Hypothetical Bias for Private Goods: Does Cheap Talk Make a Difference?

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DOI: 10.4236/tel.2015.56087    4,875 Downloads   5,764 Views  Citations

ABSTRACT

Economists and market researchers often need to accurately gauge consumers’ willingness-to-pay for private goods. The experimental literature has identified a problem of hypothetical bias when using stated preferences techniques, such as open-ended questions. It has been suggested that using a cheap talk script has the potential to resolve this bias. Yet, few empirical studies on the efficiency of cheap talk for private goods exist. This study uses a between-subjects experimental design to compare consumers’ willingness-to-pay for DHA-enriched milk using three elicitation methods: 1) Hypothetical open-ended stated preference question, without monetary consequence for the respondent; 2) Idem to the first with the addition of a cheap talk script; and 3) A Vickrey auction with real monetary consequences. In this experiment subjects have the choice to participate, or not, at each period. Our results indicate a significant hypothetical bias. While the use of cheap talk has no impact on this bias, it does however increase the level of participation to the market.

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Doyon, M. , Saulais, L. , Ruffieux, B. and Bweli, D. (2015) Hypothetical Bias for Private Goods: Does Cheap Talk Make a Difference?. Theoretical Economics Letters, 5, 749-756. doi: 10.4236/tel.2015.56087.

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