Introducing Adaptive Analysis Methods: The Present Analysis & Future Analysis

Mastery of theory, analysis, approach models and decision making, is increasingly important, so finding analytical methods to achieve something better is a logical consequence. For this reason, adaptive analysis method is introduced, which is a method of dynamizing SWOT analysis using commutative properties with the operation of the cross-axis coordinate (X; Y), based on the theory of lines and rules of a sword, phenomenal, natural and relevant, to obtain a grand strategy chosen as a unified strategy like two sides of a coin. The method used is the theoretical and empirical study of adaptive analysis on one of the global issues, namely phenomenal terrorism until now. It is hoped that this method can be used in a variety of problems and is highly determined how a talent plays a role and is not intended to criticize existing analytical methods that have been used.

sis was created by Albert Humphrey who led a research project at Stanford University in the decade (1960 to 1970)-using data from Fortune 500 companies, while the classic TOWS analysis or known as TOWS-K was first introduced by Professor Heinz Weihrich, the University of San Francisco in 1982 in his article published in the journal Long Range Planning, volume 15, in which the term TOWS is more often used.
SWOT analysis is one of the tools for auditing and analysis, where SWOT can be used at the beginning of the planning process (the present analysis) and TOWS analysis (the future analysis) is used when deciding on future steps. Paying attention to the SWOT matrix (internal-external), it can be mapped on the cross axis (X; Y), so it is also a SWOT matrix, where quadrants I, II, III and IV are as in the SWOT matrix pattern. Therefore, mapping on the cross-axis (X; Y) line through the SWOT matrix analysis process from the results of the IFAS and EFAS tables, can lead to elimination because of the purpose of determining strategic priorities. In general, most people use a score (weight × rating = score) in conducting a SWOT analysis. However, it does not mean that without a score it cannot be done, because even though it tends to be qualitatively subjective on the simplest model, it can be compared. According to Kurtz (2008, 46), "SWOT analysis is an important strategic planning tool for comparing organizational strengths and weaknesses with external opportunities and threats", whereas the TOWS analysis is a variant of the SWOT Analysis. So, TOWS and SWOT are acronyms for different settings from the words Strength, Weakness, Opportunity and Threats.
Meanwhile, according to Freddy Rangkuti, SWOT analysis is defined as an analysis based on logic that can maximize strengths and opportunities, but simultaneously minimize weaknesses and threats [1], whereas Philip Kotler defines evaluation of all strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats [2]. Thus, a SWOT analysis yields a number of alternative strategies, in which to choose these alternatives the organization evaluates one another by paying attention to the ability to achieve the objectives [3].
Furthermore, the author was inspired by the thoughts of Niccolo Machiavelli (1469-1519), a strategist and military political theory and politician from the Republic of Florence. His treatise on sources of the use and limitations of power inspired many military dictators in maintaining his power at that time. The main thoughts of Niccolo Machiavelli include, "involving all state resources in war, including the obligation of all people to participate in fighting until victory is achieved" [4]. In this connection, strenghts and weakness approaches in aspects of internal factors as well as opportunities and threats in aspects of external factors, can easily be seen as a single unit that fights like all inputs. Then, inspired by the theory of strategy in the art of war Sun Tzu, namely: "recognize the enemy and know yourself, then be able to fight in 100 battles without the risk of losing", [5] and "the battle is nothing more than extraordinary and orthodox, but all variations are endless. The extraordinary and orthodox are circular and give birth to one another, because a circle has no beginning. Who can end it? Journal of Analytical Sciences, Methods and Instrumentation [6]." Recognizing internal factors in SWOT/TOWS analysis means recognizing oneself, while recognizing external factors with opportunities and threats can be interpreted as recognizing enemies or being a party outside oneself or dynamics of environmental situation. As for the relationship, "the extraordinary and the orthodox, but all the variations are endless. Remarkable and orthodox, circular and give birth to each other, because a circle has no beginning", inspires dynamic SWOT analysis as an inexhaustible variation, in terms of input 4 aspects (strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, threats) developed as adaptive analysis, i.e. outputs of two alternative strategies that are mutually binding as a unified strategy like two sides of a coin obtained between 4 alternative grand strategies which are based on 2 strategies which are substance inherent in structure, which can be called a strategy set. So, comprehensively the input is 4 aspects of dynamic processing 6 strategies with output 2 strategies that are mutually binding.
In this connection, it is phenomenal, natural and relevant, that when someone in an internal evaluation states that they have found a number of S strengths and a number of W weaknesses. Whereas the real power is (S+) or (S-) from what it states, where the sign (+) on the S is empirically seen from most generally over the power that people refer to with the power of the sixth sense which has not occurred, is not evaluated and is not known or not realized. The sign (-) in S is an item that is identified and stated as strength, but it may actually not be the strength. Likewise for the weaknesses of W, when in fact (W+) or W (-), including O opportunities and threats T, so unexpected things can happen.

Methods and Theories
The method used is the task approach method supported by relevant studies and theoretical foundations, interpretive conceptual values include dynamizing the SWOT analysis method which then creates an adaptive analysis method in the scope of theoretical processes and empirical processes in the application of adaptive analysis methods on one of the global issues, namely theoretic phenomenal until now. The review of the relationship or relationship between phenomena and their development is natural, supports the ability to produce innovative things to achieve something better, faced with the present reality which is full of instability, uncertainty, complexity and ambiguity as well as increasingly difficult future forecasts.

General
Theoretically the notion of adaptive in the context of behavior, according to Lambert and Nicoll, 1976, that adaptive behavior is the ability to perform: the function of autonomy; social responsibility; the ability to adapt to people. Then, according to Meyers, et al. (1979), adaptive behavior is "adaptive behavior at the very level referring to a particular exhibited competency in adjustment to the presupposes that one possesses the potential to be adaptive, but the degree and quality of actual adaptive behavior are not idential with potential". While the adaptive itself according to the Big Indonesian Dictionary [7], is easy to adjust to the situation.
Understanding analysis is an investigation of an event (writing, deeds, etc.) to find out the actual situation (causes, sitting down the case, and so on). So, theoretically it can be concluded that the term adaptive analysis is more of a method used in decomposing a subject matter over its various parts and examining the part itself to get a proper understanding and understanding of the overall meaning as a solution to a problem that begins with an assumption of truth and elaboration after being well studied the best.

Numbers Sign Operations on Coordinate Axis (X; Y)
We know the operation of the number sign [8]

Phenomenal, Natural and Relevant
The implementation is phenomenal, natural and relevant, that adaptive analysis lays the foundation of present and future forecasts, so that it acts as "the present analysis" and "the future analysis". Then, it can be directly mapped into the cross axis coordinate (X; Y) and it can be read directly that the longest/longer line   (0; 0) is a strategy accompanying, so that both strategies are a unified strategy as the chosen grand strategy. Then, in the dominant strategy and accompanying strategy, the results of the evaluation/identification of SWOT aspects can be described, where the greatest score of each is the priority of the strategy (the dominant strategy and the accompanying strategy), so both strategies are priority strategies of the grand selected strategy. Note: the biggest score is obtained from the sum calculation operation of the nominal value not for the purpose of elimination and is not in one line of numbers, so that even on a negative number line, the score is positive (+).
Furthermore, examples of adaptive analysis are illustrative evaluations/identifications in the SWOT analysis previously described. An example is obtained from the IFAS and EFAS as Table 1: Based on the management of the evaluation/identification results for each SWOT element that has been given a score as in the IFAS and EFAS tables, it can be directly mapped into the cross coordinate axis (X; Y), in Figure 3.
The grand strategy selected is Aggressive-Defensive (SO-WT), which is maximizing strength in maximizing opportunities, while taking into account the minimization of weaknesses to avoid threats, with priority strategies, for example S1 O2 (Max-Max) and W1 T1 (Min-Min), so as to maximize the product produced in utilizing the maximum opportunities not many competitors, by not using too many skilled workers in producing products (standard product quality) or replacing them with production machines that are cheap and adequate for product quality standards to avoid the threat of uncertain market stability.

Rule of a Sword
Who doesn't know the sword? In general we all know the sword, which in essence, the sword is a sharp weapon that has a long blade, which can be one side sharp or both sides sharp and generally made of hard metal, such as iron, steel, gold to meteorites. According to history, the sword has been made since the bronze age which of course its shape is still very rough and simple. Then it continues until now the various shapes and details are refined. The adaptive analysis method lays down the basic analogy premise of the rule of a "sword". This leads to understanding the understanding of a point as a meeting of two lines of strategy, where the line is a set or collection of points, so that the two strategy lines are a unified line as a grand strategy or referred to as Grand Strategy. This grand strategy consists of two strategies like two sides of a coin that cannot be separated. Philosophically, the hand will be injured when holding a sharp knife and vice versa becomes no longer useful when only holding the handle, so holding the handle complete with sharp blades will be useful as the role and function of the sword as needed. So the sword in the sense of two lines connected by a central point (0; 0) on the coordinates of the cross axis (X; Y), which can be a diagonal line (straight line/angle 180˚ or non-straightener/not 180˚ angle) as shown in Figure 4.

Empirical
As an empirical process of applying the adaptive analysis method, it is carried out by forming a Discussion Team consisting of 15 academics who are completing Post-graduate Masters studies in the Masters Program from the Indonesian Defense University who also act as respondents, along with 13 other professionals and practitioners as a respondent. Evaluate aspects of SWOT/TOWS, collect data through questionnaires and continue with discussions to find policy strategies that can be recommended as well as advice to policy makers and decision makers. The problem raised is the issue of terrorism which is a global issue that continues to grow until now and as a forecast of the future, the issue of terrorism is still ongoing. Conduct data collection, data processing and discussion in the first week to second week of December 2019, shown in: Figures 5-9; and Table 2 & Table  3.          The Grand strategy selected is Aggressive-Defensive (SO-WT), that maximize the power of taking advantage of opportunities to the fullest with regard to minimization of weakness to avoid/minimize the threat. Next determine the strategic priorities of the dominant strategy and accompanying strategy.
The priority strategy of the dominant strategy SO is (S5-O2) and the priority of the strategy that accompanies WT is (W1-T2). So, the chosen grand strategy The recommended grand strategy is the Aggressive-Defensive with priority (S5O2-W1T2): "Maximizing increased ability and strength of the local government to ensure the smooth and successful advance the region by creating local government officials whose initiative and creative, sensitive community and synergy with related agencies as well as other local collective whole the maximum local communities, through increased local government's role in empowering the defense area to adjust to the rapid technological advancement of local government capabilities in the face of terrorism".
Faced with instability, uncertainty, complexity and ambiguity, the control of strengths and weaknesses in the implementation of a control strategy of opportunities and threats as a fact of challenge in the challenge strategy is a phenomenal, natural and relevant fact, so that in the case of the analysis used, the use of adaptive analysis methods is sufficient potential, effective and efficient, because the resulting grand strategy is an analysis of the present (the present analysis) and the future (the future analysis), so it does not have to do two analyzes namely SWOT (the present analysis) and TOWS (the future analysis), but enough with adaptive analysis. Next, based on the recommended policy strategies, the suggested policies: "Increase the ability and strength of the Local Government to ensure the smooth and successful progress of the region, creating an initiative and creative Local Government apparatus, a sensitive and synergistic society, through optimizing the increasing role of the Local Government in empowering defense areas along with technological advancements to avoid the Local Government inability to face the threat of terrorism".

Conclusions
Adaptive analysis method is a simple analysis method, but from the simplest thing, sometimes it is unthinkable. Likewise, the SWOT/TOWS analysis is also simple; in fact the application of SWOT/TOWS analysis generally results in several options that may be considered by some to be alternatives, so that efforts to obtain more choices and priorities are carried out and that also results in some experiencing a popular misunderstanding of the application of the SWOT analysis and TOWS.
The adaptive analysis method is a new analysis method, which is a SWOT analysis dynamism using commutative properties with the application of the operation of the sign on the cross axis coordinate number line (X; Y), based on the line theory and rules of a sword, to obtain a chosen grand strategy containing a dominant strategy and the accompanying strategy as a unified strategy like two sides of a coin.
This adaptive method of analysis is phenomenal, natural and relevant as the optimal approach to achieve something better as expected goals. Furthermore, the adaptive analysis method can be implemented on various purposes, such as case study analysis, situation analysis, organizational analysis and others.

Conflicts of Interest
The author declares no conflicts of interest regarding the publication of this paper.