Article citationsMore>>
Hoffman, F.M., Fung, I., Randerson, J., Thornton, P., Stockli, R., Heinsch, F., Running, S., Hibbard, K., John, J., Covey, C., Foley, J., Post, W.M., Hargrove, W.W., Erickson, D.J. and Mahowald, N. (2006) Preliminary Results from the CCSM Carbon-Land Model Intercomparison Project (C-LAMP). Eos Trans. AGU, 87(52), Fall Meet. Suppl., Abstract B51C-0316.
has been cited by the following article:
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TITLE:
Applying Downscaled Global Climate Model Data to a Hydrodynamic Surface-Water and Groundwater Model
AUTHORS:
Eric Swain, Lydia Stefanova, Thomas Smith
KEYWORDS:
Hydrologic Models; Climate Change; Rainfall; Hydrodynamics; Salinity
JOURNAL NAME:
American Journal of Climate Change,
Vol.3 No.1,
March
11,
2014
ABSTRACT: Precipitation data from Global Climate Models have been downscaled to smaller regions. Adapting this downscaled precipitation data to a coupled hydrodynamic surface-water/groundwater model of southern Florida allows an examination of future conditions and their effect on groundwater levels, inundation patterns, surface-water stage and flows, and salinity. The downscaled rainfall data include the 1996-2001 time series from the European Center for Medium-Range Weather Forecasting ERA-40 simulation and both the 1996-1999 and 2038-2057 time series from two global climate models: the Community Climate System Model (CCSM) and the Geophysical Fluid Dynamic Laboratory (GFDL). Synthesized surface-water inflow datasets were developed for the 2038-2057 simulations. The resulting hydrologic simulations, with and without a 30-cm sea-level rise, were compared with each other and field data to analyze a range of projected conditions. Simulations predicted generally higher future stage and groundwater levels and surface-water flows, with sea-level rise inducing higher coastal salinities. A coincident rise in sea level, precipitation and surface-water flows resulted in a narrower inland saline/fresh transition zone. The inland areas were affected more by the rainfall difference than the sea-level rise, and the rainfall differences make little difference in coastal inundation, but a larger difference in coastal salinities.
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