Effectiveness of Drought Risk Reduction Policies: Case Study of Hay Production in Kajiado County, Kenya

Kenya has integrated several international, continental, and regional strategies and policies into its national and county programs to address climate-related disasters in livestock systems in pastoralism. This study reviews how these policy instruments have been integrated into local laws and the viability of hay production, a drought risk reduction strategy. The methodology used was a desktop review of policies, a KAP survey using a quantitative and qualitative questionnaire on 354 pastoralists and key informants selected using stratified random sampling, and a cost-benefit analysis of 23 hay farms in Kajiado-Central sub-county. The findings established that Kenya had adopted adequate legal instruments to support disasters in general and droughts specifically. Howev-er, the strategies are not elaborated into practical guidance resulting in poor implementation. For instance, the flagship hay production project in Kajiado focuses on building infrastructure on the government farms, with little support going to the actual hay farmers. In addition, staffing levels of technical officers are too low to adequately translate the strategies into activities that address the hay farmer’s pain points, namely the lack of a stable hay market, expensive capital assets and machinery, lack of quality forage seeds, and extension education. This paper recommends reviewing the implementation of the ongoing hay flagship projects to address the hay enterprise’s profitability and elaborating the strategies down to guidance that can be easily rolled out cognizant of the low staffing levels. Public-private partnerships can also address some challenges by stabilizing the hay markets, providing storage, and maintaining good-quality


Introduction
The pastoralism livestock systems are crucial to the livelihoods and the economy of Africa's drylands. They cover 43% of Africa's landmass in 36 countries, stretching from Southern Africa, the Sahelian West, the Horn of Africa, and Eastern Africa and are practiced by around 268 million pastoralists (FAO, 2018). Although the nomadic nature of pastoralism is well suited to drylands, in recent decades, it has faced several challenges ranging from land-use change, conflicts, and institutional neglect, all leading to the curtailing of pastoralists' mobility over vast land areas.
Rangeland management is a necessary adaptation and mitigation strategy for addressing climate change and variability, increasing productivity and food security, and reducing the risk of drought and flooding. Commercial hay production is an example of good rangeland management because it helps vigorous grass growth through manuring practices, resting the hay, weeding out invasive species. In addition, hay cropping provides for good soil health alongside feed for livestock. In Africa, rangeland productivity in traditional pastoralism is dependent on livestock moving enabling over vast grasslands for optimal regeneration, productivity, and carbon sequestration. However, pressure from socio-political and economic challenges of land tenure, land-use change from agriculture to extractive industries to real estate has led to this traditional livestock mobility limitation. Nevertheless, hay production is a rangeland management practice, vital for climate change adaptation for pastoralism, as it supports livestock keepers' livelihoods, conserves ecosystem services, promotes wildlife conservation, and promotes indigenous cultural practices, reversing environmental degradation (FAO, 2009).
The livestock sector in Africa also has to contend with disasters from a wide range of natural and human-made hazards, such as drought, floods, landslides, storms, animal diseases, pests, locusts, earthquakes, urban and forest fires, poisoning, and power outages in animal production units. Drought is the most harmful disaster for livestock, causing 86% of total damage and loss in the sector (FAO, 2017). The link between droughts and livestock production presents evidence that drought can affect livestock both directly and indirectly. Direct effects impinge on animal growth, animal products, and reproduction. Indirect effects influence the quantity and quality of feedstuffs such as pasture, forage, grain, livestock diseases, and parasites (FAO, 2015).
To achieve meaningful resilience, poor households must grow economically by at least 3% annually to withstand the negative impact of cyclic droughts every American Journal of Climate Change five years (Capacity & African Risk, 2021). Animal feeds are the foundation of building resilience within livestock production systems to protect the welfare and health of animals before, during, and after a disaster event. During droughts, providing animal feeds and water is central to disaster response. Growing hay is critical in building resilience against droughts in the animal sector. However, the slow progress in developing feed sources in Kenya has increased livestock migration and losses during droughts (FAO, 2019).
Kenya's landmass is 83% semi-arid land (ASALs) and is home to about 600,000 pastoralists. The ASAL receives low rainfall between 150 mm to 850 mm per year, making it ideal for extensive livestock keeping and hay production (GOK, 2021). The ASALs experience frequent droughts in 2005, 2009, 2011, 2012, and 2017, which decimate livestock numbers and does not allow for enough time to Kajiado County is undergoing rapid land transformation due to population growth, urbanization, land privatization, fragmentation, and land sales. Land tenure and land use have significant implications on how communities can respond to climate change. These changes, plus the land tenure system, dictate the choices around the pastoral community's climate-resilient strategies. The transformation of land tenure systems from communal ranches to private parcels has increasingly shifted livestock investment patterns from extensive resource investments to resource-intensive systems. The high cost locks out many poor pastoralists whose knowledge and capabilities are aligned with extensive mobile pastoral systems. Both land tenure systems plus private and community conservancies act as dry season grazing areas for wildlife, especially during droughts.
These systems also protect wildlife habitats and have the potential for tourism (Moiko, 2019).
In Kenya, studies show that smallholder farmers' exposure and awareness of different fodder crops in Kenya is high, but only 55% grow at least one fodder type on their farms (Joseph Auma, 2018). More recently, frequent droughts caused by climate change and variability, and poor land-use practices have significantly contributed to degradations and loss of natural pastures, further complicating the situation, particularly in ASAL. A 2018 study by international livestock research institutions (ILRI) suggests that Kenya suffers large deficits of livestock feeds, mainly forage for dairy cattle. The deficit is over 3.6 billion bales of hay annually, worth USD nine billion (Joseph Auma, 2018). Furthermore, the demand is expected to increase, given the emerging fodder demand by neighboring counties. Production of these quantities of fodder would require an additional 15 million acres of land under fodder crops and pasture which could be achieved by shifting to the utilization of the arid and semi-arid areas. Inadequate animal feed and growing demand for fodder have birthed government initiatives to support fodder establishment, production, and marketing. One such initiative was introducing several natural fodder improvement technologies in the drylands to increase feed availability during the dry periods and diversify income through the sale of hay and grass seed among communities living in the ASALs. These initiatives, coupled with a demand for fodder and the inability of many farmers to establish and preserve enough fodder on-farm, created the emergence of a commercial fodder sector in Kenya (Joseph Auma, 2018).
The study aims to review how international, continental, and regional policies and strategies are integrated into Kenya's national and county legal instruments.
The study took one project under the KSCAP and ASTGS strategies called The Hay Production Flagship Project to investigate if the implementation is helping the hay production be financially viable and sustainable to translate to drought resilience in livestock pastoralism systems. The study took a case study approach, looking at the Kajiado-Central sub-county in Kajiado County, Kenya.
The study's specific objectives were: first, to review how the international, continental, and regional disaster risk reduction (DRR) policies and strategies have been domesticated in Kenya and how they are rolled out at the county level, with Kajiado County being a case study. Second, to establish if the implementation of one of the existing drought risk reduction strategies under KCSAP and ASTGS are being implemented in a manner that adequately supports hay growing to be financially viable for commercial enterprises and encourages pastoralists to grow their hay. Third, to understand the challenges facing hay growers and the buying practices of pastoralists as it relates to the viability of the hay enterprise. The study will contribute to effective implementation of drought risk reduction strategies towards livestock resilience in pastoralism systems.

Materials and Methods
Kajiado County is about 19,600 km 2 with over 1.8 million animals (Kenya Bureau of Statistics, 2009). The County has five sub-counties with a population of 1,117,840, and the study was limited to two sub-counties with a population of  and Kajiado Central (Olikejuado, Ibissil, and Namanga) sub-county. A questionnaire with qualitative and quantitative questionswas administered with two methods-manually on paper and using Kobocollect, a mobile data collection application. The respondents were selected using random stratified sampling of livestock keepers and hay farmers. The survey was augmented by observation during farm visits and focused discussions with hay buyers at the local market.
The data was analyzed using the SPSS and Microsoft Excel Data analysis Toolpak. Table 1 shows the list of policies that were reviewed in the desktop analysis.

Findings
The findings are described in three sections, the first section reviewed how DRR global, continental, and regional policies are being translated into national DRR policies. The second section looks at how national DRR policies are translated into County DRR policies, taking the case of Kajiado County. Finally, the third section looks at the findings of the KAP survey from hay producers and pastoralists consumers as related to Kajiado County DRR program implementation.

Global
Kenya has adequately domesticated international policies that strengthen disaster Kenya's Vision 2030 risk reduction (DRR) into its national laws, policies, plans, and programs. The laws that Kenya ratified in 2015 include the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction (SFDRR), and the Paris Agreement on Climate Change. The Sendai Framework emphasizes reducing disaster risk and linking DRR to the resilience targets in the SDGs, which states that countries should prevent and mitigate any disaster impacts on their livelihoods and the economy. The Sendai Framework and SDG also link to the targets in the Paris agreement as climate change impacts natural resources, the bedrock for livestock production (FAO, 2017). Kenya is also signatory to the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC), the Conservation of Biological Diversity (UNCBD), and the United Nations Conventions on Combating Desertification (UNCCD). Kenya estimates the cost of US$40 billion would be required to finance the adaptation and mitigation interventions across six critical sectors until 2030 (NEMA-KENYA, 2015).

Continental and Regional
At the continental level, Kenya is implementing policies under the Africa Agenda 2063, namely, the Comprehensive Africa Agriculture Development Programme Framework (2010); the East African Community Climate Change Policy, which emphasizes on sustainable management of land and water for improved agricultural productivity through research and dissemination of technologies, and reductions in agricultural greenhouse gas emissions; the Policy Framework for Pastoralism in Africa (2010), which addresses optimal use and conservation of drylands and rangelands inhabited by pastoralists. The policy promotes climate adaptation practices within pastoral systems; the Livestock Development Strategy for Africa (LiDeSA) (2015). Disaster management is further elaborated in the Animal Welfare Strategy for Africa (AWSA) (2017) and the Animal Health Strategy (AHSA) (2019). Taking care of animals in disasters is at the heart of good animal welfare and health, and both these strategies seek to reflect this animal resource sector (AU-IBAR, 2017).
IGAD institutions that support Kenya in climate related policies, digital products and training include the IGAD Centre for Pastoral Areas and Livestock Development (ICPALD) and the IGAD Climate Prediction and Applications Centre (ICPAC). Kenya also implements other regional policies developed by Intergovernmental Authority on Development (IGAD). These are: the IGAD Regional Strategy (2016); ICPAC Strategic plan (2016), IGAD Regional Climate Change Strategy (2018), IGAD Drought Disaster Resilience and Sustainability Initiative-IDDRSI (2019), and the IGAD Regional Disaster Risk Management Strategy (DRM) (2019). The IGAD Regional DRM Strategy aims to drastically reduce disaster risk and losses incurred by people, animals, and the environment in line with the SFDRR.
The East Africa Community (EAC) strategies and legislation relevant to DRR include the two years EAC Development Strategy 2016/17 later updated to 2020/21, Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Act (2016), EAC Climate Change Masterplan (2015), Climate Change Strategy (2011), and the EAC Pro-tocol on Environment and Natural Resources Management (2006). The East Africa Feed Production Action Plan (2019) addresses poor livestock nutrition by encouraging good quality feed production in pastoral systems, recognizing that the lack of feeds and water is the key driver of poverty in pastoralism livelihoods. The plan notes that livestock feed and feeding systems are constrained by recurrent droughts, livestock mobility, overgrazing, rangeland degradation, land tenure policies, land-use changes, resource-based conflicts, invasive plant species, soil infertility, and limited seeds and input (FAO, 2019).

Kenya: National DRR Policies and Strategies
Support for DRR and food security is enshrined in the Constitution of Kenya; article 43 states that everyone has the right to be free from hunger and have adequate quality food. The environment is further protected by Articles 42 and 69 in the Constitution that emphasizes conserving and managing the environment equitably and sustainably (GoK, 2010). Kenya's Vision 2030 strategy aims to support agriculture and the productive assets that support agriculture like land, irrigation, and markets. In addition, the government's Big Four agenda offers a push and focus on food security and nutrition, universal healthcare, affordable housing, and manufacturing (GoK, 2020).
Kenya has a broad spectrum of climate-smart agriculture (CSA) policies, strategies, and plans domesticated from global, continental, and regional strate- The 2019-2029 Agricultural Sector Transformation and Growth Strategy (AS-TGS) targets the 600,000 pastoralists categorized as small-scale and whose ability to expand pastoral practices is limited by high prices, low-quality inputs, low mechanization, and low adaptation to new technologies such as improved fodder seed, irrigation, and artificial insemination. Hay production suffers from erratic market demand, high post-harvest losses due to poor storage and technologies to keep hay nutritious and free from pest infestation. The ASTGS already has a framework in place and what is needed are targeted programs to address hay producers' pain points. The ASTGS has six flagship projects, out of which four are relevant to hay production in pastoral areas (GoK, 2019). However, under these flagship projects, better support from the private sector in increasing hay production can be given. For example, flagship one can include supporting hay producers through subsidies for machinery, modern hay store construction, tilling land, harvesting, or providing stable markets by government formulating buy-back programs. In addition, flagship four can consider hay producers farms below 2500 acres, while flagship six has omitted the views from hay farmers in community programs, a critical component of building resilience in the ASAL.
All Counties are required to develop five-year County Integrated Development Plans (CIDP) as provided for by the Kenya's Public Finance Management Act. To monitor effective implementation, its important to "follow the money". The CIDP is a very good indicator as to which activities are receiving financial support within the County. The CIDP also audits a annual development plans, the annual county fiscal strategy papers, and the annual budget estimates. Counties will also highlight the strategies and polices they are focusing on within the given five-year.

Kenya: National Disaster Management Structures
The 2016

DRR Policiesand Strategies
As part of its commitment to policy rollout, county governments in Kenya have gone a step further and developed sub-national level strategies and legislation to implement the national policies. This paper will focus on Kajiado County to illustrate progress on implementing policies at the local level. The Kajiado county integrated development plan 2018-2022 (CIDP) is aligned to the national "Big Four" agenda in its ambition to increase agricultural production by investing in hay production, reducing post-harvest losses, expanding irrigation, encouraging modern technologies, and reducing climate change impacts. Kajiado County is rolling out the Agricultural Sector Transformation and Growth Strategy (ASTGS) and the Kenya Climate-Smart Agriculture Project (KCSAP) through the CIDP (Kajiado, 2018). The CIDP also aligns with the UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). Namely, goal 1 is to increase livestock production and to address climate change challenges; goal 2 is to end hunger and achieve food security by promoting hay production to improve livestock productivity and build megadams for irrigation. The CIDP will also contribute to goal 15 of protecting and promoting sustainable land ecosystems and stopping biodiversity loss. Another focus of CIDP is wildlife conservation and management by reducing humanwildlife conflict, ending poaching, and stopping the trade of illegal wildlife products. The CIDP will also have projects to combat desertification, restore degraded land and soil, address the impact of drought and floods. The CIDP also supports the Sendai Framework by improving how disasters are managed. The CIDP 2018-2022 economic pillar theme will mainly focus on agriculture and livestock production and productivity. The CIDP identifies six flagship projects, namely the upgrade of the urban road network, building mega-dams for water supply and irrigation, and encouraging hay production, constructing the Kajiado Technical and referral hospital, improving solid waste management, and establishing the Olkejuado University Applied Technology.

Hay Production Flagship Project
Under the CIDP, hay production is a flagship project to encourage hay growing and storage to build resilience for the pastoral livestock systems during droughts. According to CIDP progress reports 2019/2020, the plan is to develop strategic feed reserve in training centers of Emali, Kajiado Demonstration Farm, and Olkiramatian; construct a pit silo on the Kajiado Demonstration farm; reseed rangelands with 1600 kgs of pasture seeds; train 70 community-based hay production groups; fence Tardafarm and Kajiado demonstration farm; construct hay stores at all the demonstration sites; and increase the acreage under hay.
From key informant interviews, the study found the activities being undertaken under the hay flagship project were building structures in the government demonstration farms, namely stores, fence off farms with barbed wire and electric fences, construct storage. The only direct engagement was with pastoralists farmer groups around training.

1) Hay production and deficit
The KAP survey covered (23/26) 88% hay farmersin Isinya and Namanga division in the Kajiado Central sub-county. Of these 23 hay producers, (2/23) 9% had between 350 -400 acres of hay, (6/23) 26% had between 135 -200 acres of hay, (7/23) 30% had between 20 -50 acres of hay, and (8/23) 35% had 3 -15 there was a drop in hay production because the large farms did not harvest their hay grass, instead opting to leave the hay standing on the farm as there is no demand for hay due to the excellent rainfall experienced, making free grazing resources available to pastoralists. This trend is dipicited in Figure 3.
The KAP survey also interviewed 354 pastoralists and found that only 6% grew hay commercially or for their use. Most pastoralists preferred buying hay rather than growing hay. In 2015, the quantity (in kgs) of hay feed was 23% of total feeds, while commercial feed accounted for 76% of total feeds. This reversed in 2017, with hay accounting for 62% of total feed and commercial feeds  dropping to 38% of total feeds. This shows a growing preference for feeding with hay and an increase in availability of hay in the market. During the same period, feeding livestock using own-grown hay only increased from 1% to 22% of total feeds. These low percentages show that pastoralists are still not growing enough hay for their own needs. This trend is shown in Figure 4.

2) Hay growing challenges
All the hay farmers cited the lack of demand for hay in years when rainfall was average or good. On the other hand, hay sales are excellent in drought years which occur every 2 -3 years. However, the years in-between droughts can see little to no hay sales as pastoralists have plenty of free grazing resources. No sales mean that hay is stored for between 1 to 3 years before selling, making hay Half (50%) of the respondents cited the lack of government support. Although some farmers had used the government tractors and baler services, they later opted for private providers who were more reliable and efficient. In addition, the nical discussions around quality standards for hay. However, he noted that discussions did not reflect the reality of the production system and that introducing quality standards would have an overall negative impact on hay profitability.
Any further additional input costs without addressing markets realities will collapse the already fragile hay production enterprise.
The study found that the low profitability of hay farms was making hay growers seek alternative ways of exploiting land like selling off part of their land. On further probing, the profitability of hay growing seems to be the heart of this not the scope of this study, the role of hay farms in wildlife drought risk reduction is an area that needs further study. Another ecological service provided by hay farms is weeding out invasive species like (ipomoeacairica) which is destroying grazing lands. Farms are forced to invest heavily in weeding out the invasive species to stem the spread of these plants. It was observed that the hay American Journal of Climate Change farms were free of ipomea while the weeds had overrun the surrounding areas.

3) Differences in DRR programs provided versus Pastoralist's preferences
The survey sought to understand the level of awareness, satisfaction and preferences of the disaster risk reduction (DRR) programs and activities undertaken by government, NGOs, and other actors. A total of 31 pastoralists and key informants from Loitokitok sub-county were interviewed.
Of the 31 respondents who were asked to select all DRR mechanisms and projects, over 44% were not aware of any local disaster risk response mechanisms available at the county or community level. In addition, only 23% cited communicating early warning messages as the DRR mechanism used. Approximately 30% reported being aware of disaster preparedness measures advocated by either government, NGOs, or private companies, before and during droughts to reduce deaths and prevent injury and diseases in animals. The main activities carried out are destocking, hay and pasture growing training, vaccinations, and general DRR training, as shown in Figure 5. However, many respondents noted that very few farmers practiced these methods taught. A majority (76%) indicated that they were dissatisfied with the assistance they get for their livestock during disasters from government, NGOs, or other local organizations. In addition, only 19% reported being satisfied with disaster mitigation interventions, as shown in Figure 6.  When asked to list disaster preparedness assistance practices that were carried out correctly and which ones they prefer, most respondents cited destocking and planting of hay. About 62% prefer capacity building programs for pastoralist communities and the provision of fodder storage facilities.

Case Study Key Findings
• The international, continental, and regional strategies have been integrated into national strategies like the ASTGS and KCSAP, which are reflected in the Kajiado CIDP. In addition, the county disaster and climate-related bills are in place and can support a more robust drought risk reduction strategy. • The aspirations of the ASTGS and KCSAP need to be further elaborated into guidance and frameworks before reaching the counties CIDPs. For instance, the hay production flagship project demonstrates the disconnect between the activities done under the CIDP and the strategy's aspirations. As a result, hay farmers' needs are not being met. Instead, activities focus on building infrastructure within the County's demonstration farms.
• Although the CIDP has training on hay growing, it is directed to existing pastoralist groups who, according to the study findings, have shown an increase in utilizing own-grown hay from 1% in 2015 to 23% in 2017 of total feed types utilized. In addition, their appetite to buy hay increased from 23% in 2015 to 62% of total feeds utilized during the same period. Therefore, the CIDP should refocus their training to existing hay farmers and train them on improving their enterprise and increasing their production, while pastoralists should be trained on optimally utilizing feeds like hay to build resilience and productivity through the year.
• The demand for hay by pastoralists has been increasing, albeit only in severe drought years, as reflected in a hay deficit of over 95% during the droughts of 2005, 2007, and 2009. As a result, hay production increased by over 60% from 2015 to 2018, accounting for 24% of the total bales needed in the 2017 drought. However, in 2019, there was a drop in hay production because the large farms did not harvest their hay grass due to low demand from pastoralists occasioned by above-average rainfall that provided good grazing.
• The large hay farmers, who account for 73% of all the hay production, do not receive direct support from the KCSAP or ASTGS programs. Instead, they cite their main pain points as a lack of a reliable yearlong market, as hay is only bought during drought years. Poor markets should be addressed as they are the backbone of hay supply to the pastoralists.
• The main challenges experienced by hay farmers are the lack of a stable market, the high cost of capital, no extension services, policies that do not address their pain points, and the low profitability of the hay enterprise.
• Hay farmers contribute to other ecological services like providing a dry season grazing ground for wildlife at their own cost. However, they are not recognized nor supported to continue providing this support, even though this service contributes to the County's tourism revenue.
• The activities under the DRR support that pastoralist receive from the government and NGOs do not match their preference.

Discussion
Kenya has commendably integrated international laws into its national law, which has been reflected in county laws. Adequate policies and Bills exist to support hay production. However, the strategies developed from these Bills need to be better conceptualized and rolled out with clear deliverables that can impact the entire hay value chain. The Kajiado County Disaster Management Bill of 2015 and the Kajiado County Emergency Fund Bill of 2014 creates a law supporting resilience building and disaster response. This review recommends an implementation framework that will directly support hay production to meet hay producers' and consumers' needs in times of drought. However, because hay production is still viewed as a short-term response option, the Bills should put longer-term resilience measures like buying hay during the average rain years and re-distributing the same hay during drought years.
There is a need to elaborate the existing policies and strategies to actionable guidance and work plans utilizing localized research evidence. The low number of technical staff means that the time needed to elaborate the strategies and develop appropriate programs and activities is not possible based on evidence from studies. As a result, the staff tends to fall back on the already existing pastoralist groups to train them on growing hay. The interest of these pastoralists in growing hay is not very high. The study showed that only 6% of pastoralists interviewed grew hay for their livestock. Ideally, a mapping of existing hay growers should be done and these selected for additional training and support. The study found that none of the existing large hay farmers had attended any training. So, from the onset, the activities under the CIDP do not reflect the farmers' needs nor the pastoralists' hay buying behavior patterns but instead assume pastoralists will take up hay farming. This study recommends that strategies be further elaborated to actionable work plans at the national level for all Counties. The technical staff at the Counties are already overstretched and cannot be expected to undertake research and elaborate strategies. They need ready-to-use information.
However, a closer look at how CIDP supports DRR practice on the ground, as illustrated by the hay production flagship project, shows that implementation has several gaps and challenges. First, there is a need to appreciate the different categories of hay farmers, those who grow commercially and those who grow for subsistence. For instance, the activities being implemented under the CIDP do not consider the seasonality of supply and demand of hay and how this impacts hay producers. Pastoralists buy hay only during severe droughts, therefore not providing a steady market for hay producers. In addition, pastoralists prefer to buy hay rather than grow it themselves, which is not reflected in training provided, which encourages pastoralist groups to grow hay themselves. A complete review of the direction of the hay production flagship needs to be considered, with large hay farmers focusing on production and small-scale pastoralists encouraged to utilize hay throughout the year to improve livestock productivity.
The current hay production flagship project does not allocate adequate funds to activities that directly support hay producers as envisaged in the Kajiado county strategic plan. As a result, the large hay farmers with over 100 acres under hay do not get appropriate extension services and training and often must learn by doing, as arid hay production knowledge is not readily available. The overall low hay production is evident in the hay deficit during the previous droughts reducing slowly from 95% in 2009 to 76% in 2017.
Furthermore, the CIDP does not address the large hay producer's pain points, like the lack of a stable market for hay and the low profitability of the enterprise.
The large hay farms account for 73% of all hay production, so any challenges they face leading to their abandoning hay farming would mean the County will crash into a hay deficit in the 90% range. The CIDP does not support large hay producers. Instead, the CIDP activities focus on infrastructure development like store-building and fencing on government demonstration farms. Even the haygrowing training for pastoralist groups does not include the large hay growers in the sub-county. Thus, there is a disconnect between how the policies are implemented in the CIDP and the reality.
The pressing issues negatively impacting hay producers need to be addressed to attain the aspirations of the Kajiado Hay Flagship project. The Kajiado County can consider taking the following actions: first, review the land tenure and rights policies to facilitate hay production in private and communal land. Second, to develop public-private partnerships that support primary hay producers, especially in providing a stable market. Third, the County can buy hay in peak production and re-distribute it during droughts under one of the Kajiado County Bills on disaster preparedness and response. Fourth, allocate funds for hay under the strategic feed reserve either as a purely public function or under public-private partnership arrangements. The County needs to consult hay producers in developing these strategic feed reserves to ensure the activity is customized to meet the County's peculiarities. Fifth, to allocate investments and finance to enable private landowners to implement mitigation and adaptation actions.
Sixth, to support communal, private, and conservancy systems to protect wildlife during droughts. Seventh, to provide training based on the best practices in hay farming.
These recommendations are also supported in the Land-use transformation recommendations in the Kajiado County report, which states that pastoralists need to be supported to get into hay production through enabling land policies and land-use to enable traditional access to land for pastoralists, investments, and finance to enable private landowners to put in place mitigation and adaptation actions, and support for communal, private and conservancies systems for both livestock and wildlife (Moiko, 2019). With most hay farms being small-scale American Journal of Climate Change below 10 acres and limited direct government support, the future growth of hay production to the levels that it can mitigate against droughts and even be an integral part of livestock production practices will remain limited. Direct government intervention to encourage the private sector to engage in large-scale hay production and other aspects of the hay value chain to provide storage and markets is required. Hay production by the government and private sector remains far below requirements. The limited resources need to directly support hay producers along the value chain to fill this gap (Ouma, 2017).
Ethiopia faces similar challenges in providing sufficient good quality forage feed for their pastoralism sector. Hay production is not widely practiced, with free grazing accounting for 66% of feeding methods used. However, pressure from land-use change has seen arable land available for grazing drop from 30% in 1980 to 12% in 2000 and continues to shrink. With reduced land for pastoralism, forage production in the mid and lowlands of Ethiopia will need to be encouraged. In addition, the private sector and cooperatives need to partner with the government in the fodder value chain, which is currently dominated by the government (Alvarez Aranguiz, 2019). In Sudan, alfalfa hay is a vital forage crop used for grazing, hay, silage, green manure, and cover crop. Hay production has been increasing since 2012 due to foreign direct investments from Gulf countries like the United Arab Emirates, which have invested heavily in large-scale irrigated forage production. This private investment has made Sudan a leading exporter of hay to the middle east (Research and Markets, 2021).

Conclusion
Kenya has done a commendable job in domesticating global, continental, and regional policies down to the county levels, supporting pastoralism as seen in this review of Kajiado County. The focus on the hay production flagship at both the national and county level is evidence of this. However, there is still a considerable gap in implementing these policies and designing and rolling out the strategies. The involvement of the private sector is weak, and the stratified support that recognizes the different needs of commercial and subsistence farms to ensure a vibrant hay production enterprise is largely lacking. The budgetary allocation is focused on supporting government institutions like demonstration farms and developing policies and capacities within government. As a result, the private sector has engaged in hay production organically, focusing on low technology, resulting in low productivity.
The mismatch of resources and needs may partly be attributed to the low numbers of technical staff expected to elaborate the strategies, design and implement the programs. Therefore, the few technical offices tend to fall back on what is easier to do, retrain existing pastoralists groups to grow hay instead of creating a new group for actual hay farmers. The low 6% uptake of these pastoralist groups in growing hay indicates the mismatched training as this group prefers to buy hay.