Maritime Economic Modeling: A Survey, 2006-2016

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DOI: 10.4236/me.2018.912129    614 Downloads   1,368 Views  Citations

ABSTRACT

We surveyed quite a number of papers (~60), where one third of them belonged to maritime economic dynamic systems, meaning multi variable models. The emphasis we placed was on works published the last 11 years or so (2006-2016). In addition, we provided a general picture of maritime economic research from 1973 to 2013. The survey had to be combined with advances in General Econometrics. As a result and despite long delays maritime economists (Glen et al. [1] applied the VAR—vector autoregressive (1987-1988) model due to Sims [2]. But this was not the only one as co-integration [3] [4] dominated the scene given that SEM-simultaneous equations model had defects in relation to exogenous variables. Moreover, VEC—the vector error correction model and a representation of VAR appeared based on Granger’s representation theorem. The models for 2006-2016 were 36 including 5 for maritime futures after 2003 and 7 on forecasting (2003-2016). A description of a shipping cycle has been given with the presence of time.

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Goulielmos, A. (2018) Maritime Economic Modeling: A Survey, 2006-2016. Modern Economy, 9, 2064-3091. doi: 10.4236/me.2018.912129.

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