Perception of Climate Change and Livelihood of a Farming Community of Maruf Kebele , Central Oromia , Ethiopia

The farmers’ perception of climate change and their response was documented in Maruf Kebele of Central Oromia, Ethiopia with questionnaire survey, focus group discussion and field observation. Over hundred randomly selected households were included; the community typically includes a large proportion of small holder farmers from poorly equipped, land scarce households with low education and economic status. The results indicated that farmers had a good understanding and perception of the impacts of climate change at the local level; many negative impacts of the climate irregularity had been identified by the community, like reduced crop yield, heating/drying up of environment and soil loss affecting natural plant regeneration from the forest soil seed bank, drying up of streams and springs, disappearance of trees and plants, rarity of wild animals and increasing pests/diseases. Farmers were observed to diversify their livelihood options as part of responding to irregularities in the local weather and adopting a number of steps to change agricultural practices. The results indicate the importance of understanding of community perception in designing policies and projects for effective adaptation strategies allowing local participation to cope with the impacts of climate change.


Introduction
Efforts during last few decades had provided Africa with some success in increasing net agricultural productivi-ty [1], but rapid population growth and environmental degradation acted to diminish the outcome of this success in many countries like Ethiopia [2].With continued increase in population pressure and land holdings continuously shrinking, many poor smallholders have resorted to more frequent cropping, curtailing traditional long fallows and increased use of inorganic fertilizers [3]- [6].Ethiopia is one leading Sub-Saharan country to liberalize its economy and develop poverty reduction strategies through market-led, broad based agricultural development during early 2000s, so in the 2012/13 fiscal year Ethiopia's economy grew by 9.7%, the tenth year in a row of robust growth.Agriculture, which accounted for 42.7% of GDP, grew by 7.1%, while industry, accounting for 12.3% of GDP, rose by 18.5% and services, with 45% of GDP, increased by 9.9% in 2012/2013.Although Africa's average growth declined from 5% in 2010 to 3.4% in 2011, the Ethiopian economy continued on the high-growth trajectory, and this momentum was expected to continue in 2012 and 2013 [7].However, the growth in economy has been unevenly distributed, in most rural areas lasting effects of poverty, hunger, malnutrition still weigh heavily on the Ethiopian economy [8].As 93% of Ethiopians are currently engaged in small scale agriculture and other manual intensive activities, economic loss due to malnutrition estimated to cause reduced productive capacity at ETB 12.8 billion in 2009 (1 ETB = 0.5 US$) which is equivalent to 3.8% of GDP [9].Ethiopia being the second most populous country in Africa (more than 82.9 million people), the rural population accounting for 82.4% [11], majority depending on traditional rainfed agriculture in the small farm dominated agriculture sector, the stability and sustainability of development have been heavily dependent on climate.Traditional agriculture, dominated by non-mechanized farming in highly uneven landscape, small-scale farmers is responsible for 95% of the cultivated land, mainly for subsistence needs [2] employing 80% of the population.Entire food supply comes from rain fed subsistent agriculture and rainfall failure means loss of major livelihood source, which affirms that improving agricultural production is of paramount importance for the country's economic progress [11]; especially in the background of wide poverty, food security has a primary focus not only in Ethiopia but all over Africa.In fact, different types of traditional small farm systems are providing food for more than 70% of the global population [12].Most of Ethiopian subsistence farmers have small land holdings, the average of 1.2 hectares of land, with 55.13% less than one hectare [2].Thus, through strengthening these traditional small food production systems with a balance of modern knowledge/technology and environmental management using traditional knowledge with economic support, the countries like Ethiopia can try to attain sustainable food production [12].
Traditional agriculture here in Ethiopia, follows age old practices that evolve before introduction of high yielding varieties and synthetic agro-chemicals.Many small scale farmers are still adapting the local varieties, using local land-climate-vegetation characteristics for sustaining productivity and conserving the natural resource base.In modern terms this "resource-conserving agriculture" has proved to have sound potential for improving livelihoods of smallholders in Africa [13]- [16].This is because, "resource-conserving agriculture" makes the best use of natural ecosystem's goods and services without compromising their future use promoting social, environmental and health goals along with productivity gains [17].Examination of 31 documented cases of African and Latin American farmers adopting "resource conserving agriculture" found that yield improved in 19 of the 25 cases that reported on it, food security improved in seven of eight cases, and net income improved in 19 of 23 cases [18] and observed that successful "resource conserving agriculture" initiatives did not occur spontaneously rather required a variety of skills from smallholders and their allies which included adaptive farm management, effective producer organizations, entrepreneurship, capacity to innovate, value addition and boundary spanning, these being noted in the case of traditional farming in Ethiopia [19].
Unfortunately, the struggling Ethiopian small farmers and pastoralists have already been hit hard by climate variability, losing harvests and livestock to drought, floods and struggling to survive amid changing rainfall patterns [20].Sub-Saharan Africa is considered one of the most vulnerable regions to climate change, because of the high exposure and the low adaptive capacity of agriculture which is the most important livelihood [21].Mean annual temperature of Ethiopia has already increased by 1.3˚C between 1960 and 2006, also daily temperature data indicate significantly increasing trends in the frequency of hot days, and much larger increasing trends in the frequency of hot nights [22].Continued changing patterns and intensities of rainfall with increasing temperatures expected to have dire consequences for all Ethiopians, but especially more than 70 million poor rural people whose survival depended on rainfed agriculture (farming and/or pastoralism), in 2005, 39% of Ethiopia's population lay below the national poverty line [23].As the impacts of climate hazards and change occur alongside other trends, for example, population growth, land degradation, poor infrastructure, and low opportunities for markets, indicating the compounded nature of the problems faced by the rural community; the efforts to tackle climate hazards, variability and change in Ethiopia must be aligned with the overall development plans [24] [25].Despite the Government of Ethiopia and other development actors giving widespread recognition of this by planning for climate change, most attempts are isolated and suffer from under-investment [2] [26] [27].There is an important need of in depth research and closer scrutiny of how the local climate is changing, what the local communities are thinking about this change, what the small farmers can do in the long term as adaptations, and possible interventions/future investments needed to deliver sustainable results [22] [28] [29].As indicated above, till now, the Ethiopian (also most African) agriculture has remained rather "traditional and ecological"-little change being experienced like "agricultural intensification" but to cater the need of the increased population, the traditional system has proved insufficient, has to be improved especially to cope with the climate change instabilities.For such a need the necessity for "ecological intensification" under unfavorable (mostly rain-fed) conditions was advocated which depends on reducing the reliance on subsistence cereal production and integration with livestock enterprises, greater crop diversification and agroforestry practices that may ensure higher economic value and soil conservation [30].So, to understand the nexus of climate change and sustainable development, what needed is an in-depth field survey to find out the local community's ideas and perceptions and how they are responding to climate irregularities.As in most vulnerable communities, there is a symbiotic relation between lives, livelihoods and the biophysical environment.It is hypothesized that in response to the climate change the small farmers, in the way of the process of adaptation to all changes and survival strategy, may have modified and/or replaced many practices which have become unsustainable and adopt new ones can be demonstrated in the present study in the Highlands of Ethiopia.This understanding is also important for understanding the level of success of the process of constant adjustment to change be considered as an indicative of the adaptive capacity and knowledge of the rural farmers as has been stressed for attaining sustainable development [31].

Materials and Methods
The study area Maruf Kebele in Tokke Kutaye district of West Shewa zone, Central Oromia of Ethiopia, is located at latitudes 08˚59'01.1Nand longitude 37˚46'27.6E(Figure 1) situated in the upper part of the Guder watershed draining to the Abay (Blue Nile).
The altitude of the district ranges from 1600 to 3192 masl receiving a mean annual rainfall of 800 -1000 mm, with the mean annual temperature from 10˚C to 29˚C [32].The Cholle, Ediris, Gura, Chancho, Dima, Arba and Kolba are small rivers/rivulets of the district, the soil being characterized by 48% red, 27% black and 25% red and black clay mixture.Land use data given by the Office indicated 998 hectare (80%) is under production of different crops and 182 hectares (15%) is occupied by grazing and bush lands while the remaining 68 hectares (5%) was allocated for residential area and other uses.Data collected from the homesteads of the area showed the average annual income per homestead was Birr 12583.00(=630.00US$); more than 50% being poor had lower income that the average only having less or equal to half a hectare of land, field crops accounting for 41.00% of this income [19].To understand the perception of the local communities about climate change, a group of statements were prepared, Likert Scale (1 -5) was used to understand community perception on climate change, its impacts and coping strategies.The levels of community perception was rated form "strongly agree" (5) to "strongly disagree" (1) on the scale from responses to the statements summarized and presented to indicate important characteristics of climate variability, its impacts on their livelihoods at local level and local coping strategies from the community's insight.
For examining the community's climate related understanding, experiences and its relation to their livelihoods, an approach similar to that used by "USAID-Participatory Assessment and Learning Tool" (http://filestore.wikiadapt.org/wikiADAPT/Mentalmodels.pdf and http://filestore.wikiadapt.org/wikiADAPT/HistoricalMatrix.pdf) for assessing how community members understand climate have been used.A focus group of elderly men (15) and women (10) who have been living for long (over 50 years) in the area were selected from the community to discuss about climate and farming (crops, animals and trees).The discussion was facilitated in local language (Oromiffa), as these community members lived for long periods in the area had good understanding of conditions and changes in their surrounding and also about the "normal climate conditions".Discussion was started by posing questions such as what are the "good" seasons and what were the "bad" seasons, how did they understand and describe climate and climate change at the local levels.The participants described "good season" as that give enough rain with regular distribution that can support crops, trees and animals in sufficient amount, there would be no fear of starvation and insecurity to the family; whereas they described "bad" season associated with low and irregular rains, heat, hails and storms bringing crop damage and the fear to face food shortage, starvation and insecurity to the family.The participants were solicited to identify and list the bad and good points of the earlier as well as during recent years in a chart and filter tip pen, the main memorable indicators of climate situation in the area from past were identified by the participants as rain fall, heat, hail and coolness.They also indicated what steps they already had taken or would take under the "problem" situations.
Socio-economic and agricultural survey were conducted during 2011-2012, over hundred (107) households were included (which were about 20% of the total households randomly chosen), the community typically include a large proportion (95%) of small holder farmers with poorly equipped (Figure 2), land scare household with low education and economic status with (small land holding less 1 ha, having no or few domestic animals, less trees).Household socio-economic survey was conducted to estimate the contribution of different components to the income and the level of diversification both in the components of agriculture.

Results and Discussion
The climate change perception survey using five point Likert Scale (Table 1), has showed about two thirds (66.36%) of the community "strongly agreed" to the questions regarding "heating of air in their locality increasing", "rain fall in their locality decreasing", "rain fall failed to properly support the full crop growth" and "springs, streams and wet areas dying out"; also another one fourth (around 25%) "agreed" to the above statements.Regarding crop disease and pest infestation, again two thirds of the respondents had "strong agreement", while 24.3% expressed "agreement".Nearly 59% agree with the statement "prices of grain is hiking because of decreased productivity due to change of climate condition" with 27% in agreement.About 73% of the community strongly agreed that tree felling/deforestation is becoming more severe due to decrease of agricultural production because of climate change and 42% strongly agree to the statement that some community members are changing their place of residence due to poor agricultural production to support their families.Also, 56% strongly agree to the statement that sources of livelihood of the community are changing due to changing climate conditions with 34.58% agreeing and 73.83% of the respondents strongly agree that irregularity of rain fall in the rainy season is increasing, with which 23.36% agreed.But only about 32% "strongly agreed" to the statement "community members have enough awareness about the climate change impacts" while 59% simply agreed.For all the responses from Item 1 to 9 the most common response was the "Strongly Agree", the weighted mean above 4.3 for all except one (Table 2), showing the high level of awareness about climate change indicators and effects.Only for Item ten, regarding the climate change impacts only 31% "strongly agreed".
When the scientific aspect of climate change is considered, the trend for Africa shows warming of approximately 0.7˚C over most of the Continent during the twentieth century; a decrease in rainfall over portions of the Sahel (South Sahara) while an increase in rainfall in East Central Africa [33].Over the next century, warming trends are expected to continue over Africa, the large-scale picture one of drying in much of the Subtropics and an increase or small variation in precipitation in the Tropics, increasing the rainfall gradients, climate change increasing infiltration; 4) Intensified efforts, at individual field level, to enforce gulley-control measures, leveled land more carefully and reduced plough/tillage; 5) Adoption of efforts growing more trees and shrubs, mentioned eucalyptus several times; 6) Expanding homestead based horticulture as cash crops, introducing chilli, green vegetables, sugarcane and herbal spices for marketing (Figures 3-6).Many of the action mentioned to improve water use efficiency, water scarcity being one of the reasons for the pronounced vulnerability of the Ethiopian agricultural production system, there being extremely low level of water resources management, either in the form of poor watershed management or investment in water infrastructure [10].This is more true in the Highlands of Ethiopia, the site of this study, home to the majority of Ethiopians dominated by small farm traditional agriculture.The impacts of change of rain fall regimes were given more importance by the community in group discussions; they think this has been directly affecting local vegetation especially tree growth and reproduction as reflected in reporting impacts like "tree cover with no 'spongy' soil underneath", "seeds rarely found in the soil to naturally germinate", "rain water runoff, erodes soil, remove tree seeds" "fewer seedlings in and around forest" and "no natural regeneration of trees".Field observa-tion and discussions indicated that in the past there was wide natural regeneration in and around forests and also people used to collect seedlings from the forests/forest edges for planting in their homes and crop fields, a practice no longer possible they reported because of scarcity of seedlings.Thus, both in nature and in homestead agroforestry tree propagation/regeneration likely to be affected by the climate change impacts, a number of studies also mentioned [43] [44].
It was evident that at the local level, the poor and impoverished rural community operate in the isolated, distant villages (Figure 1 and Figure 2) with no direct road connection from the village to the Highway (to the nearest towns of Guder or Ambo or the capital city Addis Ababa) and the villagers have to walk long distances to market their products.Yet, the two approaches adopted in the study-formal questionnaire survey (Likert type) and informal group discussion-both demonstrated the villagers' high level of awareness about climate change, its impacts and necessity for adaptation.Another recent report [22] also identified about 71% of the rural respondents in Ethiopia agreeing that there have been changes in the climate over the 20 -30 years, in the amount of rainfall during the main season, delay in the timing, a reduction in the volume of rainfall insufficient for cropping.
Livelihood, on the whole, depending on agriculture in the study area which is characterized by mixed farming, cereal production, vegetable/horticulture farming, livestock keeping and trees/shrubs growing being the main components (Table 3), climate impacts are seen as a major factor by the farmers.Both field and homestead cropping being common, barley, wheat and teff were the main food crops in the past, but now niger (brassica) seed, linseed, chickpea and field beans and vegetables are also introduced, all these were used both for food and cash earnings (Table 3).All these field and home gardens (around four hundred ha) are rain-fed, traditional irrigation is practiced in very limited area about one fourth of the fields only for limited period of the year when water is available.Home garden crops such as enset or false banana (Figure 3), potato, carrot, beet root, Table 3. Components of the farm agricultural system in the study area.

Sweet potato Acacia abyssinica
* Local names in Amharic (scientific identification to be done).
cabbage, garlic (Figure 5), shallot, onion, sweet potato and sugar cane (for chewing) are managed by the women, now have a high contribution to the household income (Table 3).Another important source is domestic animals having a crucial role in the livelihoods of the community providing power for traction and transportation, food, fertilization (dung) and cash earning from both the products or live animal sale, though the poor farm households having few and only less valuable sheep and poultry.Also, woody trees and shrubs were reported as important sources of community livelihoods, getting economic (firewood, construction materials, farm implements, cash) and ecological benefits (shade, erosion control, wind break and food for animals).Common trees being Eucalyptus spp., Justricia schimperiana, Myrica salcifolia, Premna schimperi, Cuperssus lustanica Cuperssus lustanica, Carisa edulis, Juniperus procera, Maesa lanceolat, Dovyalis abyssinica and Celtis Africana.The small farmers were found to intensify homestead and agroforestry systems to cope with the negative impacts of climate change at the village levels.
As indicated in (Table 3), petty trade (both women and men), preparations and sales of local alcoholic drinks (women) has been indicated to generated additional income to the community members under economic stress.Handicraft activities such as weaving (men), pottery (women) and local leather works, traditional articles made by women from selected grass species also contribute to homestead income (Table 4).All these are being increasingly adopted as cropping has become difficult during recent years.
The farmers here have adopted different strategies to cope up with the consequences of climate change, the diverse components in their current farming system indicated this.They diversifying crops, barley, wheat and teff being the main cops, while maize and sorghum in patches and in home gardens; enset (false banana) and other shrubs, pulses (faba bean, lentil and chickpea), oil crops (linseed, noug) are now taking more areas in the cropping combinations.Tuber crops (potato, carrot, sweet potato, Ethiopian potato and beet) while cabbage, wild brassica/cabbage (as green vegetables), garlic, shallot, onion are among the important home garden grown horticultural crops along with sugarcane (for chewing), green chilli (Figure 6) and capsicum.Only during recent years, many women folks also adopting growing wild/semi wild herbal spices in their home gardens (Table 3 and Figure 2) for marketing [45].Other important component in the traditional system gaining importance during recent years was identified as home/agro-forestry-very wide range of plant types for diverse uses getting prominence like guava and mango (Figure 7) for marketing and home consumption; also an array of domestic animals are increasing especially chicken with higher market prices of eggs and live birds.In the study area, though farming is the primary occupation for 81% of the sample household heads, a significant proportion has to combine some types of non-farming income sources into their livelihoods like a range of off-farm income earning activities, including paid employment, day laborer, petty trade; or move away to seek a livelihood elsewhere (Table 3).The high degree of dependence on farming activities calls for major adaptation to happen in the farming sector as this sector is directly affected by climate change [20].This however, is not a good strategy, as agricultural investments are proved to reduce poverty more than investments in any other sector; in developing/developed countries, agricultural research provides returns of 20 to 80 per cent-a great investment in any economy [46] [47].
In order to understand the impact of climate change at the local level, it is important to recognize the interactions between climate change and wider development pressures, because people mostly adapt to the impact of climate change simultaneously with other wider development related issues, such as rising food prices, hunger/ malnutrition, the spread of disease/illness and competition over natural resources.It is also true that the impacts of climate change are not likely to be the same for all, the vulnerability to the impacts of climate change often comes from vulnerability in a general sense, like from poverty and marginalization.So, it makes little practical sense to talk about how people adapt to climate change in isolation, since adaptation is driven by a range of different pressures acting together.Supporting local adaptive capacity cannot, therefore, be seen in isolation as "climate change programming'.It is an intrinsic part of all development interventions.Widespread poverty through the mountain communities of the Highlands continues to be a major factor in food insecurity which is already a fact of life here, where the harsh climate, rough terrain, isolated villages, poor soils, high soil erosion and short fluctuating growing seasons often lead to low agricultural productivity, lost harvest and food deficits.Thus, climate change and extreme weather events like droughts, cloud bursts and flush floods are very likely to impact food security in the Highland regions particularly hard.Here, community participation and mainstreaming climate adaptation issue into other programs are highly desirable.The livelihood activities that were already adopted, supported and significantly contributed to climate change adaptation should be identified and incorporated in strategies by the government and other agencies.
In 2012, U.N. Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon assembled a team for suggestions regarding ending world poverty (the High Level Panel of eminent persons, HLP), recommended to "build resilience and reduce deaths from natural disasters" as the intensity of natural disasters is expected to increase with climate change.For example, Potato, a poor farmers crop in many developing countries of Africa, Asia and Latin America, has likely to have more diseases and less production under climate-change induced stress, as suggested the Consultative Group on International Agricultural Research (CGIAR) report in 2012.Even at high altitudes like the study site, late blight can have a devastating impact due to increased temperatures.Also likely to be affected, another homestead horticultural crop of the small farmers in Ethiopia, the production of coffee affected by soil erosion and rainfall changes, rising temperatures will increase the plant's vulnerability to pests and fungal diseases as predicted by the Centre for Agricultural Bioscience International (CABI) researchers.

Conclusion
All these indicate that the poor farmers need more information and easy technologies which should be adopted to fit the socio-economic and ecological reality of small holder systems in the tropics and hence these are to be developed locally.Adaptation actions in response to climate change are rarely new and innovative, what is important is whether the community are aware of the change, what they are thinking and planning, i.e. thinking

Figure 1 .
Figure 1.A general view of the landscape with harvested crop field, village with trees and the mountain range in the study area.

Figure 2 .
Figure 2. Home of a small farmer in the Highland of Ethiopia with enset and medicinal herbs.

Figure 3 .
Figure 3. Enset in small farmer's field in the Highlands of Ethiopia.

Figure 4 .
Figure 4. Home garden of a small farmer in the Highlands of Ethiopia with sugarcane, maize infested with weeds (amaranths and grasses).

Figure 5 .
Figure 5.A crop field behind farmer's home (garlic growing with weeds).

Figure 6 .
Figure 6.Crop field (green chilli) in the Highlands of Ethiopia with irrigation from nearby stream.

Figure 7 .
Figure 7. Home garden (mango tree) in the Highlands of Ethiopia.

Table 1 .
A bipolar Likert scale measuring positive or negative response to statements on climate change (N = 107) (the upper figures in the table are numbers of household heads and lower figures %).

Table 4 .
Summary of average overall annual income (in Birr, 1 Birr = 0.5 US$) from different sources.