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12th Annual Meeting of China Association for Science and Technology on Information and Communication Technology and Smart Grid (AMCST 2010 E-BOOK)

Fuzhou,China,11.1-11.3，2010

ISBN: 978-1-935068-23-5 Scientific Research Publishing, USA

E-Book 660pp Pub. Date: November 2010

Category: Computer Science & Communications

Price: $120

Title: Dept. PE ., Baoji Univ. of Arts. & Sci.,Baoji, Shaanxi ,China,721016
Source: 12th Annual Meeting of China Association for Science and Technology on Information and Communication Technology and Smart Grid (AMCST 2010 E-BOOK) (pp 455-458)
Author(s): Fu-peng Tian, School of Mathematics and Computer Science, Northwest University for Nationalities, Lanzhou 730030, China
Liang-liang Ma, School of Mathematics and Computer Science, Northwest University for Nationalities, Lanzhou 730030, China
Abstract: The selection of the modeling data, the data’s pretreatment of nephritis incidence rate forecasting and their effects on forecasting precision were discussed. Aiming at the actual difficulties in incidence rate forecasting, a new incidence rate forecasting method in which the solar term incidence rate is used as modeling data was put forward combining ARIMA model and BP network. The practice has proved that the method will improve the precision of incidence rate forecasting effectively and has excellent robusticity. The nephritis incidence rate characteristics in each time period should be duly considered in order to carry out a more focused health prevention and treatment and to effectively reduce the hazards of nephritis.
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