistan.
³Department of Disaster Management, Riphah International University, Islamabad, Pakistan.

This study presents the work commenced in northern Thailand on spatial and temporal variability of rainfall. Thirty years (1988-2017) rainfall data of eight meteorological stations were used for assessing temporal variability and trend analysis. The results showed decreasing trend in rainfall from its first half of the observed study period (1988-2002) to last half of the time period (2003-2017) in total average annual as well as monsoonal average rainfall by 14.92% and 15.50% respectively. It was predicted from linear regression results that by 2030 the average annual and monsoonal rainfall will drop by 35% and 34.10% respectively. All stations showed negative trend except Fakara met-station in annual rainfall. In the seasonal trend analysis, the results showed decreasing trend almost in all met-stations. Mann-Kendall trend test was applied to assess the trend. All met-stations show significant negative trend. To assess drought in the study area, Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) was applied to 12-month temporal time period. The results predicted meteorological drought in the near future. The spatial distribution of rainfall presented changing phenomena in average annual, monsoonal, winter, and summer seasons in both analyzed periods.

Climate Change, Temporal Variability, Meteorological Drought, Mann Kendall Test, Standardized Precipitation Index

Moazzam, M. , Lee, B. , Rahman, G. and Waqas, T. (2020) Spatial Rainfall Variability and an Increasing Threat of Drought, According to Climate Change in Uttaradit Province, Thailand. Atmospheric and Climate Sciences, 10, 357-371. doi: 10.4236/acs.2020.103020.