Officials’ Rotation, Economic Growth and Environmental Accidents: Do They Affect the Political Promotion? ()
ABSTRACT
Using the rotation of Chinese officials based on
handle-collected data from political process
of provincial officials in China from 1992 to 2012, this paper examines the influence of officials’ rotation,
economic development and environmental accidents on the provincial officials’ promotion probability. The results are
as following: 1) officials’ rotation and economic growth have a
significant positive influence on the provincial officials’ promotion probability, and the
officials’ rotation
is more sensitive to the provincial
officials’ promotion probability. 2) Environmental accidents have a significant negative influence on the provincial
officials’ promotion. When three
variables co-exist, the influence of economic development is not significant. 3)
The results of different sub-samples
based on the provincial officials’ types and regions are different.
Share and Cite:
Dong, Y. (2016) Officials’ Rotation, Economic Growth and Environmental Accidents: Do They Affect the Political Promotion?.
Modern Economy,
7, 1120-1133. doi:
10.4236/me.2016.710112.
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