Predicting human lifespan limits

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DOI: 10.4236/ns.2010.29120    3,323 Downloads   7,430 Views   Citations


Recent discoveries show steady improvements in life expectancy during modern decades. Does this support that humans continue to live longer in future? We recently put forward the maximum survival tendency, as found in survival curves of industrialized countries, which is described by extended Weibull model with agedependent stretched exponent. The maximum survival ten dency suggests that human survival dynamics may possess its intrinsic limit, beyond which survival is inevitably forbidden. Based on such tendency, we develop the model and explore the patterns in the maximum lifespan limits from industrialized countries during recent three decades. This analysis strategy is simple and useful to interpret the complicated human survival dynamics.

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Weon, B. and Je, J. (2010) Predicting human lifespan limits. Natural Science, 2, 984-989. doi: 10.4236/ns.2010.29120.


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